Affordable Housing Market

Anyone have any thoughts on the affordable housing market vs. other types of real estate? Aside from applying for the federal credits (the hard part), what type of returns do you see on Affordable Properties, specifically section 8?

 

Hopefully someone more knowledgeable can chime in as I have never dealt with affordable housing. My buddy works with LIHTC (low income housing tax credits) and on a project level, he says returns are slightly lower than non-affordable projects. He is also doing a hybrid of Affordable Dwelling Units & market units, so I guess it doesn't really answer your question on solely section 8.

From my understanding, the developers qualify for and receive the tax credits in exchange for offering a specific % of below market units (ADUs). The tax credits are then sold to a bank, which the developer uses the proceeds for equity & to lower construction debt obligations. The credits are used by the bank to offset future tax obligations.

 
Best Response

I worked for 2 years in the multifamily affordable housing group of a GSE. Generally speaking, those who develop, own and manage LIHTC properties specialize in it--it's not something they do as a small portion of their portfolio. It's basically what they do and are known for. The reason? Affordable housing is incredibly complicated and winning LIHTCs for developments can be very political since they are awarded by each state. They don't award them to guys who don't know what they're doing. And the regulatory oversight of LIHTC properties can be overwhelming for those who don't know what they're doing.

Here is a ridiculously basic breakdown of how low-income housing tax credits work:

  • A state awards a proposed multifamily development and developer tax credits that have been allocated to the state more or less proportionately by the federal government. The state undertakes a lengthy review process.

  • The tax credits are then purchased by an equity investor, which is usually a commercial bank. For the top developers in the best locations, they often get $1 per $1 in tax credit. Depending on the market, investors might even pay more than $1 for $1 in tax credits. Then you have markets (ahem--Memphis...) where equity investors might pay substantially less than $1 for the tax credit. I've seen some tax credits sell for under 70 cents on the dollar.

  • Let's say an investor purchases $1 million in tax credits for $1 million. At least when I was there, the usage schedule was 10 years, which means that the investor could deduct $100,000 directly from its taxes each year for 10 years. Banks love these investments because the large, stable ones have pretty predictable projected net taxable income. It can be a great way to basically get free money and advertising in the community.

  • Now, let's say that $1 million is used for a $5 million project. You've now got $1 million in cash equity put up. The other $4 million might be debt. The developer often times puts up $0 and then pays itself a healthy developer fee, which is financed by the debt instrument. Definitely lower returns, but getting any return on zero dollars invested is as good as it gets in real estate.

  • Now, the primary risk to the equity investor is technical default. If the property is not managed in accordance with the tax credit rules, the equity investor could lose all of its tax credits. The rules can be pretty intricate, but the big ones require renting units to persons make X% (80%, 70%, even 50%) of the area median income. Because the consequences can be pretty big for not properly managing a LIHTC property, the typical equity investors are banks who have qualified tax credit personnel who analyze the deals and then service them afterward. Few equity investors do one-off deals--they are mostly expert professionals.

Section 8 (Housing Choice) voucher program is an entirely separate program through the FHA. A lot of times a single property will have both LIHTC and Section 8, but they are fundamentally different programs.

Here is a brief low down on Section 8:

  • It's a federal rent subsidy program usually run by county housing authorities.

  • You can have project-based Section 8 housing which is basically a property that is entirely Section 8. This is actually how we get the term "the projects" in the ghetto--it's short/slang for project-based Section 8.

  • You have properties that accept Section 8 vouchers but aren't project-based. Anyone can accept Section 8 vouchers, even people on Craigslist.

  • To qualify for a Section 8 voucher, you have to go through the local housing authority. Most people earn less than 30% of the area median income. There are usually enormous waiting lists for these vouchers.

  • If you get a voucher you can use it anywhere that accepts them (no one is required to accept them). The housing authority determines what a proper "market rate" is for certain types of housing and issues a voucher in that dollar amount. The tenant pays no more than 30% of his/her income and then the voucher subsidizes the rest.

Example: market rent is $1,000. The tenant earns $1,000/month. The tenant pays $300 and the voucher subsidizes $700.

Arbitrage: often times the housing authority will issue a voucher for more than the real market rent at a unit. Let's say a landlord could only get $800/month out of his unit. Well, if the housing authority has said units in that county should go for $1,000, the landlord will take the voucher and get $1,000 in rent, making $200 above market. In turn, they get a marginal tenant.

 

This is great. LIHTC is very confusing, and this is one of the best explanations I've heard.

[quote=DCDepository

- Depending on the market, investors might even pay more than $1 for $1 in tax credits.

What would be the reason for paying more than 1x1 for the tax credits? Also, I am assuming the credits are discounted, what is the typical norm for arriving at what the credits are worth today?

 

This is great. LIHTC is very confusing, and this is one of the best explanations I've heard.

DCDepository:

- Depending on the market, investors might even pay more than $1 for $1 in tax credits.

What would be the reason for paying more than 1x1 for the tax credits? Also, I am assuming the credits are discounted, what is the typical norm for arriving at what the credits are worth today?

 

Oh yeah, I also wanted to comment on what can impact tax credit demand--bank profit. In 2008 when the banks were melting down demand for tax credits absolutely tanked because so many banks were projecting little or no profit (no reason to buy tax credits if you have no profit to offset). So during poor economic times demand for tax credits dwindles and tax credit prices drop. Lower tax credit prices means less cash equity for LIHTC developments, which means less LIHTC development on a macro scale.

With existing banks much healthier today than 4-6 years ago you've got much stronger demand for LIHTCs today, which means higher tax credit prices.

Also in the late 1980s individuals were banned from buying tax credits (I looked into this my first week on the job--why not buy tax credits for 80 cents on the dollar?!). So fughetabowit.

 

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