Credit Analysis Training/Certification

Hi all,

My company does not currently offer a credit training program internally, but I have the option to take one from an external party. The question is, which one? I have heard that Omega Credit Training is a decent program (I know of at least one commercial bank that uses them). I also know that NYU has a program, but they do not offer distance learning (I do not live in NYC). Are there others that you would recommend who offer a distance learning option?

Thanks all!

BR

 
Best Response

Credit's a weird animal... it can kind of mean a lot of things. What you need to know kind of depends on what you want to do with your knowledge. Basically there are 2 major categories - "Real" credit and "Rating Agency," or 'Made up" credit:

  1. "Real" credit - this is your ability to analyze what your actual returns will be from investing in or financing a distressed company or asset. And you have to make the further distinction between investing and financing - if you're investing, you're buying a call. You're saying, downside I get wiped out, upside I get paid X, and the probability of downside vs. upside is Y. You don't necessarily care about who rips whose face off in the downside case, b/c you're equity, you're wiped out first. If you're debt, you're selling a put. You're making a bet that it will make more sense for the borrower to pay you back then to tell you to go fuck yourself when the time comes. So, the distinction from the point of view of the investor/financier is analysing upside vs. downside.

If you're an upside (equity) guy, there are two inputs to your IRR equation. The first is returns in the upside case, and the second is probability of that case occuring / how much of those returns you can claim if it does. you need to understand the asset class. You need to know what the asset is worth as a functioning operating business, and what it will take to get it there. To know the second, you need to understand the capital structure, the covenants, the legal intricacies of the state of incorporation... it's a lot to know.

If you're a downside (debt) guy, you don't give a shit about the upside. Upside is you get paid back. What you care about is what you'll get paid in a worst case scenario, and how much cash you can soak up on the way down. It's more important that you understand the legal intricacies of "tranche warfare" but you also need to know the asset class... in a different way from the equity guy. You care less about what it's worth as a cohesive operating business and more about what you can liquidate the thing for. Once again, it's complex.

Distressed assets require a special breed of investor/financier - you basically have to be part debt guy and part equity guy. If you're the debt, you may end up owning the thing, and you need to understand that case before you put your money on the table. If you're the equity, you may end up losing the thing and needing to be sharp elbowed to get as much as you can.

  1. "Rating Agency / Made Up Credit" is easier. This is more applicable to undewriters, basically bankers instead of buy side. I call it made up credit because that's what it is. Basically, you want to issue securities with as high of a rating as possible because they get better execution in the capital markets for a variety of reasons. This requires understanding how the agencies analyze securities. Essentially, they pull a bunch of nonsensical numbers out of their ass, and force you to come up with ridiculous structures that game their models but don't actually improve the credit at all.

If this is what you want to know, they post their methodology on the internet, you can look up how they analyze a given security and pretty easily build a model that will tell you what proceeds will be at different ratings. Go to their websites and make an account and you can read all their research. Actually, building RA models is probably a good excercise for you college kids. But keep in mind, this is different from "Real" credit. This is made up. By a bunch of trolls.

 

great response NYCbandar. thanks. it's the "real" credit analysis that I was to learn about, at least to the stage where I can hold my own in a tier 1 credit fund interview.. you seem like you know your stuff and I know the majority is probably learned on the job, but do you have any recommended reading? Thanks again

 

What you need to know depends on the strategy of the fund, the biggest question is where would their investments sit in the capital structure of the asset / company, but it would also be helpful for you to give some background on the asset class, the situation, etc.

Basically, when you're playing in the distressed space, their are two potential arbs / main strategies - you can either see some hidden value that nobody else does (upside), or you can structure your capital infusion such that you tear everyone else's face off when push comes to shove (downside).

The skill set is not the same between the two.

 

What do you mean exactly by "fall under"? Credit analysis is really a catch-all, wide term used to define many functions that sell-side bankers and buy-side people do routinely for deals. On the banking side, LevFin and DCM groups are usually responsible for credit analysis; that is, in a nutshell, determining if, when, and how a company will be able to repay and/or refinance a certain amount of debt.

Really simple definition: This usually comprises building operating projections (which will usually come from the industry group), then looking at comparable companies to see their interest rates and capital structure and fitting a similar structure onto the company you're looking at. You'd then look at their operating projections under different scenarios (up, down, base, etc) and see what the repayment (or lack thereof) looks like by looking at different coverage and leverage ratios.

The buy-side is probably deeper, especially for leveraged stuff, because in the end, your cash is on the line.

 

You are not missing anything. Models are very vanilla for fundamental credit analysis and as user above suggested, Fabozzi has a huge book on FI. If you are interested in distressed, Stephen Moyer has a great book that I am actually currently reading.

"History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme."
 
junkbondswap:

Having worked in PE I am very familiar with various debt instruments, traditional credit analysis, coverage/leverage ratios, covenants, collateral, etc. but do any of you guys work in a role that requires daily credit analysis? Can you recommend any credit analysis texts and/or provide me with a typical CA model (i.e. what a lender or rating agency would use)? I realize that this would look very similar to a traditional equity valuation or operating model but want to ensure that I am not missing anything. PM me or reply here. Thanks.

Most lenders don't run daily credit analyses. They check each company in the portfolio monthly or even quarterly.

 

Thanks for your responses and recommendations. PE2012, I can see why you were confused by my question as it was poorly worded but I was just seeking advice from people whose daily role requires exposure to various aspects of credit analysis as I realize that most lenders/investors in the space are clipping coupons and monitoring positions on a quarterly basis (obviously more frequently if it is a distressed situation or company is in danger of busting covenants).

If anyone is willing to share template documentation with traditional affirmative/negative covenants and coverage ratios please hit me up.

 
junkbondswap:

Thanks for your responses and recommendations. PE2012, I can see why you were confused by my question as it was poorly worded but I was just seeking advice from people whose daily role requires exposure to various aspects of credit analysis as I realize that most lenders/investors in the space are clipping coupons and monitoring positions on a quarterly basis (obviously more frequently if it is a distressed situation or company is in danger of busting covenants).

If anyone is willing to share template documentation with traditional affirmative/negative covenants and coverage ratios please hit me up.

Ok, my bad. I was confused as to what you were looking for at first.

 
junkbondswap:

If anyone is willing to share template documentation with traditional affirmative/negative covenants and coverage ratios please hit me up.

Hard to generalise. Depends on industry, cycles, business specifics, how the negotiations went down etc....
"After you work on Wall Street it’s a choice, would you rather work at McDonalds or on the sell-side? I would choose McDonalds over the sell-side.” - David Tepper
 
junkbondswap:

Having worked in PE I am very familiar with various debt instruments, traditional credit analysis, coverage/leverage ratios, covenants, collateral, etc. but do any of you guys work in a role that requires daily credit analysis? Can you recommend any credit analysis texts and/or provide me with a typical CA model (i.e. what a lender or rating agency would use)? I realize that this would look very similar to a traditional equity valuation or operating model but want to ensure that I am not missing anything. PM me or reply here. Thanks.

Daily analysis would imply that you're working with debt in pretty liquid markets? I've worked in both rating agency models and PV models. Are you looking to do an actual valuation or just credit analysis?

Risk analysis in rating agencies tends to fall under templates that focus on a variety of ratios, coverage being the most important, and then a large set of industry specific metrics.

Valuation models are typically pretty vanilla discounted CF models where modeling sensitivities and getting to the correct discount rate tends to be the heart of the analysis.

 

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"After you work on Wall Street it’s a choice, would you rather work at McDonalds or on the sell-side? I would choose McDonalds over the sell-side.” - David Tepper
 

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"History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme."

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