Fuel Prices - Up or Down?

I saw that my local petrol station’s fuel price was much higher than when I last filled it. Sucks!

Rising gas prices have eroded the President’s approval ratings, with some 23 percent of Americans blaming him for the spike.

In his speech in Cushing, President Obama said that “producing more oil at home isn’t enough by itself to bring gas prices down” because “the price of oil will still be set by the global market.” Economists agree that this is true.

Questions: 1. It seems fuel costs are rising in the UK and USA. Why? Is there really a shortage etc? 2. Is being environmentally friendly just a political move? 3. Any fuel traders out there who have any comments?

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58 Comments
 
  1. As far as short term spikes in the recent weeks are concerned it's the whole oil situation with Iran that has caused a surge in oil prices. They're effectively being edge out of the western market and that has people scared. Don't worry. It won't last long; plenty of other countries are going to fill the gap. And long term, yes, I'm sure it shouldn't be a surprise that oil isn't as abundant as many think it is
  2. I'm really hoping you're not serious. Do recycling and clean energy sound like political scams to you?
  3. Not me
 
EngBanker I'm really hoping you're not serious. Do recycling and clean energy sound like political scams to you?
I hope that you know that we only get 1% of our energy from "clean energy". It is a complete joke when liberal energy freedom fighters think we can actually use this energy. The only answer is natgas.
 

Just because we are behind here in North America it doesn't mean that clean energy is a joke.

Have a look: (and this is 5 years ago)

Yes, I agree with you 100% that at the current costs for renewables it'll be long before renewables can become a significant part of our energy use. But it won't be long before oil prices/supply even worsen the energy crisis.

Anyway, my point was being environmentally friendly is not a political move. It is definitely used as a political card but that doesn't make the issue a scam.

 
EngBanker

Anyway, my point was being environmentally friendly is not a political move. It is definitely used as a political card but that doesn't make the issue a scam.

What do you mean by environmentally friendly? We have already proven global warming to be false.

FACT: “According to collated data from the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center and the University of Illinois, Arctic ice extent was 30 per cent greater on August 11, 2008 than it was on the August 12, 2007. This is a conservative estimate based on the map projection.”

 
Connor
EngBanker

Anyway, my point was being environmentally friendly is not a political move. It is definitely used as a political card but that doesn't make the issue a scam.

What do you mean by environmentally friendly? We have already proven global warming to be false.

FACT: “According to collated data from the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center and the University of Illinois, Arctic ice extent was 30 per cent greater on August 11, 2008 than it was on the August 12, 2007. This is a conservative estimate based on the map projection.”

http://cache.ohinternet.com/images/thumb/7/73/JeanLucPicardFacepalm.jpg…

"Life all comes down to a few moments. This is one of them." - Bud Fox
 
Connor What do you mean by environmentally friendly? We have already proven global warming to be false.

FACT: “According to collated data from the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center and the University of Illinois, Arctic ice extent was 30 per cent greater on August 11, 2008 than it was on the August 12, 2007. This is a conservative estimate based on the map projection.”

Actually, we have already proven global warming to be true.

FACT: "Since the early 20th century, Earth's average surface temperature has increased by about 0.8 °C (1.4 °F), with about two thirds of the increase occurring since 1980.2 Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, and scientists are more than 90% certain that most of it is caused by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases produced by human activities such as deforestation and the burning of fossil fuels.345[6] These findings are recognized by the national science academies of all major industrialized nations.7a"

Clean energy is the future. In 30 years fossil fuels will be just that, fossils.

 
EngBankerThat's a single data point! Look at the whole big picture: (the single data point that you're talking about can also be seen).

That said, I didn't say anything about global warming...I thought your point was that clean energy is a joke.

What is the point of clean energy if it costs more, yet global warming does not exist? There is no incetive and it would not be economically efficient. Dude the world is a lot cleaner today than it was decades ago. Less factories, cleaner car engines and petro, clean coal, nuclear power, and natural gas are the best ways to keep the environment safe while saving money. Oil giants are too big to let any kind of clean energy from taking over.
 
Connor
EngBankerThat's a single data point! Look at the whole big picture: (the single data point that you're talking about can also be seen).

That said, I didn't say anything about global warming...I thought your point was that clean energy is a joke.

What is the point of clean energy if it costs more, yet global warming does not exist? There is no incetive and it would not be economically efficient. Dude the world is a lot cleaner today than it was decades ago. Less factories, cleaner car engines and petro, clean coal, nuclear power, and natural gas are the best ways to keep the environment safe while saving money. Oil giants are too big to let any kind of clean energy from taking over.
Here's the thing. If you can't spot the sucker in the first half hour at the table, you are the sucker.
 

Thanks for ignoring the beautiful chart I posted and restating that global warming doesn't exist ;)

Now, I worked as an engineer in the energy industry and I absolutely agree with you that there's A LOT of political/lobbyist pushback against clean energy. That doesn't mean that clean energy is useless. There are a lot of other technical (engineering wise) concerns that are associated with clean energy that I simply don't want to get into. So yes, there are obstacles.

Realistically, clean energy will never be as big in North America as it is in the EU because of exactly the political power of oil companies. The next best thing is definitely natural gas, no argument there.

Also, the world is cleaner BECAUSE people/companies started becoming more environmentally friendly. That said, in the U.S most people didn't CHOOSE to be more environmentally friendly. They were FORCED to be due to the skyrocketing oil prices.

 
EngBankerRealistically, clean energy will never be as big in North America as it is in the EU because of exactly the political power of oil companies.
As opposed to population density, wealth differences or lack of subsidies to clean tech or alternative transportation options?

I'd reckon the three options I stated mean a lot more than the "political power of oil companies".

 

I agree that people were forced to change their energy consumption. I just hope that they are not naive enough to think that nuclear power, clean coal, and natgas, are the devil and solar panels are the answer. Who knows, maybe in 100 years when all of our natural resources are just about gone we will have come up with a cheap, clean solution to all of our problems. Not sure if you're in the U.S., but do you think congress will eventually allow natural gas to become a prevalent source of energy? I know that other countries already use it a lot.

 

"On a long enough time line, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero."

Eventually, they'll have to (or stay in the dark). And keep in mind that more and more big oil companies are putting crazy money in exploration and extraction of natgas in the U.S. I know Exxon, BHP, and Shell have acquired nat gas exploration companies in the U.S. These boys are in it to sell energy and they will use their lobbyist to their fullest when the time is right.

That said, the main issue with nat gas becoming a prevalent source of energy is that the production capacity in the U.S will not be able to keep up with the consumption. Whole other issue.

 

We're already producing more than we are consuming right now and we aren't even trying. Companies like Chesapeake are halting production and moving more toward liquid gas. I'm not saying natgas should be as prevalent as petro, but it would be nice to see it get at least 30% of the market.

 

What did it for me was the dip in the 1973-1974 CO2 graphs. That was the only year the world economy consumed less fossil fuels, and that was the only year that atmospheric CO2 dipped.

Is there a correlation between atmospheric carbon and higher temperatures? I'm not sure. But we are changing the atmosphere.

Of course, as an engineer, I believe cheap, clean nuclear, not bankrupt toxic PV solar, is the solution.

 
IlliniProgrammerWhat did it for me was the dip in the 1973-1974 CO2 graphs. That was the only year the world economy consumed less fossil fuels, and that was the only year that atmospheric CO2 dipped.

Is there a correlation between atmospheric carbon and higher temperatures? I'm not sure. But we are changing the atmosphere.

Of course, as an engineer, I believe cheap, clean nuclear, not bankrupt toxic PV solar, is the solution.

Nuclear energy is based on a physical commodity. Anything based on a physical commodity can, of course, peak. Solar is really the only long term option (although I doubt PV in its current state is the solution).

Wind is fairly cost competitive and I'd like to see more of it.

 

As stated earlier, natural gas is the future of alternative energy. ExxonMobil paid $41 billion for XTO Energy, clearly implying that the world's largest public E&P company is betting on increased demand in natural gas. There are many good reasons for this, but the most important one is that it breaks our reliance on OPEC. North America is the Saudi Arabia of natural gas, especially with the discovery of shale gas in Ontario/Calgary and Marcellus Shale in upstate NY. The political factors are definitely in favor of increased natural gas demand in the next 25-30 years.

Solar Power is a viable option only because of government subsidies. Even then, it's extremely costly and inefficient. The same could probably be said for wind, but I'm not positive on this. Nuclear Power represents a promising Alternative Energy source, but every country and environmental group displays the NIMBY Effect (not in my backyard). France and Germany have the right idea here. NIMBY is even more prevalent after the Fukushima Incident. All in all, don't anticipate cars to have solar power roofs that run engines. Natural gas is the future.

 

I am not sure we are still on point about oil prices going up or down, so I'll just make a couple of comments.

1) A few years ago, I rebuilt my home in Long Island NY. I used all "green products". I put solar panels, collected rain water, used dual flush toilets, a beautiful very efficient wood burning stove, all highly efficient appliances, etc. (YES, I am a freak).

I paid back my solar investment in one year, lucky (or smart) to do it at a time when fuel prices began a strong upward climb. Net net, the total cost of competely running my home, including heat and A/C, was a bit over $6.00 a month, or the fee charged to me by the local utility company for the priviledge of allowing me to have solar and stay on the grid.

2) re solar warming: Last year, I toured the patagonia, visiting many glaciers. I traveled as far south as Cape Horn. Did I say glaciers? Sorry I meant to say bare spots were glaciers once were. Glaciers that I had previously seen. Oh well, maybe it is just a temporary warming, or wait, is it warning?

WSO contributing writer. Contact: diamondlil2012 at gmail.com Buy dollars and wear diamonds
 
Best Response
Diamond LilI am not sure we are still on point about oil prices going up or down, so I'll just make a couple of comments.

1) A few years ago, I rebuilt my home in Long Island NY. I used all "green products". I put solar panels, collected rain water, used dual flush toilets, a beautiful very efficient wood burning stove, all highly efficient appliances, etc. (YES, I am a freak).

I paid back my solar investment in one year, lucky (or smart) to do it at a time when fuel prices began a strong upward climb. Net net, the total cost of competely running my home, including heat and A/C, was a bit over $6.00 a month, or the fee charged to me by the local utility company for the priviledge of allowing me to have solar and stay on the grid.

2) re solar warming: Last year, I toured the patagonia, visiting many glaciers. I traveled as far south as Cape Horn. Did I say glaciers? Sorry I meant to say bare spots were glaciers once were. Glaciers that I had previously seen. Oh well, maybe it is just a temporary warming, or wait, is it warning?

WSO, I am begging you, from the bottom of my nanner stash, please, do not let this turn into a thread about global warming and its merits (or lack thereof depending upon your pursuasion).
If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses - Henry Ford
 

Why don't countries get together and build a place that makes renewable energy (through wind etc)? (e.g. they made a land in Dubai which was then sold in parts for millions I believe to people like David Beckham).

Also - I notice there are 2-3 pence differences within london at Petrol Stations. Why?

Very interesting video btw - thanks for that post. Do you have more? Please PM me.

 
inewsWhy don't countries get together and build a place that makes renewable energy (through wind etc)? (e.g. they made a land in Dubai which was then sold in parts for millions I believe to people like David Beckham).

Also - I notice there are 2-3 pence differences within london at Petrol Stations. Why?

Very interesting video btw - thanks for that post. Do you have more? Please PM me.

The power demand is in cities and metropolitan areas that are far away from the wide swaths of land that you could build wind farms or solar renewable project. It also costs significantly to transmit (wheel) that power and you'll suffer large transmission losses.

Petrol stations price their product based on their supplier contracts

 

I'm not arguing the merits of global warming. No incentive to develop clean energy? How about the fact we are energy dependent on oil and at the mercy of crude prices. Doesn't make sense to develop and use nat gas instead of crude huh? Read this report then get back to me....

https://ir.citi.com/xfqo2sWW6IfKHcQR0rhlFBzftwsPXOCpIE2I2lLg407%2FzDEMM…

Here's the thing. If you can't spot the sucker in the first half hour at the table, you are the sucker.
 

My dream of green energy will slowly become a possibility as the dollar continues to weaken pared with the ever increasing price of commodities

 
HegelTupac: contango, it's not contract holders playing the game but oil companies.

When enough people use contango strategies it just flattens out the curve, driving down prices in the long run. Short term pain long term gain for consumers, balancing the effect on consumers out.

 

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