Where to find historical price of commodities etc ?

I'm an intern at a PE shop. My background is in medicine so naive questions maybe.

  1. How do you find historical S&P 500, GDP and Crude oil prices 2015-2017? 2.How do you find prices of what I assume are commodities, e.g. recycled paper pulp, corrugated paperboard?
  2. What factor is used to compare these niche commodities with S&P 500, GDP and Crude oil price data from those periods, with ultimate goal of determining if sensitive to "economic downturn"? Incidentally, if this involves statistics, I have not yet had a course in statistics. Is there some aggregate stock index with given number value, I'm thinking?
  3. (What is what I'm doing called/applicable to?)
17 Comments
 

I appreciate the humour, however, I actually really do need to find this as basil is the primary COGS for this company I am researching and I can't really find much. Any serious help would be much appreciated.

 

We've got our long-term herb price model spitting out an even $600/lb for the schwag and Back Bay Blueberry Yum Yum riding the wave all the way to $1000/lb, $2200/kg, or $2M/short ton

 
BlackHat

We've got our long-term herb price model spitting out an even $600/lb for the schwag and Back Bay Blueberry Yum Yum riding the wave all the way to $1000/lb, $2200/kg, or $2M/short ton

Would love to see your assumptions, you must be pricing in a pretty significant supply shock from mexican cartel penetration into NorCal grow fields.

Rest of WSO, learning how to forecast herb is a very beneficial model to learn. Very similar to natty gas with shale play and gov. deregulation. Only half joking...

 
Best Response
tiger2012 BlackHat:

We've got our long-term herb price model spitting out an even $600/lb for the schwag and Back Bay Blueberry Yum Yum riding the wave all the way to $1000/lb, $2200/kg, or $2M/short ton

Would love to see your assumptions, you must be pricing in a pretty significant supply shock from mexican cartel penetration into NorCal grow fields.

Rest of WSO, learning how to forecast herb is a very beneficial model to learn. Very similar to natty gas with shale play and gov. deregulation. Only half joking...

The problem is forecasting unproven reserve values. When your standardized measure on Washington herb takes a 90% haircut overnight and your exploration costs go through the roof with increased demand, it just stops becoming economical to use those aggressive models anymore. We're out here grindin' on the daily, booking PUDs at ceiling value when we stumble upon a promising underground grow operation... when really we should be crossing our fingers for 75% recovery on that bad boy. It's a dog eat dog world out there these days and personally I blame Obama for destroying a good thing we had goin' out here. Best of luck to the other pushas out there.

 

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