How to Determine Corrections from Pricing History

Hi all,

Cannot seem to wrap my head around this and was hoping to get some input.

Say I have daily pricing history of SPX dating back to 1990, and want to determine all of the corrections that occurred (defining correction as a pullback of 10% or more).

Given a correction can take place over the span of 1 day, 3 days, a week, 2 months, etc... One way I have tried to pinpoint these pullbacks is by calculating rolling returns from several perspectives (2 day, 5 day, 10 day, 1 month, 3 month, etc.)

The issue I have is that this results in different figures; for instance in some situations there will be corrections on a 3 month basis but nothing else, other dates are in correction range for all date ranges, etc.

So which date range do I focus on in determining when corrections occurred? IS there another way to carry this out?

thanks

 
Best Response
MBA_Junkie:

Is it possible to determine this from price data alone? don't you need some context as well? Given the varying time span for corrections how do you reliably differentiate a peak (or bottom) from a local maximum (or local minimum)?

Yes. You could run it on price or total return, it doesn't really change the calculation.

Column A: Dates Column B: price history Column C: =max($B$2:current cell) Column D: =(B/C)-1

This will tell you each point the market had a drawdown and how big it was. You can copy and paste values and then sort them with dates.

If the market is at a then all-time high, the return in column C will be 0%. If the peak was 100 and the current price is 80, it would be -20%.

Can't tell if you guys are just fucking with me or not.

 

Atque enim voluptas corporis itaque alias qui est et. Iure quia non minus. Quos aspernatur et explicabo error sequi. Officia distinctio ut accusantium ea provident officia repudiandae. Rerum sequi harum est perferendis.

Don't listen to anyone, everybody is scared.

Career Advancement Opportunities

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Jefferies & Company 02 99.4%
  • Goldman Sachs 19 98.8%
  • Harris Williams & Co. New 98.3%
  • Lazard Freres 02 97.7%
  • JPMorgan Chase 03 97.1%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Harris Williams & Co. 18 99.4%
  • JPMorgan Chase 10 98.8%
  • Lazard Freres 05 98.3%
  • Morgan Stanley 07 97.7%
  • William Blair 03 97.1%

Professional Growth Opportunities

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Lazard Freres 01 99.4%
  • Jefferies & Company 02 98.8%
  • Goldman Sachs 17 98.3%
  • Moelis & Company 07 97.7%
  • JPMorgan Chase 05 97.1%

Total Avg Compensation

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Director/MD (5) $648
  • Vice President (19) $385
  • Associates (86) $261
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (14) $181
  • Intern/Summer Associate (33) $170
  • 2nd Year Analyst (66) $168
  • 1st Year Analyst (205) $159
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (145) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
3
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
99.0
4
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
5
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
6
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
7
kanon's picture
kanon
98.9
8
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
9
bolo up's picture
bolo up
98.8
10
Linda Abraham's picture
Linda Abraham
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”