The End of Tech?

Blackberry's going private. Unsurprisingly.

But this article from Wired brings up an important point ... is the end of Blackberry indicative of the end of mobile technological advancement in general?

If mobile technology really has entered a long period of stagnation — or more charitably, incremental improvement — it’s certainly possible that our impatience for something new will grow apocalyptic. Or maybe the anticlimax of BlackBerry’s failure signals the start of something less dramatic and possibly more important.

I'd even go so far as to expand this to all technology. Seriously, what's the last huge technological leap that's occurred in the past 3 years?

Everything is a sequel of a sequel.
Xbox, computers, music devices (in general), and mobile tech have all not made any real advancements.

So what is the cause of this? Is there any chance that it has to do with 2008 and a lack of investment capital flowing freely to fund these ideas?

The author mentions batteries as well. If there was a huge advancement in battery technology that allowed incredibly long periods between charges, we could fully use our phones as they were designed to be used. But even then, is that as earth-shattering as the release of the PC, or the Walkman, or the iPod, or the iPhone? Hell no.

So now what?

Article can be found here.

 

i think a large part of tech 'stagnation' is due to the fact that we're much further along the learning curve than even a hundred years ago, so we won't be having as much breakthrough tech nowadays. there's just not as much stimuli because of how comfortable our daily lives are.

i think one breakthrough we've had is wearable tech (glass, smartwatches, etc.). at the moment, they're pretty much gimmicks, but the potential for the market space to blow up is huge.

 
Best Response

Really, we've gone 3 years without a huge advancement so all of a sudden tech is done? No. R&D takes time. People are working on issues that are becoming more and more complex.

The batteries issue is a huge one. Graphene is going to revolutionize a lot of things, including batteries, but making it cost effective is difficult. We'll probably see that within the next 5 years, 10 at most.

Companies are looking for different ways to implement tech in your life. Things like phone wristbands, paper-thin phones you can fold and put in your wallet, putting computers in contact lenses, etc.

The overall "tech" sector may not be growing by leaps and bounds, but they are introducing new ideas. Google Fiber is a huge project and will change the way we access the internet (in Kansas City, Provo and Austin next). They have their soon-to-be first competitor in C-Spire.

THAT is revolutionary. Huge advancements don't have to be brand new technology. It can be finding new ways to bring it to people. Is tech stagnating? Maybe, temporarily. But even so, the devices we're using are getting smaller and better. You have to build on what you have while you find ways to jump forward, otherwise how are you gonna make money?

Wired just threw up a headline that'd get them page views. Nobody knows when the next big advancement will be, that's how technology development (or any development) works. You can say it's stagnating, ending, whatever. The truth is, that's how tech works and always has worked.

"You stop being an asshole when it sucks to be you." -IlliniProgrammer "Your grammar made me wish I'd been aborted." -happypantsmcgee
 

Wow, definitely a narrow view here. We are about 5 years away from "hyper advancements" in technology that we have many insights into already.

First and foremost, look at the new iPhone. With a 64-bit processor, it's not super useful for present uses. The very near future of mobile technology, however, will be a phone that has, more or less, the power of a laptop. We're going to be able to carry around our computer in our phone and we're going to have "dummy" laptops that have no processing power themselves--you'll just be able to "plug-in" to your smartphone and have a full keyboard and screen. Apple and Microsoft are both laying the foundation for this revolution within the half decade.

Secondly, you've got the autonomous vehicle explosion. Mercedes already has mastered the technology for a fully autonomous vehicle, and both it and Nissan have announced plans for a fully autonomous production vehicle by 2020. Elon Musk has announced that Tesla will be releasing a 90% autonomous vehicle in 3 years(!)--that's 2016! Google has driven 500,000 miles without a single computer caused accident.

These 2 consumer products are being feverishly worked on and are a handful of years away from mass production. These 2 technologies themselves will radically transform mobile technology and infrastructure. Mobile technology is definitely not dead--we're just in a period of incremental improvement. If the iPhone incrementally improved each year the way the 5 and 5s incrementally improved, you'd have one sick mothaf*cka in 2023.

 

the consumer/social wave might be over but there is still alot of cool stuff computers can do

but its not really appealing for the masses at all.

the masses think instagram is cool. the masses don't care that IBM's watson can perform super data analysis on millions of medical claims and find cool insights. they don't care that quantum computing might open up a whole new world of innovations regarding math/statistics and basically anything.

derp

alpha currency trader wanna-be
 
watersign:

the consumer/social wave might be over but there is still alot of cool stuff computers can do

but its not really appealing for the masses at all.

the masses think instagram is cool. the masses don't care that IBM's watson can perform super data analysis on millions of medical claims and find cool insights. they don't care that quantum computing might open up a whole new world of innovations regarding math/statistics and basically anything.

derp

This.

The masses wouldn't know a huge technological improvement if it slapped them in the face.

A quote that describes most people that "Use tech" from a surprising source... "Twitter is stupid, and Instagram is Twitter for people who can't read..."

If everyone was fans or liked or however it works on facebook of I F***ing love science then more people would see the amazing things that are going on with tech. Not all of them are directly tech related but a lot of them use advancements in tech that nobody cares to know about because it doesn't have any effect on how many characters they can post to their twitter.

make it hard to spot the general by working like a soldier
 

Instead of focusing on entertainment, I think today's technology should emphasize more on contributing to world problems, or even personal problems relating to health. For example, back when I worked as a software engineer, I developed eye, back, and neck problems. Google's Glass has potential to possibly do something about eye problems, but it seems that they're emphasizing too much on entertainment.

Smartwatches? What benefit do they even have on humanity?

 

there are lots of tech companies doing cool stuff with big data and whatnot but like i said, enterprise business/cloud/yadayada isn't "cool" or main stream enough.

Nor many people give two fucks that you can use cloud hosted email marketing campaign tools that give you access to powerful data analysis and shit

if its a 6 second video on vine or whatever...yeah its the next biggest thing.

i dont use social media

alpha currency trader wanna-be
 

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