What are the chances of these deals closing?

There's been a study that leaked deals have a roughly 50% chance of closing, whereas non-leaked deals have a ~75% (?) chance of closing...

I'm curious what current bankers (who might have worked on or might have some experience with these deals) think about the likelihood that the two scandalously leaked deals will close: $10bn+ E&P deal and $15bn+ TMT deal

If you worked on it, of course, no MNPI.

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