Wall Street Oasis logo


  • Recent
    • All Recent Content
    • Top WSO Bloggers
    • WSO Chat Room
    • Hot Topics - Week
    • Hot Topics - Month
    • Hot Topics - Year
    • Hot Topics - All Time
    • Top Comments - All Time
  • FAQs
    • Best Interviews
    • Common Questions
    • Industry Specific
    • WSO 101
    • Education
    • Recruiting
    • Life in Finance
    • WSO Company Database
    • WSO Finance Dictionary
  • Forums
    • Post Forum Topic
    • Best Interviews
    • Best Comments
    • WSO Chat Room
    • Job Search Advice
    • Investment Banking
    • Private Equity
    • Venture Capital
    • Trading
    • Consulting
    • Hedge Funds
    • Corporate Finance
    • Real Estate Finance
    • Equity Research
    • Asset Management
    • WSO Success Stories
    • Other Careers
    • Business School
    • Resume Forum
    • Wall St. Fashion
    • New User Intros
    • Monkey Around
    • WSO Products
    • Site Suggestions
  • Groups
    • Browse Groups
    • Create Group
    • My Groups
    • Non Target Networking
    • Energy Trading
    • State your salary
    • Read the Footnotes
    • Proprietary Traders
    • WSO Investment Forum
    • CFA
    • The Restructuring Group
    • Economics
    • RE Finance/Investments
  • About
    • About WSO
    • Press
    • Contact Us
    • RSS Sitemap
    • Advertise on WSO
    • WSO Discounts
    • WSO Store
  • Login
  • Sign Up!
  • Hot Topics
  • My Profile
  • Company Research
  • Modeling
  • Resume Review
  • Events
  • Interview Guides
  • Job Board
  • Intern Positions

6 Free Financial Modeling Lessons...and More.

Enter your e-mail below to get our new Free Modeling Tutorials ($200+ Value).

daily dirtnap
 

In Praise Of High Interest Rates

Jared Dillian's picture
Jared Dillian
      ST
 
 
(Senior Baboon, 208
 
Points)
 on 5/15/13 at 3:30pm
high interest rates.jpg

Mod Note: This is a syndication from Jared's Daily Dirtnap daily market newsletter. WSO readers qualify for a $100 discount...just email [email protected] and mention "WSO Monkey Discount" You can follow Jared on twitter at @dailydirtnap

There I go thinking again, but I was thinking the other day about all these housing bubbles around the world (U.S., Spain, and now Canada and Australia), and I’m telling you ahead of time that this is not going to be a rant about the evils of central banking; you can go read that on a blog. Really what this is about is the evils of low interest rates, regardless of whether they are determined by market or by fiat.

Low interest rates are bad. Bad bad bad. They encourage people to take stupid risks. Of course there were a lot of catalysts and causes for the housing bubble here, including poor incentives surrounding lending standards, but most of it stems from the fact that interest rates at the front end were one percent for a long time, which, in hindsight, turned out to be a huge mistake, because the 2002-2003 recession turned out to be very mild. The response to that recession was all out of proportion to the severity of it. Easy for me to say, Mister Monday Morning Quarterback, because at the time, the stock bubble had just blown sky-high and people were talking about a depression. But then again, you could make the argument that the stock bubble was a product of low interest rates, too.

  •  
  •  
  • 4
     

HOW TO TRADE A BUBBLE

Jared Dillian's picture
Jared Dillian
      ST
 
 
(Senior Baboon, 208
 
Points)
 on 2/14/13 at 1:17pm
Jared Dillian

This is a syndication from Jared's Daily Dirtnap daily market newsletter. WSO readers qualify for a $100 discount...just email [email protected] and mention "WSO Monkey Discount" You can follow Jared on twitter at @dailydirtnap

Q: How do you know when a day trader is losing money on a position?

A: When he starts researching the company.

It is funny because it’s true. But it’s also true that you (the generic you) get to know things really well when you have a position in them, and the larger the position, the better you get to know the company/country or whatever.

So I have a sizable position in MXN, and therefore I pay a lot of attention to what is going on in Mexico. I pay a lot of attention to Carstens. He is an interesting guy. He is a smart guy. So he said something recently that made the hair stand up on the back of my neck; he said that all of this “unconventional monetary policy” (if that’s what you want to call it) and competitive devaluation going on has the potential to create asset bubbles in emerging market countries. I can’t say that I disagree with him, but the reason that hair is standing up on the back of my neck should be obvious. Are emerging market countries (like Mexico) going to take steps to forestall an asset bubble? I hope not. I like asset bubbles.

  •  
  •  
  • 3
     

THE GOVERNMENT

Jared Dillian's picture
Jared Dillian
      ST
 
 
(Senior Baboon, 208
 
Points)
 on 1/15/13 at 12:30pm
government.jpg

This is a syndication from Jared's Daily Dirtnap daily market newsletter. WSO readers qualify for a $100 discount...just email [email protected] and mention "WSO Monkey Discount" You can follow Jared on twitter at @dailydirtnap

People go back and forth on this: government is too big, government is too small. Well, if there is one thing that most people on Wall Street have in common, it is that almost none of them have worked in government. I have. I have an opinion on the size of government, for sure, but at least mine is an educated one.

So let me tell you a couple of government stories, leaving aside all the ones from the Coast Guard Academy (or maybe we will get to those later). So I graduate from the Academy, and I go to a ship. A white one. White ones do law enforcement. I was stationed in the Pacific Northwest. There are a lot of fish in the Pacific Northwest. At least, there used to be a lot of fish. Maybe we will get to that, too.

So I report aboard the cutter, and the first thing they do is make me Weapons Officer. I have a gunner’s mate working for me. Before long, he is scooped up by CGIS (yes, like NCIS) for being a bigamist. Well, it is not as bad as it sounds. He got drunk and got married, a second time, in a blackout.

  •  
  •  
  • 21
     

Forum Topics

  • New
  • Active
  • Rank
  • Comments
  • LBJ was the reason miami won game 1... and LBJ was the reason miami lost game 2... I am the biggest fan of LeChoke, and I'm loving...
    Once again... LeChoke vs. Pacers game 2
  • I've been posting here for a while now, and it's been just under a month since I secured my first SA offer and I realized that I still hadn't taken the time to thank the WSO community for how much they helped me. So, get comfortable because this will be a long...
    Thank you WSO
  • Wall Street Oasis is looking for several hard working individuals to join our intern team to help with online-marketing tasks, specifically Search Engine Optimization (SEO) and link-building... ...
    Wall Street Oasis SEO Interns Needed NOW
  • What do you guys think of / know about GS's private equity group within PIA? I'm a rising second year analyst at a top group / top BB trying to stack it up against other...
    GS PIA / Private Equity
  • Here's my resume, critique/destroy it all you want. I already know the big thing against me is I didn't get involved in any school clubs and shit, is that really a huge...
    Looking to get into strat consulting
  • hi, I am currently a rising sophomore at a non target(rutgers), I am interested in a career in equity research. I know rutgers is a nontarget school, but does anyone have any advice on breaking in? anything would be much appreciated. thanks in...
    need advice on equity research
  • Hey all. I will be recruiting this coming fall for a full time strategy consulting position and wanted to know your thoughts on my resume, my background, my chances at getting interviews, etc. I've thoroughly read both Case in Point and Case Interview Secrets, and have also networked quite a...
    Future consultant? Critique me!
  • Hi Monkeys, The WSO community has been such a help for me since my sophomore year when I learnt about investment banking and has been a huge support throughout my entire recruitment process. I've never done a post but the topics and resources that I have read have been fruitful. All of the...
    GOT AN SA OFFER!!! THANK YOU WSO
  • ...
    Is it cheesy to buy your MD cuban cigars for his birthday
  • Finished freshman year...working in finance dept. of country club. Resume is deplorable, no work experience or even relevant qualities that are hirable, let alone desirable. Can I spin this garb any more? I need an internship for fall but the chances may be slim and none. Let me know what you think...
    You might shed a tear...laughable.
  • I've heard that you should not do this because it is exhausting, you should stick to what you really want, etc. But how feasible is this? Do the major MF headhunters do both PE and HF or mostly specialize? I start later this summer and just wanted to get a feel for my options. Really...
    Recruiting for PE and HF at the same time
  • Hi, this is my first post so please be nice :) I've been lurking the forums for ages, and finally he a question I need to post. Eventually I want to go into prop/algo trading or quant stuff, and I'd rather not work in NY. Id rather chicago, houston, Charlotte, or somewhere...
    College - big fish in little pond or little fish in big pond
  • Anyone working this...
    Anyone in the office this weekend?
  • What are the best books for valuing private firms at the moment? Thanks in advance....
    Essential readings
more

Upcoming Events

  • New York School of Finance: Summer Session 2013
    Jun 3 2013 - 9:00am - 11:00am
  • Financial and Valuation Modeling Seminar (Washington DC)
    Jun 6 2013 - 9:00am - Jun 8 2013 - 5:30pm
  • WSO NYC Happy Hour: Fri. 6/7, 7pm
    Jun 7 2013 - 7:00pm - Jun 8 2013 - 2:00am
  • Advanced Excel for Finance Professionals Webcast
    Jun 11 2013 - 6:00pm - 9:00pm
  • Financial & Valuation Modeling for the Oil & Gas Industry (New York)
    Jun 13 2013 - 8:00am - Jun 15 2013 - 5:00pm
more

Highest Ranked Content

  • Week
  • Month
  • Year
  • All Time
  • Comments
I was writing an email to a fellow monkey who is about to start as a banking analyst in the summer. It's been a little over 5 yrs now since I was a wee young first-year analyst in restructuring for one of the Moelis/Houlihan/Evercore type firms (I call them the firms where most people will...
15 things I wish I knew as a first year banking analyst
This is the reaction any analyst who has ever worked in banking has when you say you want to leave banking for business school then come back as a post b school associate... <img src="http://epicpinterestfail.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/how-i-met-your-mother-barney-why.gif"...
Why You DON'T Leave Banking for B School Just to Come Right Back...
I get a ton of emails and answer a ton of posts asking similar questions so I thought I would answer the most common ones I get here and allow others to post their questions so everyone can see them and the subsequent answers. Hope this helps. <strong>Summer Analyst...
MSF Question and Answer
Inspired by comments from this: http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forums/basic-guide-ramping-up-on-a-company-with-public-information-part-1-of-3 Lets just jump in. <strong>Technology:</strong> In this space there are really two metrics that matter the most, sales growth and EPS...
Beginners Guide to Valuation and Metrics By Sector
I work as a currency volatility trader and manage one of the bigger G10 blocs in London. I've been lucky enough to get responsibility early in my career. I started off managing a single currency book a few months into the job, and have steadily been granted more responsibility to where I am...
Ask Me Anything: I'm a Currency Volatility Trader
I'm currently a Private Equity Analyst in Shanghai, China. Academically, I graduated from a target school majoring in Economics and Chinese. I also spent my time at college as the president of an on-campus student organization related to Finance and Economics and a volunteer for a local...
Ask me anything… I'm a Private Equity Analyst in Shanghai
<em>Mod note: Best of Bankerella - this was originally posted 10/1/12</em> I occasionally get PMed by people at colleges I’ve never heard of before, asking if they have a shot at IBD. Folks, why IBD? The finance world is broad and varied, and there are a million ways to...
My Biggest Career Mistake to Date: Prestige
For better or for worse, there’s a very unique feeling when everything goes completely according to plan yet nobody seems to care or notice. Such is the case with our favorite company of the moment, Tesla Motors. For those unaware, TSLA has rocketed upwards since its Q1 earnings release,...
A Perfect Storm
I work as a long/short equity analyst at a large hedge fund. I've been lucky enough to be more than just a model monkey early on in my career, but have also been exposed to the stress of being measured on returns. I primarily cover consumer and TMT names. I went the typical path (target...
I'm a Hedge Fund Analyst - Ask Me Anything
Fellow Primates, We are looking for 1-2 students on each campus to help WSO in its sales efforts to student clubs/career centers, and overall promotion at your school both online and on the ground. Below is a description of the position and benefits...thanks in advance for your help! <a...
WSO is Looking for Campus Reps For Summer/Fall 2013 (and beyond)
more

Recent Jobs

  • Family Office looking for Summer Intern (with option to continue part-time in fall semester)
  • Portfolio Manager - Immediate Mandate
  • Quantitative Portfolio Manager-Immediate Mandate
  • Immediate Hire - Quant Trader
  • WSO Test Job - Do not apply
more



Sell Tickets Online through Eventbrite

Poll

Why would you NOT go to the 2013 WSO Conference? :
View the current poll results.

Silver Banana Rankings

  • Silver Banana Leaders
  • Soiled Monkeys
UserSilver Bananas
Edmundo Braverman1125
TNA1105
CompBanker873
happypantsmcgee742
IlliniProgrammer726
UFOinsider635
TheKing621
BlackHat566
rufiolove424
Nouveau Richie420
more

Top WSO Members

  • Total Bananas
  • Active Monkeys
UserBanana Points
Edmundo Braverman14408
TNA13539
WallStreetOasis.com12074
UFOinsider10349
happypantsmcgee9621
IlliniProgrammer9244
CompBanker8508
Siberian Husky5862
AndyLouis5831
monty095405
more

New Groups

  • Denver Professionals
  • Minneapolis Bankers
  • Non-Target Networking in NYC
  • Prep School Bankers
  • Commercial Real Estate
  • University of London
  • University of Cambridge
  • Atlanta Monkeys
  • German Monkeys
  • University of North Carolina - Chapel Hill
more

© 2006-2012 WallStreetOasis.com | All Rights ReservedAdvertise | About Us | Contact Us | FAQs | Site Map | Privacy Policy

As Seen In

Sister Site

Syndicate content