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gold
 

Ron Paul's Not Crazy About BitCoin

Edmundo Braverman's picture
Edmundo Braverman
      ST
 
 
(Human, 14,358
 
Points)
 on 4/24/13 at 7:59am

This might surprise some of you, but the world's best-known sound money advocate ain't down with the BitCoin. In the following video, Ron Paul explains that, while it should never be made illegal, BitCoin is just too complicated to ever actually work. Plus you can't put it in your pocket, which is apparently important to the septugenarian libertarian hero. He also touches on some hot button issues like the Boston Marathon bombing and how the old guard of the GOP is going the way of the dinosaur. Good stuff:

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The Golden Rule? Thoughts on gold as an investment

Aswath Damodaran's picture
Aswath Damodaran
     
 
 
(Gorilla, 570
 
Points)
 on 4/23/13 at 10:30am
gold.jpg

Paraphrasing Winston Churchill, gold is a "riddle, wrapped up in a mystery inside an enigma", at least as far as I am concerned. I don't understand what moves the gold price and I have never held gold in my portfolio. That does not mean, however, that I am not fascinated by the price of gold and immune from its movements. That was brought home last week, when the price of gold dropped by 9% on April 15, 2013, the biggest one day drop in thirty years. Not only did the prices of other precious metals (silver dropped 12%) and industrial metals drop, but stock prices took a tumble as well. While the attention has focused on the price drop in recent days, gold has had a good run over the last decade.

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Buying Physical Gold

TNA's picture
TNA
      O
 
 
(Human, 13,508
 
Points)
 on 4/15/13 at 7:50pm

Anyone have any experience with this. Best way to go about doing this? Sites, etc.

I'm looking for the lowest price over spot I can drive to. Looks like Credit Suisse bars are the best way to go, but you guys might have better suggestions.

Anything where I could pay in cash would be optimal. No need for a record or anything.

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Are we witnessing the end of John Paulson?

peinvestor2012's picture
peinvestor2012
      IB
 
(King Kong, 1,632
 
Points)
 on 4/15/13 at 1:52pm
one hit wonder.png

After this piece on Friday discussing his losses, they have amplified today and I'm guessing his unwinding of positions is contributing to the collapse in Gold.

Will Paulson even be around next year? I have to imagine this "one hit wonder" will be forced to wind down all of his funds.

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GDX Vs Gold Discussion

Unforseen's picture
Unforseen
     
 
 
(King Kong, 1,099
 
Points)
 on 1/30/13 at 9:00pm
GDX

I've been having the discussion on the title lately with a client, coworkers, and last night, with Certified Users in the WSO chat.

The discussion stems from the fact that since about June 2008, the return of GDX vs Gold Spot has deviated significantly.

For those of you who don't know, GDX is the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF. (You can find the Factsheet of the ETF Here) From the Factsheet:

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Quebec providing opportunities for mining growth

Frank Jasmer's picture
Frank Jasmer
     
 
(Chimp, 4
 
Points)
 on 9/17/12 at 11:53am

Compared to other, less politically stable countries and areas, Quebec's mining friendly environment and excellent infrastructure makes it an ideal location for gold mining. Aurvista's Douay property is advancing one of the largest undeveloped gold projects in the province.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikUm0_s3Oy4

_____________________________________________________________________
http://www.aurvistagold.com/transparency.html

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Should the US return to the gold standard? (Bloomberg debate)

JeffSkilling's picture
JeffSkilling
     
 
(King Kong, 1,911
 
Points)
 on 8/30/12 at 4:31pm

Typical misinformed Keynesian guy straight out of the Ivy League vs. a guy that actually knows what he's talking about. How can people that are paying attention not see how clear the right answer is here?

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Catastrophe for Small Businesses

kevinanchi's picture
kevinanchi
      ER
 
(Senior Chimp, 26
 
Points)
 on 7/17/12 at 5:08am

New York, NY, July 17, 2012 – According to Michael Lombardi, lead contributor to Profit Confidential, small businesses are a critical part of job creation in this country, as they accounted for 48.5% of the job creation in 2011 and 51.6% of the job creation year-to-date. Lombardi says that more small businesses actually feel the U.S. economy will deteriorate, not grow, in the next six months, with one in four small-business owners believing this is a bad time to expand their business.

“This puts into question the whole economic recovery theory,” says Lombardi.

In the article “America’s ‘Small Business’ Catastrophe,” Lombardi states that in light of this, fewer small businesses were looking to increase their capital spending in the next six months.

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Why Recent Oil Price Falls are a Good Buying Opportunity - An Interview with Jim Rogers

oilprice's picture
oilprice
      EN
 
(Gorilla, 574
 
Points)
 on 7/4/12 at 10:24pm

World markets appear to be hovering over a precipice as Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, slowdowns in India and China and further bank downgrades threaten to send stocks and commodities down even further. Falling oil and gas prices may offer some respite to consumers but are they enough to help the economy or are they a symptom of deeper problems?

To help us look at these issues and more we are joined by the well known investor, adventurer and author Jim Rogers. Jim is the creator of the Rogers International Commodity Index, he also recently completed a book called: A Gift to my Children – which helps people learn from their triumphs and mistakes in order to achieve a prosperous, well-lived life. Please click on the following link to find out more information on A Gift to my Children.

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Where is the safe haven?

Yuriy A's picture
Yuriy A
      AM
 
 
(Senior Baboon, 244
 
Points)
 on 6/4/12 at 7:30pm
safe haven.jpg

Whenever the U.S. markets have a significant negative move like what we saw on Friday (DJIA -2.22%, S&P 500 -2.46%), we are used to hearing that money is being allocated to “safe havens”, most notably the United States Treasuries. But with ten year treasury rates hovering around a percent and a half, parking your money there will lose you purchasing power to inflation, which is undoubtedly likely to accelerate as the lagged effects of the QE 1&2 programs are kicking in and as a potential QE 3 is on the horizon.

I frequently hear that the precious metals markets, most notably gold, is a safe haven during inflationary times, but I personally have a hard time believing that a brick of yellow metal will do me any good in the event of an economic collapse. Now I did see a recent sixty minutes story about the value of gold in India and how society is completely infatuated with gold ownership (I highly recommend watching this if you haven’t yet), I just do not see that in the information age that gold bars will be an effective form of currency, especially when society is moving towards having payment options through smart phones rather than plastic credit cards or bills. I have a hard time imagining people carrying around a backpack full of gold bars around to pay for their daily expenses.

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Gold: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Jorgé's picture
Jorgé
     
 
(Neanderthal, 2,182
 
Points)
 on 6/2/12 at 11:00am
Golden-Ferrari-Enzo-580x401.jpg

Gold may have blown away stocks,
bonds, and practically ever other risk asset for the past few years, but if you were late to the party, chances are you got shafted pretty bad - in May alone it dropped 6%.

With yesterday’s climb however, goldbugs and skeptics have fueled debate once again.

What do you think monkeys? Is this time different? Will this rally grow legs? Or is this just another blow-off?

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When Kyle Bass and the other widowmakers woke up this morning to the Japanese downgrade

wheninfinance's picture
wheninfinance
     
 
(Monkey, 58
 
Points)
 on 5/22/12 at 6:04pm

http://www.cnbc.com/id/47510367

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Is Gold Today’s Safest Investment?

chabo11's picture
chabo11
     
 
(Orangutan, 310
 
Points)
 on 5/3/12 at 6:30pm
gold.jpg

In today’s uncertain market, it’s important to devote a portion of your portfolio to safe investments.

This is an obvious statement for most of you. Some have different opinions regarding how much of a portfolio should be devoted to risk mitigation, but most agree that safe investments are necessary to hedge against economic downturns.

We have so many options, but what exactly is the ideal “safe” investment? This question was explored in a recent article in The Atlantic, which can be read here.

For the second straight year, an annual Gallup poll has found that a plurality of Americans believe gold is the single safest long term investment option. Safer than savings accounts. Safer than real estate. Safer than stocks. A full 28 percent of adults ranked gold as their top choice, down from 34 percent last year, a drop just outside the five point margin of error. It was most popular among older Americans, those without a college a degree, and individuals who earned between $30,000 and $75,000 a year.

So what’s the safest type of investment? Below I’ll lay out a case for each of the most common answers, and I’ll leave you to decide:

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Is Gold Overpriced Relative to Other Commodities?

Insider Monkey's picture
Insider Monkey
     
 
(Baboon, 170
 
Points)
 on 3/31/12 at 4:35am
gold.jpg

Gold stocks are quite popular among hedge funds these days, and with good reason. John Paulson, who is very bullish about gold, made $5 billion by betting on gold in 2010. As of December 31, 2011, the largest position in the 13F portfolio of his Paulson & Co was the gold exchange-traded fund (ETF) SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), in which Paulson had over $2.6 billion invested. Besides Paulson, there were 55 other money managers bullish about SPDR Gold Trust. In total, they had $8.2 billion invested in the position.

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India is sneezing, will the gold market catch cold?

Diamond Lil's picture
Diamond Lil
      ST
 
 
(Baboon, 153
 
Points)
 on 3/26/12 at 12:09pm
Indian-gold-jewelry-designs.jpg

Bloomberg reports today that India’s gold imports may be cut dramatically this month, from about 75-80 tons same time last year, to 25-30 tons. This, as a result of higher import taxes which have slowed demand, and which were intended to slow demand as most gold purchased in India is imported.

Jewelry stores have closed down to protest these new taxes.

India is the world’s largest bullion buyer and consumer of gold, both in jewelry and bars and coins. It holds 32% of the global demand for gold. Half of it is bought as jewelry. In India, instead of banking on brick, like i recently wrote about Argentina, people bank on 22K gold. Instead of putting their rupees in a savings account in a bank, Indians buy gold. I have to say that in the last few years, this has been nothing to sneeze at. And as gold prices continued to climb, the Indian population, fueled by higher prices, keeps buying more.

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Dikembe Mutombo: Rogue gold trader?

Jorgé's picture
Jorgé
     
 
(Neanderthal, 2,182
 
Points)
 on 1/19/12 at 10:00pm
mutombo.jpg

Dikembe Mutombo’s finger wag always deserved a tip of the hat, but with all the revelations about his gold trading schemes finally coming to light, the man probably deserves a taste of his own medicine.

Forbes:

Mutombo was recently involved in a proposed deal to extract more than a thousand pounds of gold from his native Democratic Republic of the Congo, amidst the core of the conflict mineral trade, and sell the haul for more than $10 million. The money generated was to be split between him, Nigerian-born Houston energy mogul Kase Lawal and Third World mineral trader Carlos St. Mary

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Ron Paul needs clothes for the primaries

Ron Paul's picture
Ron Paul
     
 
(Senior Gorilla, 916
 
Points)
 on 1/2/12 at 3:06pm

I may be ideologically strong, but I’m clueless about fashion. For silver bananas:

1) If I get flat front wool slacks (probably grey), should they be cuffed or not cuffed?

2) Can/should I mix the aforementioned slacks with: a navy suit jacket? a navy blazer? (and no tie)

Assume these clothes are for networking into an IB analyst position in NYC, since that’s my backup job (President is first choice).

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Ron Paul's Portfolio

charmander's picture
charmander
      IB
 
(Senior Baboon, 202
 
Points)
 on 12/23/11 at 3:48pm
ron_paul_gold_coin.jpg

http://blogs.wsj.com/totalreturn/2011/12/21/the-ro...

"Yes, about 21% of Rep. Paul’s holdings are in real estate and roughly 14% in cash. But he owns no bonds or bond funds and has only 0.1% in stock funds. Furthermore, the stock funds that Rep. Paul does own are all “short,” or make bets against, U.S. stocks. One is a “double inverse” fund that, on a daily basis, goes up twice as much as its stock benchmark goes down.

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Is the gold rush over?

Jorgé's picture
Jorgé
     
 
(Neanderthal, 2,182
 
Points)
 on 12/13/11 at 7:30pm
no-gold-for-you.jpg

Dennis Gartman was on CNBC earlier today laying out his case against gold and aside from him saying that the bull market is dead, I can’t help but agree. Price action for the precious metal has been very erratic lately, bullish news followed by short rallies are telling me that the big guys are either out or cashing in to the late longs and despite the probability of more money printing (or whatever bullish case you might have) to come, the bulls seem to be nowhere in the order flow.

Granted, I haven’t been following gold that much these past weeks so I could be dead wrong on this one, but either way I can’t help but feel that unless something big happens, the gold market could end up pretty ugly.

What do you think monkeys?

Is the gold rush over? Or is it just taking a breather?

Video after the jump.

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Paulson Dumps Gold to Buy...BAC?

Edmundo Braverman's picture
Edmundo Braverman
      ST
 
 
(Human, 14,358
 
Points)
 on 11/17/11 at 6:00am
wtf.jpg

Fuh...what???

It's no secret that hedge fund giant John Paulson has had a rough year so far. He took an absolute reaming on Sino-Forest, and his two largest funds are down 44% and 29% for the year, respectively. Maybe that's why his latest 13F (filed Monday) discloses what appears to be a massive year-end Hail Mary pass.

Paulson sold a staggering $2 billion worth of GLD, the gold ETF. This move in and of itself is not entirely surprising. After all, gold has been a huge winner for him, one of the only bright spots for him this year really, and he's getting out at the high. You'll never go broke taking a profit.

So what did he do with the proceeds? He bought BAC.

Yeah, you read that right.

He bought BAC.

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Equities and Metals Moving Together

the magnum's picture
the magnum
     
 
(Monkey, 55
 
Points)
 on 9/28/11 at 1:03am

So for the past week or so, gold/silver and US equity markets have been moving in tandem.
Traditionally, metals and equities are inversely correlated.

Someone once mentioned that the correlation has to do with inflationary/deflationary environment, but can someone elaborate on why the correlation changed?

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A Great Time for the Contrarian: Put Oil, Natural Gas & Silver on Your Radar Screens

adiefendal's picture
adiefendal
     
 
(Senior Monkey, 72
 
Points)
 on 9/27/11 at 1:19am
interest-rates-150x124.jpg

The recent stock market selloff was due to the U.S. Federal Reserve saying that the domestic economy faces some serious challenges over the next year. The central bank didn’t take much in the way of new policy action, because there isn’t much left their toolbox. Interest rates can’t go much lower; therefore, the economy is on its own.

I pretty much have the expectation that the U.S. economy is likely to produce little to no growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in the next two quarters. Investors, who already sold stocks after reducing their expectations for the future, have now had to do the same thing again.

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Gold Bullion’s Price Action: Time to Separate the Men from the Boys

adiefendal's picture
adiefendal
     
 
(Senior Monkey, 72
 
Points)
 on 9/27/11 at 1:05am
gold2-150x150

In the depth of a bear market in gold prices, back in 2001, a bull market in gold was born. Gold bullion traded for about $300.00 an ounce in late 2011, early 2002, and yours truly became a staunch advocate of gold at that time.

Since the beginning of the bull market in gold, we’ve seen an often repeated pattern: gold bullion prices advance sharply, profit taking comes in, the “weak hands” (as I call them) dump their gold as the price for bullion falls, prices bottom out, and the bull market continues. This pattern has been repeated for 11 years now.

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How to Survive During This Economic Chaos

adiefendal's picture
adiefendal
     
 
(Senior Monkey, 72
 
Points)
 on 9/27/11 at 12:59am
stock-market12-150x150

The stock market sold off last Thursday. Even gold could not avoid the collapse, as the October gold futures plummeted to $1,700. We have the debt crisis in Europe, with Greece facing a default situation unless its austerity program is accepted by lenders. Moody’s downgraded eight Greek banks after several Italian banks were also downgraded.

Watch the S&P 500 as it nears a critical support level of 1,125 and the four-week low at 1,114. A break could send the index down to below 1,100.

Small-caps are getting hammered, with the Russell 2000 down over 26% from its high and now technically in a bear market.

Watch over the next few days to see if oversold buying emerges.

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Stocks in Trouble…and It’s Not Over

adiefendal's picture
adiefendal
     
 
(Senior Monkey, 72
 
Points)
 on 9/26/11 at 1:47am
stockmarket8

The signs point to more troubles ahead.

The stock market is in bear market territory for small-caps with the collapse on Thursday. There were several technical breaks materializing on the broad-based heavy selling. The small-cap Russell 2000 is a mess, down 17.89% this year and 25.46% from its 52-week high. The S&P appears to be heading towards support at 1,100. The downside risk is extremely high given the death cross on the stock index charts. When stocks traded at this level before, we saw buying support surface. Watch to see if it happens this time around.

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Gold & Silver Setting up for an Attractive New Entry Point

adiefendal's picture
adiefendal
     
 
(Senior Monkey, 72
 
Points)
 on 9/26/11 at 1:43am
precious-metals

An opportunity is now being created in precious metals if the current correction continues. Most precious metals have been falling in price, as financial markets continue to reassess the expectations for economic growth. With lower expectations for global economic growth, the demand outlook for raw materials and spot prices are also going down.

The price of gold has, in my mind, been worthy of a correction for quite some time now. In fact, I think it would be a very healthy development for the long-term trend. It wouldn’t surprise me if the spot price of gold were to retreat and consolidate around the $1,600 level. It’s trading around $1,700 now and $1,600 should provide a good base.

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Stock Market & Gold: An Opportunity Like We’ve Never Seen Before?

adiefendal's picture
adiefendal
     
 
(Senior Monkey, 72
 
Points)
 on 9/26/11 at 1:34am
stock-market10-150x127.jpg

I’m so excited this morning; I can hardly control my excitement.

Being the type of person who looks at the glass half-full as opposed to half-empty, I see yesterday’s sell-off in most investment categories as presenting investors with huge opportunities for profit.

Let’s start with the stock market: Since August, there have been five breakdowns by the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the 10,500 level. Subsequent to each of the downside moves, the stock market has rallied. As of last night’s close, the Dow Jones Industrials are selling at only 12.2 times this year’s earnings! The Dow Jones Industrials offer a dividend yield today of 2.9%—trumping most other forms of investment in respect to income.

The stock market is severely oversold; there is great value in stocks.

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Gold - Very Bullish?

AZMonkey's picture
AZMonkey
     
 
(Senior Monkey, 76
 
Points)
 on 9/13/11 at 11:08am
gold bull.jpg

So I was monkeying around yesterday and looking up the price and predictions of commodity futures when I found this article. For the most part I agree with it. Recent news seems to indicate that gold might indeed soar over 2000. The charts and statistics seem to indicate it as well.

http://www.321gold.com/editorials/sfs/hubbartt0909...

However, there's just a small inkling of me that feels uneasy about it. I was curious as to whether or not you WSO monkeys agree with the article and what's your thought rationale behind it.

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Is Fort Knox Empty?

Edmundo Braverman's picture
Edmundo Braverman
      ST
 
 
(Human, 14,358
 
Points)
 on 8/23/11 at 5:31am
Bald Chavez.jpg

Hugo Chavez might have one foot in the grave and the other one on a banana peel, but that hasn't stopped him from causing what is shaping up to be a massive short squeeze in physical gold. The (democratically elected) Venezuelan dictator began the process of repatriating over 400 tons of the yellow metal last week, most of which is held for safekeeping abroad.

Gold went over $1,900 an ounce yesterday.

The U.S. holds a massive amount of foreign gold for safekeeping. So far it looks like only JP Morgan is exposed to the Venezuelan repatriation, with an estimated $807 million of Venezuelan gold in their vaults. But what if this is the beginning of a trend? What if more countries ask us to ship their gold to them? It's no secret that the Fed monkeys with the gold in storage, lending against it and so forth. But there hasn't been an audit of the gold in storage in decades.

What if there's no gold in Fort Knox?

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why shouldnt I invest in gold?

AndyLouis's picture
AndyLouis
     
 
 
(Senior Neanderthal, 5,814
 
Points)
 on 8/19/11 at 7:03pm
gold.jpg

Gold up another 1% today (and a new all time high?) some people tell me impending bubble will burst, and some tell me as long as there is economic uncertainity gold is a good investment. I have a few k I'd like to invest in something, i'm not a finance wiz, can someone please give me a brief reason as to why I should or should not invest in gold? sb for the best (informative/brief) answer, thx.

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    May 31 2013 - 7:00pm - Jun 1 2013 - 2:00am
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Inspired by comments from this: http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forums/basic-guide-ramping-up-on-a-company-with-public-information-part-1-of-3 Lets just jump in. <strong>Technology:</strong> In this space there are really two metrics that matter the most, sales growth and EPS...
Beginners Guide to Valuation and Metrics By Sector
I'm currently a Private Equity Analyst in Shanghai, China. Academically, I graduated from a target school majoring in Economics and Chinese. I also spent my time at college as the president of an on-campus student organization related to Finance and Economics and a volunteer for a local...
Ask me anything… I'm a Private Equity Analyst in Shanghai
You've just gotten that promotion and now you're in charge of a small team. Congratulations! And welcome to middle management. All the hard work and the knowledge you've developed about everything your firm does these past few years has been noticed. But, now you have a small...
7 Things I've Learned About Being A Manager
For better or for worse, there’s a very unique feeling when everything goes completely according to plan yet nobody seems to care or notice. Such is the case with our favorite company of the moment, Tesla Motors. For those unaware, TSLA has rocketed upwards since its Q1 earnings release,...
A Perfect Storm
Assuming that you have access to no financial products such as FactSet, Bloomberg, CapitalIQ, Thomson or otherwise, thought it would be helpful to give a step by step guide on how to ramp up on a new company from your home computer. Using FaceBook as an example. Lets go ahead and start with the...
Basic Guide Ramping Up On A Company With Public Information (Part 1 of 3)
I work as a long/short equity analyst at a large hedge fund. I've been lucky enough to be more than just a model monkey early on in my career, but have also been exposed to the stress of being measured on returns. I primarily cover consumer and TMT names. I went the typical path (target...
I'm a Hedge Fund Analyst - Ask Me Anything
Fellow Primates, We are looking for 1-2 students on each campus to help WSO in its sales efforts to student clubs/career centers, and overall promotion at your school both online and on the ground. Below is a description of the position and benefits...thanks in advance for your help! <a...
WSO is Looking for Campus Reps For Summer/Fall 2013 (and beyond)
Someone was asking me about this in PM and I wrote a long and detailed reply about what it is like to work in Big 4 and what advice I would give to people thinking about interning / working there. Thought it might be useful for others so my reply is below. Happy to answer any...
Working In Big 4 Audit in London
<em>Mod Note: This is a syndication from Jared's Daily Dirtnap daily market newsletter. WSO readers qualify for a $100 discount...just email [email protected] and mention "WSO Monkey Discount" You can follow Jared on twitter at @dailydirtnap</em> There I go...
In Praise Of High Interest Rates
<em>Mode note: Blast from the past - "Best of Eddie" - this one is originally from December 2010.</em> Monty09 may have gotten the best plug yet for his <a href="http://energyrodeo.com/">Energy Rodeo</a> in Houston next month, and it came from none...
New York vs. Houston
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Why would you NOT go to the 2013 WSO Conference?
N/A - Already bought my ticket, see you there!
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