15 Comments
 

Nobody said it was a long… But yes stock surged +8% after 1Q25 print, think price-implied estimates are fair for now. Don’t see any inflection points. I didn’t wanna artificially massage the assumptions to turn it into a long/short, thought it better to just say hold, show my analysis, and what entry price could be. What do you think?

 
Most Helpful

For pitching you need to know the company and stock inside out. Doesn't seem like you're there. 

E.g. you didn't mention the pricing agreement being reached with the NTIA, and several pieces of info from the latest result (e.g. introduction of dividend, increased domain guidance, early signs of positive traction on registrar marketing programs). 

Given the page limits your writing also needs to be much more crisp and higher signal to noise ratio. Too much fluff. Most investors will already be familiar with a stock like VeriSign, so you don't need to spend much time analysing the moat and business model. Can be a few sentences max. If it's a smaller or relatively unknown company, then that's different. Spend more time on variant perception and analysis of the key drivers. 

Good that you identified what drives the stock (.com registrations) but you need to go deeper in your analysis. 

Also, I agree with the other person commenting that 'Hold' pitches are underwhelming and won't get people excited. Better to have some longs and some shorts that show unique/different views vs. the market. 

 

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