Betting on Mayweather vs McGregor: good trade or not
Vegas odds for:
Mayweather win -500 1.2 1/5
McGregor win +375 4.75 15/4
This seems to be ridiculously mispriced to me, anyone here betting on Mayweather win?
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i think a boxer is going to win a boxing match
Certainly a wild take
So if you bet $1000 on McGregor you can lose a k or win 4750? Not bad
.
1k on McGregor: 1k*15/4 = 3.75k return + 1k back ~ 375% return vs 100% loss
1k on Mayweather 1k *1/5 = 0.2k return + 1k back ~ 20% return vs 100% loss
Why is that mispriced?
How is it mispriced?
That's what I'm asking OP
Based on Vegas odds Implied win probability: Mayweather 83.33% Mcgregor 21.05%
Some reasons:
Mayweather is one of the greatest boxers of all time fighting against MMA fighter in a boxing match, five-division boxing world champion
Mayweather - most accurate puncher ever having highest recorder plus-minus ratio in recorded box history
Mayweather and Mcgreggor both counter punchers, so Mcgregor style does not favour him
Mcgregor is more trained for MMA footwork than boxing
Initial Vegas odds: Mayweather -2250 95.75% implied win probability , Mcgregor +900 10% implied win probability, they updated the odds because of the bets on Mcgregor to balance books although nothing materially changed in terms of fighters chances.
I think Mcgregor will be punching air and will be made to look silly, I don't see this going the distance, I think FM will knockout Mcgregor, but I'm not confident enough to bet on that, I think risk:return ratio is much better just betting on Floyd's win.
True probabilities: +99% Floyd
hahhaha bro
I bet Mayweather by decision at +170, I am however very worried that Floyd is going to stop McGregor. Need Floyd to dance around and take the easy win on points without going for the finish. Betting on McGregor is insanity IMO he should be more like +3000.
I think Floyd will KO Mcgregor. I think win by decision is a risky bet .
I'm betting on Mayweather win anyways.
Agree I don't feel super confident but the gambler in me won out and I went for the bigger payout. Certainly the safe return is just betting Mayweather to win at -600/550.
My buddy bet me $50 that McGregor would win, easy money.
At even odds? Certified retard
even odds baby!
Did you lock in the pnl by taking the other side on some website?
I was thinking of doing just this, I probably will.
i also want to bet my $50 with your buddy...is it possbile?
any info yet on where to watch this online?
Just been cleared to fight in 8 oz gloves...
AndyLouis
sooooo what, you're just eating the hype that they're spoonfeeding into your face
no chance that mayweather lets his reputation fall, unlike you :-)
sweeeeet
McGregor is a dead man. Begin the funeral arrangements.
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