Biotech Equity Research with no Science background

Hi all,

I recently finished up an SA S&T stint @ a BB and received a full-time offer. I have been contemplating the decision on whether or not S&T is the right place for me. Being in markets I obviously had a lot of exposure to research and found it very interesting. I have always had a desire to pursue ER at the end of the day under the healthcare umbrella and more specifically biotechnology. Doing my own research it is clear that the individuals in Biotech ER come from science intensive backgrounds because the field is so technical in nature.

My question is, with an S&T background and no real exposure to science classes other than electives, is a transition to this specific area feasible? Any thoughts and or recommendations are welcomed.

 
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Disclaimer: I studied math/CS in school but have long had an interest in healthcare/biopharma, self-studied ochem and am slowly moving through biochem/pharmacodymanics/cokinetics in my free time now and have a few friends who work in the space, but I am not a biopharma analyst myself, I just enjoy learning about it. So here's my 2 cents, based on my friends' experiences:

While having the biochem background is definitely an advantage, it's not like studying it will give you the keys to the kingdom. All things equal, it would obviously be superior to have the knowledge, but a successful biotech/pharma is more than just science - it's a business first and foremost. Having an intuitive understanding of a company's clinical assets is only half the battle, and if you can't project its market impact and appropriate value (using traditional valuation methods), then you can't really make an effective play. Not to mention, there are many examples of drugs where all the science checked out, FDA was on board, but tanked (e.g. tositumomab/I131 - Bexxar). Had you thought GSK knocked it out of the park just off of clinical trials, you would've been wrong.

It's much like trying to value a technology startup. You can take a full CS undergrad, crush data structures/algos, get an engineering job at Google, but that doesn't mean you know how to value a tech company/startup (analogous to big pharma/biotech, respectively). Many, many VCs have failed with this one. Sure, you need to know if something is actually ridiculous, like if some obscure startup claims they can use "cloud synergies to aggressively develop autonomous driving platforms using blockchain", but that doesn't require in-depth technical knowledge so much as general domain understanding of what's realistic and what isn't. Even if you have a background in what a company is pitching, chances are you won't be able to get close enough to the codebase (or lab results) to tell. Your best bet is combing through the FDA clinical trial results and getting an understanding of the drug interaction and efficacy (much like how understanding software development is only a small fraction of what a CS program entails).

If you're interested, I'd say learn the drug market and the general science first. What's the difference between a small molecule drug and a biologic? What are the different types of biologics (e.g. mAb, vaccines, growth factors, etc.)? What are the big names on the market and what do they treat - and when do they go off patent? Who will the competitors be? What are specific FDA terms - rare disease, fast track, ANDA, NDA, etc.?

And of course, don't forget to stay sharp with valuation and investing. At the end of the day, this is the modeling of an esoteric asset with a lot of assumptions (will it pass Phase X, get FDA approval, hit enough of the target market, take enough market share from competitors, etc.). So investing and finance plays into it as well. But self-studying is always a good thing - get your foot in the door and prove you know what you're talking about and a reasonable team will talk to you, regardless of your background.

 

Here are some of the books I read or am in the process of: Chemistry (Zumdahl), Biology (Campbell), Organic Chemistry (Klein), Basic Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics (Rosenbaum), An Introduction to Medicinal Chemistry (Patrick), Drugs: From Discovery to Approval (Ng), Valuation in Life Sciences (Bogdan). MIT OpenCourseWare has a lot of online courses in the sciences (and other fields) if you're more of a visual/audio learner. Not sure how comprehensive that list is, when I started out I asked my friends in pharmacy school/science research what was needed and what could be skipped and kind of jumped around.

For news, I follow a few industry sites like FiercePharma/Biotech, STAT, Xconomy. Also on my Bloomberg I follow a number of industry names so I get related news on them.

 

It will be tough without the science background but you can learn certain things as you go. The only thing to consider is that depending on the intensity of a bank-specific group you could be floating in the science or be balls deep in it and have to make science-based decisions in your analysis. The level of science lebron may suffice in certain areas but it may be tougher elsewhere. E.g Tideglusib was a GSK-3 inhibitor used for Alzheimer's disease. Blocking that enzyme stopped accumulation of proteins that cause neurodegeneration and help Alzheimer's progress. It is also used in a process called apoptosis which is a programmed-cell death mechanism the body uses to kill potentially cancerous cells. By blocking it, this ability to kill potentially dangerous cells is inhibited and in some clinical studies the side effect of the treatment was cancer. Since this is quite severe it decreases the likelihood of clinical progression and FDA approval.

I don't know if THAT level of knowledge is needed to be a good ER analyst but it helps. Also, being able to read clinical studies and data helps.

 

I worked in IB covering biopharma at a lower tier BB, then at a late stage biotech VC / hedge fund, had ER offers at top tier biopharma ER and have started a venture backed biotech company, and I have no science background.

You can do ER in biotech without a science background but it will just require a bit more networking to make up for the lack of science background. Most ER associate job descriptions in biopharma list MD or PhD as a requirement, though that is not strict if you can otherwise prove you can do the job (ie more networking). Check out DOC jobs, a job board for PhDs / MDs, they post a new ER associate job almost every day.

Equity research in the past has focused mostly on clinical stage or later companies, where science knowledge is not as important. You will need to learn how to analyze clinical data, but that's something you can get up to a reasonable basic level of competence in a few months with practice. However, since 2015 there have been a massive amount of biotech IPOs, and many of them (esp the hottest deals) are preclinical. Evaluating those companies is really all about the science. You will need to be conversant in molecular and cell biology, the drug discovery and development process, basic biochemistry, pharmacokinetics, translational research, etc. You need to be able to read scientific papers, understand them in detail and critically analyze them (maybe not as much in ER, but on the buyside, especially in VC, that skill is critical).

You will also be competing with young PhD students, who lack finance knowledge, but you won't be able to match their science knowledge. They also have much lower salary thresholds -- if you are doing a PhD you make $40-60K / year, and your job prospects aren't that great.

It is...hard. But you can do it. And it is a very in demand and rare skillset these days, and the biotech market is growing like crazy, but if you invest in that skillset it will not open any doors beyond biotech, because it is such an idiosyncratic field. Personally, I could not imagine working in any other finance related field. It is such a growing area, there is so much room to add value and build, but you really eat what you kill especially if you don't have a science background

https://www.baybridgebio.com/
 

I work in pharma corp dev and I can tell you it's difficult without the science background. Estimating regulatory approval success rates, uptake curves and brand substitution, peak sales estimates from patient based models, etc., is difficult without truly understanding the clinical benefit of the products and its risks/advantage.

You don't really know how successful your marketing campaign will be (i.e., ability to get docs to write scripts). You often feel like you're forecasting in the dark without the broader context.

It's a bit different in corpdev because we have internal SMEs that provide guidance. We also have the ability to engage external consultants. So not sure if its comparable to ER.

“Elections are a futures market for stolen property”
 

Did Healthcare M&A and Equity Research - mainly in pharma, and medical devices for a year. Have a brother who specialized in pre clinical trial drug, as a management consultant.

Most people that I know in that areas are physicians or at least have PhD in medical fields. My brother finished with a Master degree in Pharmacy and he feels like he needs a PhD to do well in this field.

I never took classes in medical science area and won't encourage this path (consulting, vc, pe, mgt consulting in healthcare sector) without the medical academic background. Better stick with easier to understand areas like consumer sector for equity research.

 

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