Confused about carry at PE Fund

So in general I understand some about PE salaries, but I have a few questions. So let's hypothetically say you're a VP with a salary that includes 0.5% carry, which in a given year (Year 1) amounts to $500,000 for you, which is spread out over a period of 5 years at $100,000.

So Year 1: Base + Bonus + Carry ($100,000)
Year 2: Base + Bonus + Carry ($100,000)
Year 3: Base + Bonus + Carry ($100,000)
Year 4: Base + Bonus + Carry ($100,000)
Year 5: Base + Bonus + Carry ($100,000)

But, this carry was generated after selling just one investment, right? So let's say next year (Year 2), you again have a salary with 0.5% carry, but this time that amounts to $1,000,000 for you in carry compensation because your PE company sold a larger investment, and this is paid at $200,000 over 5 years. So then would your salary look like this?

Year 1: Base + Bonus + Carry (Y1's $100,000)
Year 2: Base + Bonus + Carry (Y1's $100,000 + Y2's $200,000)
Year 3: Base + Bonus + Carry (Y1's$100,000 + Y2's $200,000)
Year 4: Base + Bonus + Carry (Y1's$100,000 + Y2's $200,000)
Year 5: Base + Bonus + Carry (Y1's$100,000+ Y2's $200,000)
Year 6: Base + Bonus + Carry (Y2's $200,000)

Basically, my question is how many times does a PE fund exit an investment and thus give you an opportunity to make carry in a given year. I understand you may not make money on every investment you sell, and that this may vary based on the size of the fund, but can someone give a general idea, maybe how much a megafund sells and how much a 500 mil fund sells.

I can't post links but there's a report named private equity compensation TRENDS IN NORTH AMERICA: 2016 by Heidrick and Struggles, would you say this report provides a good estimate of how much you make in carry money from all the sold investments of your PE firm in a year?

Thank you!

 

Pretty open ended question, but I'll take a stab. Typical holding period for a buyout investment is 4-5 years. You also have to take into account that carry is done on a fund-level basis. While a specific investment may in theory return carry, what matters at the end of the day is what the fund has done, so carry will be back-loaded, otherwise you end up with clawback issues.

 

Agree with m8's comments, but the major issue with your table above is that while the carry will likely get paid out over 5 years, it will most likely not be a similar amount every year like base and bonus (can be very lumpy depending on size and return on investments sold that year) and will not begin to pay out for 3+ years from the time you start "earning" it. As m8 mentioned, unless you work for a fundless sponsor that raises capital on a deal-by-deal basis (i.e. not a traditional PE fund), carry is usually only paid out once you have returned invested capital and covered a hurdle rate (usually 8% annually) on the invested amount for the whole fund, and not on a deal-by-deal basis. There are some cases where partial carry payments are made in the interim if the portfolio is healthy and a good portion of capital has been returned, but PE professionals try to avoid a clawback situation where they have to return compensation after it was paid because investments they thought would pay off don't. In short, be prepared to wait longer and have less consistent payouts than your model above. Also be prepared to look a lot wealthier on paper than your actual bank account through the early innings of your PE career, because serious carry payments can take 5-7 years because they are back-end loaded.

Regarding the H&S report (and other PE comp reports), carry is usually reported on a per fund (not annual) or percentage of carry pool basis. So if you earn carry in a fund and H&S said that should be $500K, you are earning $500K over the entire life of that fund, likely split up over 3-7 years. As you mentioned, way too much goes into this to make meaningful annual comparisons like base/bonus - size of fund, how quickly it's invested, returns, when companies are exited, etc.. You can also be earning carry on more than one fund at a time if you have been with the firm for a long time. Rather than target a specific $ payout for the fund or annual $ amount, most negotiation is done around the % of the carry pool (50bps, 150bps, 500bps, etc) since that's the easiest thing to control for.

Finally, the best way to think about carry is a simple math equation like this - multiply the size of the fund by 20% for the total carry pool. This assumes a 2x ROIC on a fund (some will be much higher, some will be lower). If you make 2x on a $500MM fund, you will return $500MM of capital cost (1x) and $500MM of profit (1x). In a traditional 20% carry model, the firm gets to keep 20% of the profits or $100MM. If you received 0.50% (50bps) of carry, you would receive $500K over the life of that fund. You can do the same math on larger funds. Much more money to play with, but generally lower returns and a lot more mouths to feed.

Hope this helps.

 
AmoryBlaine:
Finally, the best way to think about carry is a simple math equation like this - multiply the size of the fund by 20% for the total carry pool. This assumes a 2x ROIC on a fund (some will be much higher, some will be lower). If you make 2x on a $500MM fund, you will return $500MM of capital cost (1x) and $500MM of profit (1x). In a traditional 20% carry model, the firm gets to keep 20% of the profits or $100MM. If you received 0.50% (50bps) of carry, you would receive $500K over the life of that fund.

How does this account for the high hurdle rate? In this case you took 20% of the gain, not 20% above the high hurdle rate. Wouldn't the proceeds be lower because of that?

 

There's some nuance, but the hurdle rate really just impacts if a pool of capital is going to pay carry and not how much carry is going to be paid. Basically, your fund's IRR needs to clear the hurdle rate to generate carried interest, but after you return the principal and 8% return (if the hurdle is 8%), then there is generally a catch-up where up to 100% of the dollars go to the fund/GP until they get caught up to the stated carry split (usually 80% to LPs and 20% carry to the GP) on all of the profits and not just profits above the hurdle. After the GP is "caught up", then all dollars are paid at the 80/20 split thereafter. The ultimate result is that unless your fund generates only enough to get partially through the catch-up, your carry generally ends up being on all profit dollars and not just the spread above the cost and hurdle. See this link for more detail.

 
Best Response

No problem - happy to help. To illustrate how I would think about your table above, see the example below of someone who starts as a Vice President and then gets promoted to Principal and then Director after three years at each title (obviously timeframe for promotion and actual titles will vary by firm):

  • VP1 - Base + bonus; accruing carry at 50bps in Fund I
  • VP2 - Modest increase in base + bonus; accruing carry at 50bps in Fund I
  • VP3 - Modest increase in base + bonus; accruing carry at 50bps in Fund I

  • Pr1 - Promotion; big increase base + bonus; Fund I starts paying carry ($75K); still accruing carry at 50bps in Fund I and offered 125bps in soon-to-be-raised Fund II

  • Pr2 - Modest increase base + bonus; Fund I pays carry again ($175K); Fund I now fully invested (no new carry accrued) and 125bps accrued in Fund II
  • Pr3 - Modest increase base + bonus; Fund I pays carry again ($225K); still accruing 125bps in Fund II

  • Dir1 - Promotion; big increase base + bonus; Fund I still fully invested (no new carry accrued); carry increased to 175bps in Fund II; no exits from Fund I or Fund II; no carry paid from either fund

  • Dir2 - Modest increase base + bonus; Fund I exits last investment (small exit for $25K carry for $500K total paid from Fund I); still accruing at 175bps in Fund II; no exits or carry from Fund II
  • Dir3 - Modest increase base + bonus; Fund II starts paying carry and has several significant exits ($600K carry from Fund II); still accruing at 175bps in Fund II; raise Fund III and start accruing at 250bps in Fund III

The point of this exercise is to show you that - (i) it takes a while to really start earning big carry payouts, but once they start hitting, they are very meaningful especially if you are earning carry on multiple funds; (ii) the level you are "earning at" (getting cash payments) will lag what you are "accruing at" for the new investments you are making that year; and (iii) the exercise of comparing annual carry payments in a comp study is pretty futile - it's just really unpredictable in the real world. Depending on the firm, your carry % allocations can also change throughout a fund and be averaged over the life of the fund. Some firms keep the carry the same throughout the life of the fund. Your dollar payouts will also vary drastically by year.

Lastly - based on my basic calculation above, you've probably noticed that AUM/fund size has a major impact on the carry pool. A $5B fund will probably (and should) generate much more carry dollars than a $500MM fund. That said, I would caution you from ruling out smaller funds outright for a few reasons: 1) It is significantly harder to be granted meaningful carry (% wise) at larger funds. There are simply far more mouths to feed and a hierarchy that has to be maintained. Some individuals will work a decade plus to get a few percentage points of carry at larger funds. This will still result in very significant cash payouts, but I know associates at smaller funds who were able to get several full percentage points of carry during their first few years at the firm; this would likely be unheard of at a larger firm. 2) It is also extremely competitive at the MF level, which is bad news when you feel a constant pressure to perform and have the high potential to burn out. It is still very competitive at smaller firms, but there are less people vying for a similar number of promotion opportunities. Making partner at a MF is no easy feat. 3) Most funds have a vesting schedule for carry (similar to 401ks) where you forfeit some or all of your carry if you voluntarily quit before a certain period of time at the firm. Bad news if you get burned out and realize that carry may never reach you. 4) While plenty of MFs generate strong returns, research shows that smaller firms have a higher likelihood of hitting much better ROICs. They are definitely higher beta, but the likelihood of hitting a 3x/4x+ fund is much higher at a smaller firm. Rerun the calcs above and you will see how much of a difference this makes. You can make up a lot of AUM deficiency with better returns (if your firm generates consistently solid returns). 5) If you look around the industry you will see a slew of firms founded by partners of larger firms. Carry will always be concentrated at the top and at some point partners will realize they can do far better on their own if the founders/lead partners are stingy with carry. Getting a huge portion of a much smaller pool of assets can often be much more attractive (but have higher risk) than earning a sliver of carry at a large fund and continuing to make your bosses much richer. To be clear, MFs are incredible firms to work for, but just want to highlight the other side of the coin.

 

I gave you +1 for each of your posts AmoryBlaine. You nailed this, great illustrations.

The only addition I'd make to the very insightful and accurate comments on the megafund versus smaller fund decision is the consideration of the type of people you work with (regardless of the fund size or cap range you play in).

One important part of compensation at the level penultimate to 'partner' (some firms call it 'principal', others 'director') can be variable based on sourcing. Some firms split carry into two bands: global carry on the fund plus individual carry on deals you source (the classic 'eat what you kill model').

When you're in that principal or partner-level role, your ability to get a deal through all the hoops and into the portfolio is a function of (a) the merits of the deal, (b) your ability to articulate a compelling investment thesis, and (c) who is on I.C. If you're at a place whose culture comes with any meaningful degree of internal politics, your life is much more stressful than people acknowledge.

Some of the smaller places or more intimate shops have a unanimous policy. If you offered substantive questions on Bob's pet deal two months ago that everyone could see had some real tumors to it, you might have the greatest deal in the world (non-banked, throwing off cash like DJ Khaled at King of Diamonds on a summer Friday night, and an easy exit to a strategic acquirer lined up), but if Bob took that as a personal affront, good luck getting your deal of the decade through I.C.

In short, remember that an additional element of your calculus has to be who you're working with, not just the mechanics of how you're getting paid.

I am permanently behind on PMs, it's not personal.
 

I have seen this, but as kinghongkong mentioned, it's unusual. At the end of the day, carry is just a powerful long-term incentive plan used to motivate and compensate employees. So some firms will use it to compensate operating partners and/or their finance function if they want to see them stick around. That said, I've only seen it for top level finance function professionals (CFO/fund controller, etc.). But as kinghongkong also mentioned, revenue generating (i.e. deal professionals) will likely always get the lion's share. A finance professional getting 0.1% carry, a junior deal professional getting 1.0% and a senior partner pulling in 10.0% or more are all "getting carry", but what that means $ wise is obviously a lot different.

 

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I am permanently behind on PMs, it's not personal.

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