Goodbye, New York, California and Illinois. Hello … Where?

“The three states have seen an exodus, but it’s not all to Texas and it’s not all about taxes.

New York, California and Illinois have been hemorrhaging residents. Almost 3.2 million more people left those states for elsewhere in the U.S. than arrived from other states, from 2010 through 2019, according to population estimates released last week by the Census Bureau. Nine other states saw net out-migration of more than 100,000 people over that period, but none really came close to the big three.”

https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/opinion/articles/20…

 
FCFE:
The middle class in California is getting squeezed out. It's a state of the wealthy and the poor, the two groups that benefit from liberal policies.

How exactly do the wealthy benefit from high taxes and erosion of private ownership?

 
<span class=keyword_link><a href=/resources/skills/valuation/free-cash-flow-to-equity-fcfe>FCFE</a></span>:
The middle class in California is getting squeezed out. It's a state of the wealthy and the poor, the two groups that benefit from liberal policies.

@FCFE" everyone! The guy who will fit a set of facts to any given conclusion!

 

In the past few months Illinois politicians have vocally considered an exit tax and a birth tax......they will literally tax everything at some point.

Chicago is pretty awesome, but I'm pretty glad I've moved. Taxes their are pretty crazy and they're still structurally bankrupt.....it's going to spiral out of control.

twitter: @CorpFin_Guy
 
accountingbyday:
a birth tax......
Imagine what kind of people could hate babies. Just.....
Never discuss with idiots, first they drag you at their level, then they beat you with experience.
 

I’ve seen a lot of non-Chicago based real estate investors be all like “how are these prices in Chicago so great”. What they’re missing is that there’s basically a kleptocracy discount; whether through property tax or one of those other creative methods, they’re gonna get extreme in shaking down residents.

 
PteroGonzalez:
Look for higher property taxes in all 3 states. They’ll tax the one thing you can’t take with you.

I mean, property taxes in California are effectively zero, which is why the income tax is so high.

 
Shrek2OnDVD:
“The three states have seen an exodus, but it’s not all to Texas and it’s not all about taxes.

New York, California and Illinois have been hemorrhaging residents. Almost 3.2 million more people left those states for elsewhere in the U.S. than arrived from other states, from 2010 through 2019, according to population estimates released last week by the Census Bureau. Nine other states saw net out-migration of more than 100,000 people over that period, but none really came close to the big three.”

https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/opinion/articles/2020-01-09/where-people-…

I'm not sure if this actually says anything of value? Especially considering two of the states are NY and CA, which are traditionally two of the highest (if not THE highest) net immigration states from out of the country. Moreover, they also happen to be places that new college graduates move since... you know, economic opportunity and all that. I am sure that thousands of bright young folks move into NYC after college every year, and a few years later leave for all sorts of reasons that have jack shit to do with taxes, homeless people, whatever. Maybe they're starting a family and moving to the suburbs, which includes northern NJ. Ditto places like LA or San Francisco.

Also, to address some points from previous conversations, its instructive to see where these folks are moving. No one seems to be super interested in moving to Alabama, and I wonder why? New Yorkers seem to like going to states like New Jersey and Connecticut, despite the fact that those aren't exactly low-tax environments.

Anyone with half a brain can see that most migration, at least in the case of NYC, has absolutely nothing to do with taxes. Of the numbers listed, 35% of New Yorkers left for states with essentially equal or higher state tax rates (CA, CT, NJ). And, of course, New York and New York City are not synonymous, and the long-term decline of upstate New York is well chronicled.

In other words, this is more shoddy reporting from Bloomberg.

 

Phoenix seems legit. ATL is looking like the move too but they have a serious sprawl problem.

I don't mind Philly either but I feel like most people here would not like it

Interested in health tech, consulting, and entrepreneurship.
 

completely agree. I love Atlanta, it's a great place (maybe I even live there?) and very reasonably priced for all of the amenities, but just realize that ATL traffic is as bad as southern california. only other downside is if you're not a southerner, went to an SEC school, or like college football, expect it to take a while to get a nice social circle. while the not being from the south is easily overcome, you have GOT to jump on the SEC bandwagon if you want to make it in Atlanta (and a lot of Texas, I might add). for some reason, however, metros in Florida, NC, and TN (ok, Nashville) don't have this issue.

 

As someone who lives in southern California, this is great news to me! Less people/drivers to clog up the streets. And maybe rents and other housing costs will finally go down.

 

It's frustrating how much of Chicago's problems are caused by its own politicians. This city could easily have a population 1 million people bigger and also be as desirable and well-run as Toronto.

But it is just absolutely worn down by graft and corruption.

"Work ethic, work ethic" - Vince Vaughn
 

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