How to tell if a bank is going downhill?

Aside from the obvious like deal volume and deal count. What if the majority of deals are of undisclosed value? Or is it possible that deal count is not indicative of firm activity, given there might be a large pipeline behind the scenes?

Would appreciate any insights into other metrics to use to evaluate an MM bank's performance.

Comments (11)

 
  • Associate 1 in IB - CB
Dec 8, 2019 - 4:44pm

hmmm maybe - anecodatally they've been the standout among European peers (helped in no doubt by their US franchise). I haven't had a change to look at BBG yet, but think they're still placed well in the league tables (in lev fin at least from what I recall).

Two points may highlight that not all is good: (1) They are still on the hook for a couple of deals they've elected to underwrite but couldn't sell down completely (in lev fin), and (2) apparently the summer to FT conversion rate this year is 20%(!?) - I'm quoting this from one of those SA conversion rate threads on WSO (job market is tough atm)

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