IRR on affordable high-rise condo deal ? ? ?

I am talking to a few hnwi in the next week about buying/recap. An entitled and permitted affordable condo highrise with 180 units. The stack has $35M in bank loan, $15M loan from the state, and $Xm for the land. Land is $7-8M. In place with very little new construction due to extreme construction, land, and entitlement cost. Very liquid and very very very solid re market. (4% caps are still trading...)
Really low risk deal, similar buildings in area sellout overnight as low income condos are very rare and entitlements and financing this type of deal takes 4+ years.
What kind of irr should an investor expect from this? Total development cost all in will be $58M. Revenue will be $68M conservatively. Construction can start in a few months, finishing up with planning department right now.
Construction term two years. Total, an investors money will be in this 2.5 yrs tops. Very experienced developer with about 5000 homes built in southern california and lots of previous affordable and lihtc experience.
Reason for recap/partial sale is the developers partners need cash and want to liquidate.
Developer expects to keep peice of deal and do all the work...
Again, irr?? Thanks!
BTW PM me if you think you have a investor who is comfortable with investing $7-10M without sweating too hard.

 
Best Response

I would think that this deal would be a hard one to get people interested in. You're talking about a target cost of equity of, I don't know, 5-7%, but most investors in the $7-10 million range are looking at a long-term hold if they are getting 5-7% returns on their equity. For 5-7% I can do a long-term hold on a market-rate project.

Structured as it is, I would want 8-10% to get interested (and the premium is not risk premium; it's opportunity cost premium). Just my 2 cents and not necessarily the "right" answer (the "right" answer is the required return at which you can actually raise the capital for the deal).

Array
 

If they are recapping or selling the deal, it looks like he is trying to say they need a lp to buy them land from them at $7-8M. So if i am correct, the profit looks like $10M $68M subracted from $58M. If profit is $10M, investment is say $8M- isnt return something more like 2X EQM after developer takes his carry or however they structute it? Thats a killer return on a gov $ deal if i am looking at this right

 

Iure quis temporibus eveniet possimus quas. Animi sunt enim sunt dicta. Molestias enim nihil temporibus iusto sed. Recusandae ad asperiores aut impedit.

Minima dignissimos est quia est. Tenetur ullam officiis harum aut reprehenderit. Distinctio explicabo occaecati soluta inventore. Recusandae et iste molestiae nam. Vitae laudantium asperiores et qui in qui aut quo. Perspiciatis eligendi architecto eius quibusdam.

Qui id autem aperiam qui qui. Omnis dicta quia provident qui. Mollitia itaque perspiciatis rerum aut suscipit pariatur veritatis.

Array

Career Advancement Opportunities

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Jefferies & Company 02 99.4%
  • Goldman Sachs 19 98.8%
  • Harris Williams & Co. New 98.3%
  • Lazard Freres 02 97.7%
  • JPMorgan Chase 03 97.1%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Harris Williams & Co. 18 99.4%
  • JPMorgan Chase 10 98.8%
  • Lazard Freres 05 98.3%
  • Morgan Stanley 07 97.7%
  • William Blair 03 97.1%

Professional Growth Opportunities

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Lazard Freres 01 99.4%
  • Jefferies & Company 02 98.8%
  • Goldman Sachs 17 98.3%
  • Moelis & Company 07 97.7%
  • JPMorgan Chase 05 97.1%

Total Avg Compensation

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Director/MD (5) $648
  • Vice President (19) $385
  • Associates (86) $261
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (14) $181
  • Intern/Summer Associate (33) $170
  • 2nd Year Analyst (66) $168
  • 1st Year Analyst (205) $159
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (145) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
99.0
3
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
4
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
5
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
6
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
7
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
8
kanon's picture
kanon
98.9
9
Jamoldo's picture
Jamoldo
98.8
10
numi's picture
numi
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”