If you like trading then get into IB for a couple of years and make the switch to a HF. You make more money, have better exit opps and will generate a network filled with people in various industries if you change your mind.

 

so if you like trading....dont do trading? solid advice.

 

Op asked What do you think of a trading position at Goldman,MS . Is it wise to pursue it long timeI IS trading a dead end job ? And how are the exit opp?

Trading is dying much quicker than IB, trading has a limited skillset while banking has a more general skillset that can be used in other areas of finance , the exit opps are better for bankers than traders and if OP still wants to trade in the future he/she can go from IB to a HF. For the long term banking is a much better option than trading.

 

there is no particular technical analysis to be done with calendar spreads...thats more a fundamental issue. As some market participants move their positions, and change their minds, that will play out in the calendars.

As in all markets, the future is always in motion..and future expectations are always changing...which is why calendars prices move. Unless you know what the large players are doing, you will be at an informational "dis-advantage". This is why its easier to play in the outrights than in spreads...the information is more readily accessibl

 

i personally chose ib over s&t between 2 BBs because i was hesitant about the flexibility of exit opps and the job itself (never done s&t before), and ive done ib internships previously and rly enjoy the transactional team based work

lots of ppl i talked to really enjoy s&t though and have progressed through the ranks, so i guess it depends if you really enjoy it? def dont think its a dead end job though

but i think IB gives you more manoeuvrability career wise long-term, just my 2c

 
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These questions are so annoying. Let me ask you First; have you got the offer? You know what desk? what asset class? is a rotation? second; if you got the offer, why you decided to apply? I assume someone applies for trading jobs because they like SnT or what? was just for the sake of applying to a BB?

Trading IS NOT a dead end job.However, is a job that is changing a lot with the years and for some asset classes margins and spreads are very tiny now, but if you are good you can make very good money I want to specify also that the comment that suggests to switch to HF is completely inaccurate ( no surprise an MnA intern wrote that). HFs are now having their worst period in a while and the legal restrictions you have in terms of competency as well as the big pressure nowadays' markets bring are not easing the picture. You can make way more money: true. But how many of them are now generating alpha? Also, turnover is dreadful hence if you are not good you can say goodbye to your trading career very soon. Usually HF is the dream, I agree, but giving such comments without a background or giving some info is rubbish

and don't think the spread between payroll for flow business traders and HF is this wide (esp if we are comparing BB vs dodgy family offices or some HFs)

 

These “do you have an offer?” questions, while warranted in some cases, often are not necessary. Sure, if there’s some hardo asking whether he should pick GS TMT or just go straight to KKR, give him some heat. On the other hand, there’s no need to harass a kid for asking about general trends in an industry. I think it makes sense for him or her to ask whether or not trading for an IB is a declining industry before he commits the significant time and effort to win an offer.

 

Agreed 100%. These "do you have an offer" questions are getting annoying.

 

The thing that makes trading so hard is that either you’re good or you’re bad, nothing in the middle. Definitely not a stable career if you don’t have that foundation or edge. The thing about trading is that losses are inevitable. Bank traders, hedge fund traders, prop traders will all endure losses at some point. Have I taken losses? Yes. And I still do time to time. And that drains people and makes them think twice about making trading as a career. Remember this, and I’m sure iron chef can vet this, you don’t exit a trade because you lose a pre-determined amount of PnL but you exit a trade because you’re wrong. Completely wrong from your strategy. If I tell myself, I’ll exit a trade no matter what if I lose 200 bucks? Why? You should exit if you’re wrong. The good traders will understand what this means. Your stop loss shouldn’t determine your strategy. Besides I don’t use stops for that reason.

 

hello can you pls give some examples on what you mean by disciplined risk management? obviously I have some at the back of my head and my own personal habits, would still love to hear other opinions / disciplines, gives me something to think about :)

 

you know what would make you wrong...includes at what price do you know you were wrong...and if you exit at that price, based on your position size...how much you would lose.

you then size your position such that...if that worst case happens...the money lost if "acceptable"

maybe that 5% of your total loss cushion.

if you are running 1mm...and you can lose a total of 100k...then on any one trade, maybe 5-10k is the max you are willing to lose. so you adjust your size to fit those potential losses.

that is proper "risk management"

 

Never understood why one of the strongest arguments against pursuing a S&T career is that you don't have as strong exit opps as IB. Truth is, only reason people put so much weight on IB exit opps is precisely because most people go in already wanting to leave.

Trading is one of those jobs that you either love and can make a career out of it, or you can't. Hours are generally great, and pay is good if you are good.

 

Eh, hours aren’t the greatest but it’s definitely better than investment bankers. I see guys in the office coming in at 6:45am and already trading and staying til 5pm. The exotics guys are here even til 6:30pm to run their risk. When I was at a hedge fund, I was forced to come in at 3am to trade European market and as soon as 8:30am hit, I was forced to trade US market and then I left at 7pm. It was horrific. I guess it all depends on what products you trade.

 

You can look at my previous posts for my view. I've been in the industry for about 5 years and I've spent time on all macro desks that take a lot of prop risk at a major BB (where I am now). I quite enjoy trading/markets and will likely to be doing in some form or another for the rest of my life. However, I don't really see it as a "career" as it used to be.

To sum it up, the future of the industry itself is not great (both sell-side and buy-side). But, if you spend a few years and learn a few things (ideally how certain markets work and how to trade prop)and get out at the right time, you'll learn some skills in risk management and "trading" that you can do on your own while doing something else as a career.

 

ya i think times are changing, i would say if your in love with trading than by all means stick with it but it does not offer the career flexibility as GCM or IB. My guess is that due to the narrow skill set the job requires theres few paths to easily transtion too unlike the other 2 fields. This probably explains why Buisness Schools tend to look down on Traders when selecting applicants.

 

If you care, I would say trading physical is a bit different in that while margins are also very thin (or sometimes bordering on negative) for any liquid product, you learn a pretty broad set of skills that would do you well in any sort of sales or industrial role.

Price risk is usually less of a worry, until it isn't, and in those times you may have to make some very big decisions using instruments that are a whole lot less liquid than futures (ie convincing customers and suppliers to change the way you price things for instance).

Credit risk is probably the biggest thing you have to watch in physical. Given the margins, you can do decently on widgets 1 through 19 only to lose it all and then some on widget 20 because your counterparty won't pay you back. You might say there are insurers and banks to cover that kind of stuff but pull that off more than a couple time and your cost of funds/insurance will make it impossible to ever make money.

So at the end of the day, same all-consuming, never off market focus. Sometimes find it hard to shift gears on a Friday night and my book is still pretty small.

 

Just FYI, People have been saying that trading is a dead end career for the last 10 years.

Smh

"Be persistent and you will get, be consistent and you will keep it, be grateful and you will get more" #phuckQuotes
 

Trading is a calling and strikes me many dont respect that because they are in it for the wrong reasons ie money or ego. I struggle to even understand why because if money is your driving motivator there are many other careers one could pursue. Or just save up cash put deposit on properties and sit back and collect the rent FFS. I think unless a trader has the passion and sheer love for the markets like PTJ ( and everything that entails like risk, uncertainty, losing, info overload, losing and more losing) why are you even here? Even with Soros when interviewers ask him about say about say the weather he is like ‘well it’s just like with the financial markets , the weather ....’. It like your universe and you can’t see anything but the financial markets. Trading will never die , it evolves and is self filtering.

 

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