Physical Commodities Trading to HF Lateral? Is it possible?

I've made two or three posts to the tune of this over the past few months, so I want to apologize in advance to anyone who might recognize it.

The decision I'm weighing now is whether to accept a Trader Development Program offer for a top 3 private commodities trade shop (Vitol, Glencore, Trafigura) or continue recruiting for IB. I have interned in IB in the past, and despite not having gotten any offers yet, feel like I can pull something through. I'm pretty late in the process for a few firms in the MM.

I guess my concerns stem from knowing I will have exit opps with banking, vs. not knowing much about people who do a physical commodities trader development program and fail/what they leave to do after. I've seen a decent amount of dated/incorrect information about these programs on here but would love to hear from someone who has more relevant experience.

A few questions/concerns I have going into this:

  • Does anyone know someone who started in one of these niche TDP's and lateraled somewhere else? Or has anyone done it themselves? I'm worried about being pigeonholed into physical trading.
  • Am I stuck in Houston if I do this? What kind of jobs could I recruit for outside of energy if I do commods trading?
  • What happens if the economy crashes, would I likely be better off in commods or IB? Might be a stupid question.
  • How would being a physical commodities trader look for hedge fund recruiting in 5-10 years or so? I have two hedge fund internships in the past, one being L/S equities and one distressed debt.
 

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