Doug Jones' victory in Alabama last night was an upset of epic proportions. Consider that the last time a Democrat won a Senate seat was in 1992, and he became a Republican in 1994. Since then, the closest Senate race was in 2002, when the Republican won by just 19 points. In 2014, Jeff Sessions ran unopposed and got 97 percent of the vote. Trump won by 28 points in 2016. So it's time for some real talk about what happened and the political landscape going forward.
- Even before the allegations came out, Moore was struggling against Jones. He's a piece of shit human being, period. He has a history of vile racist comments, said openly that he doesn't believe in the constitutional amendments after the 10th, and was expelled from his job as a judge because he defied direct orders from SCOTUS.
- The allegations, although old, are far more likely to be true than false. We know for a fact that Moore went hunting for young girls at the mall. Moore himself admitted to dating teenage girls when he was in his 30s. So Leigh Corfman's story is not at all bizarre or implausible given Moore's sordid past.
- Trump nationalists need to stop with this "cuck" conspiracy nonsense. Moore did this to himself. There are plenty of Republicans who run for office, who don't have women coming out to accuse them of sexual assault or pedophilia. How many women accused Romney of sexual assault in 2012? I will give you a hint; it's an integer less than 1.
- Bannon is a fat piece of shit who is doing enormous damage. He chose to support Moore in the GOP primary rather than Brooks, even though the latter is a solid conservative who is far more likely to support Trump's agenda. Hopefully, this defeat crushes Bannon, so he doesn't run batshit candidates in the GOP primary and throw away our chances in 2018.
- Now onto Trump. We're in trouble in 2018 and 2020 at this rate. The economy is booming, and Trump is mired in 35-40% approval ratings; that is virtually unheard of in American history. Since midterms are nationalized, it means that Trump will indirectly be on the ballot. Our lead in the House is just 24 seats, and the average midterm loss for a President's first midterm is 28 seats. About a dozen GOP Congressmen are in districts that Hillary won by 5+ points. The Senate looks a bit better, but I'm not convinced that we can pick off all those red states, as Trump's approval isn't that great in those states either.
- Lot of Trump supporters misread the 2016 election result. He won because of a massive drop in Democratic turnout for Hillary vs Obama. Trump got fewer votes in WI than Romney and fewer votes in MI and OH than Bush. In 2020, Hillary will not be on the ballot, and whoever the nominee is, the Democrats will be SUPER PUMPED to defeat Trump.