UBS split IB from WM?

Hey guys

I'm sure most of you would've heard about UBS' appointment of Lazard as strategic adviser and rumours on the Bank spinning off it's IB business from Wealth Management. Also, there's rumours on HSBC's takeover bid yet again.

Just wondering what does everyone think about this. And in the event of a spin-off/sale/takeover, what does this mean for incoming grads?

Any thoughts would be much appreciated. Cheers!

 

Before people get all emotional and dramatic over this news, please re-read the article and try to understand it. I don't think greater clarification is needed for those who are already in banking, but I'll spell it out anyway and relay our firm's message to the public. Also, unless you work at UBS Investment Bank or have also, by some unfathomable means, received Peter Kurer and Marcel Rohner's message, please refrain from spitting out nonsense, as I find most people on this forum do. There's a big difference in the amount of information you receive internally as compared to public news. We have our problems, nobody will deny that, but it seems overeaction, especially amongst the ill-informed undergrads on this board, are the norms. With that said, UBS, along with other hard-hit banks by the subprime, will be fine.

UBS is not spinning off anything. It's simply creating a more strictier boundary between the 3 business units (Investment Bank, Global Asset Management, and Wealth Management) so that there will be more accountability and reflectability between the performance of senior managers in each business.

This means more definition of the individual P&L accounts of the MDs and less profit sharing across businesses. This does not necessarily mean that the firm will discourage cooperation amongst the 3 units, but that senior members of the firms should have more incentive and liability towards their own successes. We are, however, discouraged from 'forcibly' operating with a one-firm mentality and to seek more independence in our daily work. In other words, we are instructed not to cooperate across businesses for the sole sake of upholding the one-firm ideology, but to exercise cooperation based on needs dictated by natural means.

The UBS Investment Bank will not be spunoff. Internally, this has been clarified and clarified again. If you work within the bank, you would understand why a divestment would be the worst decision for the bank, both in terms of the business model and, more importantly, the impacts on the financials. Realize foremost that the investment bank, not just for UBS but for all other bulge brackets banks, are significantly undervalued in the current markets. Plus, acquirors of investment banks are always skeptical, because investment banks, by nature, are worth nothing other than its people. And we all know from history that bankers HATE being bought out. Ken Moelis' departure from Credit Suisse to UBS after the latter's acquisition of DLJ concluded with an ensuing exodus of 78 bankers from CS.

 
Best Response

Fixed income in this market? I'd avoid it completely at any bank. The problem is not with the strength or capability of the individual bank - the main issue is the underlying foundation on which the fixed income business operates. That is, the market for fixed income instruments.

At the moment, the markets have very low appetite for anything related to bonds and loans. In US and Europe, the subprime mess has brutalized the markets. In Asia, although the effects are limited, the debt market is not as prominent as the equity market given the appetite of the general investing public for IPOs and such. However, despite the problem being not as pronounced in Asia, the global market trend in the debt market is still evident. In terms of leveraged loans in Asia, we see post-credit crunch effects of the tenor reduction to 5 years, the complete dissapearance of covenant-lites, step-downs, and equity cures, margin increase by 100bps, fee increases across the board. Leverage multiples have decreased significantly to approximately 4.5x. The field is also more difficult for financial sponsors, who are now expected to contribute 50% of equity in a typical LBO. In terms of syndication, due to lack of liquidity, significant market flex have been intituted in deals to ensure successful syndication, and there have been deals where 6 banks are involved in underwriting only US$50m per bank. Many hedge funds and insittutional investors have withdrawn completely.

It's even worse in fixed income...

 

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