Univ of Colorado-Boulder, which has correctly predicted every U.S. President since 1980, makes their prediction for 2012...

and the winner is....

Romney with 52.9% of the popular vote. They predict Obama to only capture 218 electoral votes, well short of the needed 270.

According to the study, they have correctly predicted all the winners of this election since 1980.

http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/08/22/…

 

Isn't there a fairly decent probability that somebody just flipping a coin could do this?

"When I was young I thought that money was the most important thing in life; now that I am old I know that it is." - Oscar Wilde "Seriously, psychology is for those with two x chromosomes." - RagnarDanneskjold
 

Romney is virtually unknown the the public at large. Except for the most educated of society, Romney is basically an unknown. Even so, he's running dead even in national polls and is within striking distance in virtually every swing state (except New Mexico).

There are 2 party conventions, 3 presidential and 1 vice presidential debates (yes, that's Paul Ryan vs. Joe Biden). Plus Romney and the GOP are sitting on a bunch of un-used cash just waiting for the fall campaign ad blitz. There is a ton of stuff that will happen between now and November 2 that will tip the scales one way or the other. This election has not even begun.

Array
 

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