Upcoming firms to replace/become EBs?

Want to hear opinions are on the upcoming boutiques. We all know the 6-7 EBs (laz,evr,cvp, pjt, etc.) and perhaps some of the more specialty boutiques (Qatalyst, Lion Tree, Allen & Co.) but wanted to hear what people think are the next EB shops? Throughout the past couple years the only shop that has really fallen from its top is Greenhill.

Couple I have in mind are Dyal Co, Robey Warshaw, Ardea Partners (albeit seems to have had cuts recently). Understand that these shops are ~20 employees so they have a long way to go to even be seen in the same likes as the current EBs.

Seems that there are places could become bigger (Lion Tree, Allen & Co., M.Klein) but haven't been able to get to the EBs level whether its by choice or not.

 

I recently saw a thread about Incentrum Group where the founders are very prestigious but idk if they can grow to size of EBs. They seem to be operating more low key like M Klein.

 
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I think the big distinction between what people colloquially refer to as EBs vs actually just 'elite' boutiques is that EBs are investment banking platforms that are diversified industrially (and sometimes even by products). Other firms you've mentioned with maybem&a platform I don't think they will be replacing any EBs anytime soon.

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funded by ex partner at Ondra, they worked on some large-cap deals for PSA, Natixis (BPCE), Puma’s spin off of Kering, etc. I interviewed there and honestly I was impressed by their credentials considering their lean team. It is a real one-man shop though.

 

Think some of the above comments nailed it. Those smaller shops founded by heavy hitter MDs don't want to grow to become EBs. The seniors are older and are going to take in massive fees just by whale hunting, hitting 1/2 mega-mergers per year (See Dyal in 2019 finishing 19th in M&A league tables with a deal count of 2)

 

Unless a bank splits up, the current EBs will probably remain the only EBs. Don't see firms like William Blair / Baird / Houlihan M&A becoming EBs. Maybe Rothschild could go on a hiring spree and become an EB again? They certainly have the brand name

 

Agreed, the only possibility is really Roths beefing up their operations and trying to get to where they used to be. Otherwise, the rest of the top MM players have no desire to play in the mega-merger size space

 

Agreed. Maybe HL M&A becomes an EB? Not sure, they have too many regional offices and take on too many random mandates

 

blair does not do much above a billion, and when they do, it's 99% of the time not a lead role. 

jefferies is a full service bank and does plenty of deals above a billion. but, they're not trying to become an EB, more of a full service BB platform that just lacks commercial banking  

 

Does anyone have insight on Foros?

See them mentioned here or there, but very confused by their profile. They don't seem to be sector-focused at all like Raine (media) or Ducera (rx), but heard the 1st year base is like $100,000 and they seem to have done quite a few sizeable deals. Linkedin also shows former analysts exiting to KKR, Apax, Point72, etc....how?

 

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