What If Ron Paul Wins Iowa?
I have to admit that I was pretty stunned to learn that Ron Paul has pulled to within one point of the lead in the Iowa polls. With less than three weeks before the benchmark Iowa caucus, he appears to be gaining momentum at the cost of front runner Newt Gingrich. It is no longer outside the realm of possibility that Ron Paul could win the Iowa caucus. If blizzards hit Iowa on January 3rd, he's all but a lock (because Paul voters would go through Hell to pull the lever for him).
This creates an interesting dilemma for the GOP and the lapdog media. It's one thing to marginalize and ignore a candidate before he gets any votes. But there's no way you can ignore a first place finish in Iowa. And if he manages to pull that off, it might be just the proof of his viability that voters in New Hampshire and South Carolina have been waiting for. It could be a whole new ballgame very soon.
What I wouldn't give to be the Maalox vendor at GOP headquarters if that happens. I'm absolutely giddy at the thought of all the peptic ulcers this holiday season is going to bring to the neo-cons at the head of the party and over at Fox News.
No matter what happens, he's already changed the face of the election. My only hope is that he runs as a third party candidate if he doesn't get the Republican nomination. It'll cost the GOP the election, and remind them of the lesson Ross Perot taught them in 1992: be true to liberty and fiscal discipline, or watch your party fade away for the next decade.
It's not just the GOP that's worried, though. I imagine Obama lies awake at night in a cold sweat at the thought of facing Ron Paul one-on-one in a debate. Talk about bringing a knife to a gunfight.
I'm sure both parties will start hammering him on what cutting $1 trillion in a year will do to the economy. It will cause a shitload of unemployment. But I'm guessing Ron Paul won't shy away from that fact, and will leave it to the American people to decide. He's never once said he'll engineer a "soft landing". He's only said that the status quo cannot continue and America has some bitter medicine to take.
It's no secret that I've been a Ron Paul supporter for a long time. I think he has the power to bring about a lot of creative destruction this election cycle, and it's just what the doctor ordered. It's time America had a true conservative to vote for, and not just the lesser of two evils.
And if he emerges victorious on January 3rd, you can expect heads to roll at party headquarters. That'll be worth the price of admission in itself.