What would you consider a typical variability in IRR between base and optimistic?

Subscribe

The title says it all -- if you're providing a lot of the assumptions based on a CIM or 10-K and some limited market research, what range of IRR between scenarios would raise the red flags to suggest "this model isn't specific enough"

E.g. right now, I'm looking at a 19% IRR in my base case, but this jumps up to 28% or down to 10% when I switch cases. I've tried to limit a lot of the variables that change in the cases, meaning most change is occuring in the revenue growth rates and margin improvements / COGS. Is this normal or should I try to tighten up my projections and assumptions?

Start Discussion

Popular Content See all

Received my PWP rejection email!
+91IBby Prospective Monkey in Investment Banking - Mergers and Acquisitions">Prospect in IB-M&A
Is Evercore the next Bulge Bracket bank?
+24IBby Intern in Investment Banking - Mergers and Acquisitions">Intern in IB-M&A
I got a top IB SA offer thanks to WSO
+17IBby Prospective Monkey in Investment Banking - Mergers and Acquisitions">Prospect in IB-M&A
Is Liontree the next bulge bracket bank?
+16IBby 1st Year Analyst in Sales & Trading - Equities">Analyst 1 in S&T - Equities
Virtual Summer Interns - which banks sent you WFH gear?
+15IBby Intern in Investment Banking - Industry/Coverage">Intern in IB - Ind

Total Avg Compensation

October 2020 Private Equity

  • Principal (6) $693
  • Director/MD (14) $640
  • Vice President (53) $361
  • 3rd+ Year Associate (60) $272
  • 2nd Year Associate (112) $246
  • 1st Year Associate (241) $222
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (23) $162
  • 2nd Year Analyst (52) $141
  • 1st Year Analyst (150) $118
  • Intern/Summer Associate (17) $66
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (167) $60

Leaderboard See all

1
LonLonMilk's picture
LonLonMilk
98.4
2
Jamoldo's picture
Jamoldo
98.3
3
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
98.2
4
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
97.8
5
redever's picture
redever
97.7
6
Addinator's picture
Addinator
97.6
7
Edifice's picture
Edifice
97.6
8
NuckFuts's picture
NuckFuts
97.5
9
frgna's picture
frgna
97.5
10
bolo up's picture
bolo up
97.5