What's up with the tech stocks?


It’s been a painful 30 days for the Nasdaq, but it’s been downright nasty for 239 members of the index that are in already bear market territory after Friday’s freefall. A bear market is considered a 20% decline from a recent high.

Nearly 300 stocks in the universe of nearly 2,400 on the Nasdaq Composite are down 20% or more from the index’ high-water mark this year on March 5, according to a USA TODAY analysis of data from S&P Capital IQ.

Among the hardest-hit Nasdaq stocks with share prices of $10 apiece before the meltdown include security software company, FireEye, down 47%, biotech Raptor Pharmaceuticals, down 47% and disaster technology recovery firm InterCloud, down 46%.

But it’s not just the small Nasdaq stocks getting torched. Among the big-cap tech stocks getting clobbered most are online retailer Amazon.com, down 13.3%, Facebook off 20.6% and biotech Gilead Sciences, down 12.7%.

And Friday certainly was just the latest kick on a weakened Nasdaq. Among the Nasdaq stocks with the biggest market values, the hardest hit Friday included Google, down 4.6%, Facebook off 4.6% and biotech Biogen Idec down 4.5%.

http://americasmarkets.usatoday.com/2014/04/04/ouch-nasdaq-stocks-crush…

Also: Netflix, LinkedIn, and the list goes on...

 

I'm not a macro guy, but I'm curious how much of this is just related to equity market outflows (which work on a LIFO basis) versus being the beginning of the end for investors accepting irrational exuberance as an investment strategy.

If this keeps up... the outflows and redemptions from funds that are major known-beneficiaries of the momentum rally are going to be epic. If we don't see a few blowups I'd be surprised.

I hate victims who respect their executioners
 
BlackHat:

I'm not a macro guy, but I'm curious how much of this is just related to equity market outflows (which work on a LIFO basis) versus being the beginning of the end for investors accepting irrational exuberance as an investment strategy.

If this keeps up... the outflows and redemptions from funds that are major known-beneficiaries of the momentum rally are going to be epic. If we don't see a few blowups I'd be surprised.

my ignorance will eat me up one day or another but what does it mean that equity market outflows work on a LIFO basis? (obviously i know what LIFO means, i just can't piece it togheter in this context)
 
kent02:
BlackHat:

I'm not a macro guy, but I'm curious how much of this is just related to equity market outflows (which work on a LIFO basis) versus being the beginning of the end for investors accepting irrational exuberance as an investment strategy.

If this keeps up... the outflows and redemptions from funds that are major known-beneficiaries of the momentum rally are going to be epic. If we don't see a few blowups I'd be surprised.

my ignorance will eat me up one day or another but what does it mean that equity market outflows work on a LIFO basis? (obviously i know what LIFO means, i just can't piece it togheter in this context)

Usually the money that is last to jump into an equity bull market is also the first to leave. Think momentum investor.

I hate victims who respect their executioners
 

IMFUTURE you're right on. Everyone is selling last years winners due valuations/ beta and buying value plays. Many tech names I cover have nothing fundamentally wrong with their story. Buysiders are fearing Q1 earnings comps. However, Q1 sector earnings pop will end the bleeding. A few companies early reported and their stock popped. Cyclical sectors such as auto's have been beaten up so much in recent years, their downward cycle is finally bottoming out at an attractive multiple. Therefore, money is moving from tech to more defensive plays... IMO

 
Best Response
Researchthis:

IMFUTURE you're right on. Everyone is selling last years winners due valuations/ beta and buying value plays. Many tech names I cover have nothing fundamentally wrong with their story. Buysiders are fearing Q1 earnings comps. However, Q1 sector earnings pop will end the bleeding. A few companies early reported and their stock popped. Cyclical sectors such as auto's have been beaten up so much in recent years, their downward cycle is finally bottoming out at an attractive multiple. Therefore, money is moving from tech to more defensive plays... IMO

This is such an ER answer

I hate victims who respect their executioners
 
BlackHat:
Researchthis:

IMFUTURE you're right on. Everyone is selling last years winners due valuations/ beta and buying value plays. Many tech names I cover have nothing fundamentally wrong with their story. Buysiders are fearing Q1 earnings comps. However, Q1 sector earnings pop will end the bleeding. A few companies early reported and their stock popped. Cyclical sectors such as auto's have been beaten up so much in recent years, their downward cycle is finally bottoming out at an attractive multiple. Therefore, money is moving from tech to more defensive plays... IMO

This is such an ER answer

Hahahahahaah so true.

Over/under until first tiger TMT fund blows up?

 
BlackHat:
Researchthis:

IMFUTURE you're right on. Everyone is selling last years winners due valuations/ beta and buying value plays. Many tech names I cover have nothing fundamentally wrong with their story. Buysiders are fearing Q1 earnings comps. However, Q1 sector earnings pop will end the bleeding. A few companies early reported and their stock popped. Cyclical sectors such as auto's have been beaten up so much in recent years, their downward cycle is finally bottoming out at an attractive multiple. Therefore, money is moving from tech to more defensive plays... IMO

This is such an ER answer

So what is a Hedge Fund answer to this

"Oh the ladies ever tell you that you look like a fucking optical illusion" - Frank Slaughtery 25th Hour.
 

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