Why the focus on exit opps?

So, I know you'll read this and say ' He's naive". Actually I'm not and have man y years of battle scars on the retail side. Been through the boiler room cold calling w business when it was legal and encouraged. Was told the best lead in the world was if someone answered the phone. Figured out how to make it work and built a lasting 29 yrs strong! Would have been easy to quit as most did. Was starving on 100% commission and no advance. had the lights shut off at home. You get the drill.

So my question is, why are so many bankers hyper focused on exit opportunities? It seems to me you have to work your ass off to get to the right college. Then work your ass off to get an interview / hired. Then you work your ass off in the job for a few yrs (making good money for a kid). I realize it's a grind but so is law school and med school and top MBA and consulting, etc. It's all a grind until you're a leader and have others to do the grind. If the answer is you really want to be at another place, why don't you just focus on getting there the whole time?

Have two friends who are F250 CFOs. Both took different paths (MBA vs. CPA) but neither of them did IB to grad school back to IB associate to PE to MBB to corporate dev. The CPA did Big 8 to client to wharton (paid for by client) to various finace roles within client to CFO of division to CFO at another global company. MBA was basically the same. Once he got to where he is he moved up the food chain to the CFO position. Has been employed there 20 yrs. Makes 2M / yr and does really interesting work making all the IBers jump through hoops.

 

A little confused on what your asking - you essentially said why focus on exit ops but proceeded to rave about your two friends who once had exit op-type jobs..? Nonetheless, IB has higher pay and sets you up better than starting out in finance at a F500 company. There is a reason such a high proportion of executives started out in IB. Your two friends worked their way up the corporate ladder, but by no means is that the 'standard'

 
rickle:
I guess my question is: Are these IBers doing IB for two years (and hating it) just to move on to one of many more steps to get closer to corp development lead? Why not stay in IB and become an MD?

Because working in IB sucks balls at the junior level, and the only reason juniors do it is for future opportunities...ie "exit opps"

The previous jobs you described of your two CFO pals were cake compared to IB.

 
Best Response

Because investment banking culture at an industry level (not just at a certain specific firm, or group) is toxic.

When a banker's entire existence is based on chasing clients, and if you're lucky enough to get some, pandering to them, berating juniors for perceived shortcomings (because it only took you 25 years to "get it" - boy you sure catch on quick), and positioning yourself politically within your firm through an office version of the Hunger Games, you could see why that wouldn't be the most appealing way to spend the next 30 years of one's life for certain perceptive 22 year olds.

 
rickle:
1st of all, I "got it" very early in my career - mid 20s - and have made great money for a long time. But you are making my point. Why do it at all if it sucks so bad? Lots of other ways to make a great living without killing yourself. Shorter sales cycles, less aggravation.

Are you a troll? The answer was stated like 5 times. IB is a stepping stone to PE/HF where the real money is. Same thing with big4 and Consulting in most cases....you go in, make a few bucks and learn a bunch of stuff real fast, then get out before you get stuck there.

Obsession with exit ops? You want the best option for an exit. You bust your ass for 1-10 years, you don't want some shitty podunk job, you want the best you can get.

All these guys "obsessed with their jobs".....they'll have the option to be golfing at 45 while most people are still worrying about making mortgage payments. Some might even stay in industry and try for billionaire/political goals. If you're in this for any other reason, you're doing it wrong.

Get busy living
 

This.

It's not enough to find the work interesting and be able to handle long hours. If that were the case, I'd bet materially more analysts would stay on long-term.

It's exactly what iggs said. For most people, in most groups, at most banks, they realize that the amount of unbelievable nonsense you have to deal with just isn't worth the frustration/misery

 

To enter into PE/HF arena. Honestly, the CPA to latching in with a client seems like a great route for corp dev and financial planning. You still have to put in years of hard work and hours to get the necessary experience, but can be very rewarding in the long run. If you are in one of the larger accounting firms and happen to be a fit staying in can be have some great results as well.

Only two sources I trust, Glenn Beck and singing woodland creatures.
 
Random Name:
IMO the exit ops are so similar.

This is false.

But to your point. No one is "sad with themselves", people are just striving to do/be the best. I do agree that people seem to be a little elitist and are sometimes splitting hairs when debating coverage/product groups, but this is a finance forum--what did you expect?

 

Groups absolutely makes a difference when it comes to recruiting. Aside from the obvious differences between for example, ECM vs coverage, your experience in top coverage vs shitty coverage can vastly differ.

PE interviews drill down on deal specific items. It's very difficult or next to impossible to answer these questions and answer them well without working on actual deals.

 

Well, considering there is no M&A group for analysts at GS and that DB LevFin is one of top LevFin groups, I'd be pretty happy that I landed a top group over a nonexistent one.

In all seriousness, coverage groups and relevant product groups (MS M&A) at GS, MS, and EBs do place better to top PE/HFs than average groups at a bank like BAML/DB/Citi, etc. Not saying that bright people at these places don't go to great places but having a platinum plated name behind you makes it easier. Not saying that gives people the right to be assholes about it but there is a discernible difference.

Also honestly, wtf. Like are you seriously so insecure that you have to turn to WSO to justify being at what you yourself perceive to be a lower tier bank? Be happy where you are and stop trying to prove yourself to others.

 

I see. For the purposes here, I meant only the typical product groups (M&A and Lev Fin) and industry coverage groups (healthcare, TMT, industrials, etc.). DCM/ECM cases, global trade groups, etc. are a little bit different.

I really don't think a PE Megafund or a 5b+ hedge fund are going to mind someone from a product/industry group at a bulge bracket because of a name. As long as a group has multi-billion dollar deals right? I mean, certain cases like a distressed fund targeting restructuring specialists like Houlihan Lokey are understandable.

And I'm not insecure.. I see so many posts I was beginning to actually wonder if there was something I'm missing.

 

While you are right your deal experience is pivotal, so is brand name. It's somewhat of a catch 22: you need deals to establish a brand name, but you need a brand name to have a shot at large deals. Your firm name/group is the easiest first filter for recruiters to judge whether you have had enough exposure/deal experience for certain shops

 

I don't know if you've gone through buyside recruiting yet but there is a pretty clear advantage that some banks have. It's not some coincidence that most of say Apollo or KKR's associates are from GS, BX, MS, Moelis, Evercore, GHL, Lazard, etc. You can argue causation/correlation but I know in some cases, funds will just recruit at GS or let GS/MS kids go first in interviews and the leftover spots are dished around to others.

Kids from top groups at other BB's absolutely have a shot at top funds just look around WSO. But it's sorta like college. Going to Wharton is different from going to Northwestern. Both are great, top notch schools that send kids to top notch firms but one does place better overall than another.

 

Haven't went through buy side recruiting yet. I just had a lateral offer to a pretty good group at one of the middle bulge brackets. I get its not Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley, but the group is getting good deal flow at one of the top 5 IBs. I know a lot of people that were here went to Megafunds, which is why some of this doesn't make sense.

Always good to hear from you guys which is why I posted this.

 

You can theoretically go from any group / bank to any fund, and it does happen...but coming from a top group at a top bank makes it much easier. That said, if you don't manage to get GS TMT and end up at Deutsche LevFin, you shouldn't lose faith and will still have great exit opps.

 

IB usually will translate to corporate M&A or business development in the corporate world. Rise the ladder, and the head of business development or corporate M&A rarely if ever get tapped as CEO, CFO, etc;.

IB -> PE can lead to it.

Accounting is a better path truthfully if that's your endgame. Rise the ranks, become a Controller, then SVP of Finance, and you're heir apparent to CFO.

 

Not sure why the monkey poo on this, I'm an accountant and I don't even know the standard answer. I will say anecdotally our CFO is a former IB/PE guy (financial services). For my own sake I hope we take accountants too.

 

Partially because the recruiting cycle has moved so far back that you have to be thinking about it as soon as the end of this calendar year if you are a graduating senior. Ridiculous, but true.

 

This site is hilarious.

[quote]The HBS guys have MAD SWAGGER. They frequently wear their class jackets to boston bars, strutting and acting like they own the joint. They just ooze success, confidence, swagger, basically attributes of alpha males.[/quote]
 

[quote=burningcigar]As far as I can tell 99% of us are college students anyway. Kinda silly to be asking about stuff 2-4 years out in the future, like seriously wtf?

Saw this just now and made me laugh because I'm not the only one, you guys might appreciate:

http://wheninfinance.tumblr.com/post/22255481930/when-college-seniors-s…] Why is this unreasonable? Why wouldn't they? Just to be clear, I'm an analyst now, not in school anymore. And I can assure you that exit opps are a huge deal. The easy thing to do here is bash college kids, but I actually do recommend that you ask about exit opps before you consider a certain path. Life does not end 2-4 years after you start your first job.

You might argue that it doesn't matter because we'll all go back to grad school and change our minds/restart anyway, but some people don't want to or have to go back to grad school. You know who doesn't plan 2-4 years ahead? The average joe at ASU who are happy with selling life insurance after graduation.

 

Why? Because doing thankless work and having no life fucking sucks. You're being used and 95% of the time it's with the expectation that you're going to be thrown away and replaced by a younger, cheaper, less burned out college grad. So line up the next thing now if you have an ounce of smarts in you, hopefully they'll pay you and treat you better. Unless you are kookoo in the head and like it, you won't want to see the inside of a bank ever again.

Hilarious site, BTW

Get busy living
 

Also important to note that a large percentage of junior bankers do not care about finance at all so they would naturally care about how they can leave.

They went into the industry because they went to a top school and followed the herd to chase a prestigious/selective job largely cause they didn't know what to do or their true passion (human rights/urban planning/whatever it is) doesn't pay for Nobu dinners and other luxuries.

 

I'm still a youngin', but from all my older friends I think most people realize they can't do the rat race after a certain point and opt for other opportunities when the time comes. Busting your ass to get into a target, get internships, get a top SA, get placed into a top group, get an offer, be a top analyst, go through PE recruiting, do b-school apps and try PE recruiting again, etc. is cut throat and not meant for everyone.

 

Everyone talks about it coming into banking, because by definition everyone coming into banking is coming out of college or is otherwise very young, and therefore by definition (and I don't mean this as an insult) is dumb and doesn't know shit. Turns out some people want to stay in banking. Some want to go to plain old asset managers. Some want to be lawyers (pray for them). Some want to do corporate development where, if you're in the office past 4 on a Friday, something has gone horribly wrong. These are all fine! PE seems great (and it can be) but A) there just aren't that many MF jobs to go around, and B) for some it's not as glamorous as it seems.

The focus on exit ops around here is one of the dumbest aspects of this site. Exit ops depending upon the individual first and the firm, the group, the location, etc of your analyst stint are all distant secondary factors.

 

I think a large amount of people on this site care way too much what others think of them & their career. It could be said that MM PE beats MF PE since there is higher chance (Albeit still low) of staying longer than 2 years w/o b-school and MF PE hours are usually just as bad as banking. My mentor works in post-MBA MM PE and honestly it appears so absolutely awesome. On the contrast a MF PE group head went to my non-target and is very much like Dimon or Blankfein in terms of his workaholic attitude. I don't see either leaving since it's what fits them.

 

I think most people prefer a sure thing to taking risk. The OP's career path is non-standard. The two CFOs the OP mentioned took more standard career paths. Most kids going into IB don't want to be CFOs at F500 companies. They want to be partners at PE funds, VC funds, maybe a few hedge funds as well. To be honest, I don't think most kids going into IB have any idea what they want to do. They just hear that IB pays well and sets them up for a high-paying career almost immediately after graduation. For a lot of the kids applying to IB or consulting analyst programs, they measure their lives in competition with one another. If you had to crush it in grade school and middle school to get into a competitive high school, then crush it in high school to get into a good college, then crush it again to get a good internship, and crush it one more time to get a return offer--well, that's how you're conditioned. The drive that got you to the full-time offer is the very same drive that propels you to ask, "What's next?"

And in the modern economy, it's not clear to most new graduates which (if any) career paths their parents may have taken will be available to them. Technological change used to take more than a full generation for corporate and societal adoption. That's not the case any more. People graduating today will probably experience triple or quadruple the disruption to their careers as their parents did. Since you can't control for almost any of the exogenous shocks to your career, it makes some sense to play it safe out of college and focus on your next move from a position of relative strength. That seems like a reasonably sound strategy to me.

 

Could you imagine the IBD interview for an astronaut?

Activities: Spent 6 months on the space station

Interviewer: So tell me a time when you've worked on a team Astronut: Well I spent 6 months in space Interviewer: OMG NO WAI!!!!!!!

Interviewer: So what's your greatest accomplishment? Astronut: I spent 6 months on the space station Interviewer: OMG NO WAY!1111212

-------------------------------------------------------- "I do not think there is any other quality so essential to success of any kind as the quality of perseverance. It overcom
 
zer0zero:
Also, aren't they usually engineers before they get accepted to the program?

depends..if they are on a mission to explore geology, then they are geologists..they can be anything...i think its moslty scientists and engineers, with doctorates..

 

People ask about exit opps because people don't stay at one company for an entire career any more. Kids graduating now are expecting to have 8 or so jobs before retirement. It is important to know where each job can place you afterward.

 

Exit opportunities are whatever you make them. I think people need to realize that when they go into careers with skill sets that don't transfer well you are going to have to hustle to change your job.

S&T is kind of like being a dolphin trainer. Cool job, lots of fun, but what the hell else are you going to do.

 
AnthonyD1982:
Exit opportunities are whatever you make them. I think people need to realize that when they go into careers with skill sets that don't transfer well you are going to have to hustle to change your job.

S&T is kind of like being a dolphin trainer. Cool job, lots of fun, but what the hell else are you going to do.

Dolphin Hunting is always an option...

 

This really should be stickied, excelsior is correct, though maybe just in the trader forum. I think it's even a legit question; the stupid part is that it's been asked and answered so many times already in this forum, asking just demonstrates the laziness of the asker.

 

Sales? sales is not an exit op...its like trading...gimme a break, dont compare it to pb and especially not to T.support Furthermore, nobody insuated im a prop trader or a risk taking trader...but i get your jist as well

 

Sales not being an exit op? Certainly is if you are a sales trader. Much less so if you are buy side. Also, you could potentially work with companies who design software to help them refine their trading platforms. You could parlay your knowledge of products in tons of ways.

I've met several "failed" traders and portfolio managers who couldn't cut the mustard with a decent P/L and went on to sales. Some get involved in risk management as well.

 

i know a few busted buyside traders who are now in sales so it does happen. But i think the point is that people on this board enter jobs like banking for opportunities to leave not if they failed but if they are successful. If you are a successful trader that's it, you have learned a skill and have a career that can be quite lucrative...the exit op is retirement. Obviously if you fail at anything including banking, trading, or stone welding you're gonna have to find another job.

 

alot of times in the hedge fund world moving to sales is a natural progression because while someone couldnt cut it as a trader they have a good relationship with the fund they used to work for. So they can go say, "hey i used to trade for XYZ BigFund and if you hire me I'll bring you their business". It often nets them large guaranteed deals and then nets their new employer immediate disappointment when they realize the guy was full of shit.

 

To further brotherbear's point, the linear advancement mindset of school carries over for most students into their career path. The more ambiguous, the far less traveled these paths would be. It's a trade off: good money, straightforwardness, learning experience, and brand equity for getting the shit beat out of you. In general, anything that's grossly competitive and straightforward usually means the competitive edge comes from outworking one another and I notice many people would rather settle for that than having to figure shit out on their own

Created a 1-step skincare solution for men. Purchase + reviews appreciated: www.w34th.com
 

Your friends are the exceptions, not the rule. Not everyone can start off as an analyst and just work through high finance to become a CxO of a company. And honestly you'll probably be pushing 40 by the time you break 500k (if that) working as anything less than a divisional CFO / CEO. I'd like to be young if and when I earn / enjoy my millions.

 

tldr: if you want to take the work minimizing path (which sounds like what you're advocating), then the very obvious answer is to take the path one all these kids want to take, though it is only obvious when you think "outside the box". in my particular case, I work at a hedge fund and am 1,000% confident that my lifetime hours of leisures are higher than if I had worked my way up at F500 companies in corporate finance. (to be clear, I work in public markets so am fully aware of how hard it is to be confident about knowing anything!)

usually the response to this is "money is not everthing" and to portray me as a greedy, anxiety-ridden and money / prestige driven person. that's why all these kids pursue this path, right? this explanation is common and what plays to the narrative you are told about people that work in finance and hedge funds. it's also just wrong.

if you assume that both me and your F500 / corporate friends are both "work averse" (e.g., want to minimize lifetime hours worked), then the most work averse path is to do the path that i took by an disgustingly wide margin because my excess earnings allow me to retire far earlier. in simple terms, I am working 25-50% more hours but I make 2-10x as much; if you put all these earnings in savings that compound over time, then I get to retire way earlier and I work fewer hours over my lifetime. if you have a time preference for leisure at a younger age, you can also just switch jobs more often and use the in-between time as vacation (which is what I did before I started my current job and plan to continue doing going forward).

to "invert" my statement and view it from the opposite angle, it would seem extremely irrational to me to decide to cut my workweek by just 10-15 hours per week at the cost of several hundred thousand per year (or at the cost of several more decades in the workforce, if you prefer not to think in monetary terms).

money and time aside, it also matters that you enjoy what you do. my job is by literally any objective metric a lot cooler than yours even though I'm a lot younger. I get to be a detective and talk to some of the world's leading technology executives on a regular basis. i am playing a competitive sport against some of the world's brightest people, which is something that motivates me. most of my job involves a great deal of autonomy and intellectual freedom, even though I'm still in my 20s. it's something i've wanted to do since a young age and I actually do love it. i also personally don't find the job stressful (a good part about efficient markets is that is it both hard to make money AND hard to lose money in large quantities).

if you model it out, there is actually simply no set of mathematical assumptions where you can maximize either wealth, leisure, interesting-ness of work or career opportunities by actively choosing to reject a career in high finance and instead working directly at a F500 (unless you're one of those lucky people that just becomes the director of biz dev at a pre-IPO startup after a short stint at a mega-fund). there are a few reasonable reasons to go into corporate finance but they are: "I uniquely believe that my skills add more value to the world at company X" or "I actually did not want the extra responsibility at a young age -- it stresses me out" or "the type of person on Wall Street is typically pretty douchey and rude; this makes me not like work" or "this type of work makes me suffer health problems that make it not sustainable for me." these were not the reasons you stated, so I'll be firm in stating that your account of this tradeoff is actually just intellectually dishonest.

the kids on this forum aren't misguided -- i actually think they are pretty rational and I am glad i was one of them when i was younger a few years ago.

 

Good arguments. Not professing anyone choose X over Y. Simply stated I see so many negative comments regarding the grind and an obsession about exiting to the next opportunity on this site, I decided to ask "why do it at all, lots of ways to make great money early in life?". You lay out your answers in an intelligent manner. A lot more insightful and reasoned than "cause I can make bank as a 25 yr old".

 

Funny you should ask this. I have in essence created a passive income stream by setting up sales distribution, They sell, they and I get paid ( I am a wholesaler of financial services products, funds, insurance m annuities, etc.). More than 50% of my income (high 6 figure) comes quite passively. I just maintain relationships with the producers. Virtually complete freedom, great cash flow, spend my time with who I want doing what I want. Basically part time hours.

 

I dreamed about doing that as a kid. Part of me does want to do that and in a lot of ways, it might be a better fit for who I am.

For now, I feel like being around very bright people will make me a better person in at least some ways. It's easy to "move down the latter" and hard to move up the ladder in finance, so when I give up I want it to be after I've done my fair share. Honestly, though I do think my job is really cool, I actually think I might grow tired of it after a year or two. At that point I'll prob do something similar to what you're saying or something else.

 

I subscribe the same train of thought as you. None of the CFOs or Entrepreneurs I know (and I know a few) done a stint in IBD, or even remotely know what IBD is. I think this is especially true for Europeans. I mean I have seen ex IBD and Consulting guys move in to executive positions, but there are many ways to skin a cat.

Im moving to a Fund shortly and the 3 portfolio managers come from Big 4 accounting backgrounds, and not the sexy kind of accounting either.

No point in preaching about this on WSO, most are drinking from the IBD Kool-aid. The majority of the IBD or bust mentality on WSO comes from students who don't know if its New York or New Year.

 

None of the CFOs that you know are aware of what IBD is? wtf? How could their companies possibly operate without liquidity and treasury services? As a CFO its quite literally impossible to handle the daily business of your firm without knowing what an investment bank is.

Absurd.

"Well, you know, I was a human being before I became a businessman." -- George Soros
 

This is actually a really fascinating question because it comes from a pretty unique perspective; that of an older guy who's seen manycareers play out.

The answer is... it's complicated. IBD is marketed extremely well to type-A high achievers and promises continual advancement. Exit Opps, in other words, embody this 'advancement'. By leaving the 'service-esque' nature of IBD to invest principal capital, finance professionals can make a ton of money doing ostensibly interesting work at a young age.

Your point about getting there through different paths etc. is valid but ignores the primary selling point for IBD; quickness and transparency. The IBD route is supposedly a far faster career builder that also has a degree of certainty embedded into it (you can always go to corp dev or fp&a if PE/HF don't work out). It is far more valuable, in other words, to grind towards an intriguing job in investing as opposed to grind for a less 'intellectual' or 'rewarding' job (staying on in IB). I hope that provides some clarity to your question.

 

Now that's an answer! Quite interesting to compare the thought and promise of a career with the realities of the grind in a career. Somewhere along the way, "Life Happens" and financial reward loses it's luster unless you truly enjoy what you do. Got to a fairly high level within my industry a long time ago. Did well. Many, and I mean many, were cracking the 7 figure mark (some closer to 8 figures). I examined their situation and realized I just didn't want to do what they did to get there. The idea of being there was great. The grind (not hours, but type of work) wasn't worth it (to me). Morphed into a work / life balance scenario where work isn't a place I go, but rather something I do when necessary to feed the beast. When I want more "juice" I just do it more.

Have to admit it was a blast going to all my kid's baseball games and golf tournaments while still making a great living, occasionally having to step away and take a call.

 

This is the most "boomer" thing I've ever read. Times have changed. The old notion of the tenacious "working stiff" that starts out in the mailroom and becomes the CEO is no longer a viable career path.

The job market -- particularly in finance and banking -- is extremely competitive with competition for US finance jobs occurring on a global scale. The best way to progress in today's job environment is to make opportunistic moves in order to further personal career development. There is no glory in being a loyal 20+ yr employee anymore.

"Well, you know, I was a human being before I became a businessman." -- George Soros
 
Futures Trader Man:
This is the most "boomer" thing I've ever read. Times have changed. The old notion of the tenacious "working stiff" that starts out in the mailroom and becomes the CEO is no longer a viable career path.

The job market -- particularly in finance and banking -- is extremely competitive with competition for US finance jobs occurring on a global scale. The best way to progress in today's job environment is to make opportunistic moves in order to further personal career development. There is no glory in being a loyal 20+ yr employee anymore.

Too true

There is no loyalty to employees anymore...There are no guaranteed promotions......It is an "eat what you kill" world

 

I think it's realistically a matter of the 'jammed doorway' at IB shops. PE/AM/HF/CD, etc., all like to poach from top IBs because the perception is that there are a limited number of spots for the best kids at the best schools. These kids are then put through the large institution machine of professional decorum, so that perception is enhanced, making it easier for those kids to be respected more than anyone else. You get a situation where the story told enough times that it becomes true as more kids fight to go through this path to get to the coveted role, and then also bolster the narrative once they get in those seats and have decision making ability. And so, everyone wants to be one of those "pathway" kids, so I doubt there's even a thought about just being in the process, it's about focusing on the destination these kids have been planning for since they were young.

 

2 Reasons:

1) They go in knowing how unlikely it is they'd ever make Partner/MD or whatever carrot firms dangle in front of you to keep you working like a horse. These days it's just not possible unless you're a mega revenue generator or Mr. Rolodex, and the business model counts-no, depends- on them burning you out long before that happens.

2) The exit opps themselves are damn good. Aside from the obvious PE/VC/HF/HSW jumps, they give you an advantage for some pretty cool unicorn gigs. I was in an FLDP and rotated into a Corporate Strategy role, so my colleagues were all ex-MBB-D. The caliber of recruiting opportunities (and comp) they got was a league better than what I was seeing, though I lucked into something decent. That kind of optionality is a valuable chip.

Proud as I am of my resume, I'll always regret not having started out in Big 4, IB, or Consulting. My colleagues with those experiences came out with technical skills, networks, the benefit of the doubt from employers, and a level of polish that took me several years to earn. If I could have had the same advantages slaving away for 2 years? Done

 

Pretty much. I recommend FLDPs if you can't break in to prof. svces. because you'll get a somewhat similar range of exposure across functions, and if you really kill it there's a decent payoff/chance at upward movement.

 

Something I've noticed is that you assume that just because someone is after the exit opps, means they automatically don't like the job they take before the exit opp they want. While there was some monotonous work I'd do in my IB internship, I did enjoy a lot of the work and thought it was interesting but more importantly, I would have much rather done it than any corporate finance work, BO roles, insurance sales, etc. So just because someone is after an exit opp, it doesn't mean they would be happier or fulfilled doing other types of work.

Although, the most important to realize is that these exit opps these people are after aren't really achievable through other career paths. PE is difficult enough to break into while working in IB - it becomes much more difficult if not impossible through most other career choices. And going to your last point. not everyone wants to become an executive of a company or do certain types of work - for instance, I believe you said something about knowing people who became CFOs, but it's widely known that CFOs do accounting work (at a high level picture) which is something that not only I, but most other people don't want to do.

 

brotherbear has addressed the most important point, which I'll make my first.

One:
The overwhelming majority of people in life are followers. There's a natural sorting mechanism. Few people have the mental and emotional composition to withstand the pressure of being a leader (defined as the person with whom the buck stops, call that 'founder' or 'entrepreneur' or whatever you like; in short, the person who applied their own ingenuity to move something from zero to one).

Two:
Technology is an incredibly democratizing phenomenon. This applies here in two ways. First, the simple advent of the Internet has granted tremendous visibility on all career paths that previously had significant cultural or informational moats around them.

Banking was historically a more insular field than most. Law school and med school were easy; you got good grades, took a test, and applied. This is why being a doctor or lawyer were the two automatic career expectations of a 'smart kid' from the Great Depression until the dot-com boom, whereas a banker (of any kind: corporate, commercial, or investment) was the path for a connected kid. Nobody in the middle class knew what the hell it was as a profession, and you had to know somebody on the inside to get a seat.

(e.g. Warren Hellman became a partner at Lehman at the age of 26, one year after he graduated from HBS. How did that happen? He was the great-grandson of one of Wells Fargo's presidents, and through distant in-laws, related to one of the three founding brothers of Lehman.)

(e.g. Ace Greenberg as the classic story of being a huge anomaly for being able to break into a bulge bracket bank coming from a midwestern Jewish family, and how rebuilt the entire firm over time around his values of "PSD" rather than the blue-blood heritage every other white-shoe firm prized.)

This is borne out in the data for graduate school admissions. Top law and medical schools have effectively maintained the same relative rankings and admissions rates for decades with very little fluctuation on either dimension. Business school, on the other hand, is a dramatically more recent phenomenon.

I don't mean that the schools themselves are young, I mean that their 'prestige' is nowhere near as historical as law or medicine. HBS was accepting candidates without a standardized test into the '90s. The acceptance rate in the '70s was in the 40%s. People were applying directly out of undergrad or with one job (and only 12-24 months total experience) and waltzing in.

Part of that was self-selective (in that you had to think of yourself as Harvard material, you had to know how to write an application that would resonate with the committee, you had to be able to afford the costs), but if you go talk to the generation of guys who graduated between the '60s-'80s, they'll tell you with candor how easy it was and how much of a step down it was image-wise from law school.

I heard a megafund founder everyone here would recognize by name in a small group setting say that "I went because it was the only graduate school program that I could fill out an application for five months before classes started. Hell, it was the only place I could get in."

This recent (in relative terms) rise in the perception of the business school phenomenon and swell in the ranks of business school applicants and alumni also correlates pretty well with the mushrooming size of banks' employee count. All the bulge bracket banks used to be literal partnerships with several hundred employees. Today they're all behemoths with bloated employee counts in the tens of thousands. (e.g. Ace took Bear from 1,000 employees to 6,000 in the '80s.)

Second, social media and the attenuating sociopsychological effects it has unlocked have made it both way easier and way more natural as an adolescent or teen to stay abreast of every great thing every single peer of yours is doing. Obviously, any rational individual knows that Instagram is a curated and glamorized portrayal of the life someone lives, but people who are highly externally regulated or who haven't fully developed as individuals (read: every young person everywhere) continually fall prey to benchmarking and to FOMO.

We see this in the rising prevalence of mental health issues in teenagers, in the remarkably brutal college application process, in the early career stage. When you see that your 8th grade classmate is volunteering in Chile over winter break, you have to to. When your 10th grade classmates are doing three APs, you need to do the same. When your high school's top-10% are running 4.0 unweighted GPAs and 4.6 weighted, you have to step up to match.

It's harder to stand out for college admission, your first internship, or your first job when everyone around you has a profile with perfect grades, four substantive leadership positions, two impressive philanthropic accomplishments, one major sport, and one second language.

In short, it's way easier to learn more about what everyone else is doing. It's also way easier to get caught in a recursive loop of comparison and competition. The unifying factor there is technology: it lets us see more and it shapes our behavior.

Three:
Economic and cultural factors have rewritten the rules of employment. You used to be able to get a job and spend an entire career there. The stories of Jim Skinner starting at McDonald's as a trainee in 1971 and reaching CEO in 2004, Jim Ziemer starting at Harley Davidson in 1969 as an elevator operator and hitting CEO in 2005, Sam Palmisano starting in sales at IBM in 1973 and earning CEO in 2002, and Ace Greenberg starting as a clerk at Bear in 1949 and making CEO in 1978 are not replicable for people starting at companies in this millennium.

People have wised up to the fact that the most dependable way to get a title and compensation raise is to move to a competitor every 2-4 years. In some fields (usually tech-related), that trends as low as every 12-18 months. Equity grants and their cliff dates really drive the duration of high performers' employment.

///

Investment banking plus its vaunted 'exit opps' is one of the smartest risk-adjusted paths to higher-than-average career success. The contributing set of factors behind performance in it are fully identifiable, measurable, and predictable.

In light of all I wrote above, it becomes eminently clear why so many people pursue banking as their first job.

  • It eliminates uncertainty ("all I have to do is X, Y, and Z and I can get the job; all I have to do is A, B, and C and I can excel at it").
  • It pays very well nominally (status is important; the wow factor behind a $185k total package for a first-year analyst overwhelms any thoughtful comment that a job with double the hours and four times the stress of an average college graduate's first gig may actually be worse overall).
  • It preserves optionality. For the kid who never knew what he wanted to study, just that he needed to do really well at it, the job that doesn't eliminate any subsequent high-paying field like private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, corporate development, corporate strategy, etc. is the predictably attractive option.

///

ThatOtherGuy understands my first (not numbered) point very well. People continually defer decision-making. Said differently, people always want the broadest optionality. If you give people two choices, Ticket A with 10 fairly equally weighted outcomes ranging from $200k-500k in annual income and Ticket B with 4 outcomes, one at 70% and $0k / one at 25% and $100k / one at 4% and $500k / one at 1% and $10m+ ... everyone punches Ticket A day in and day out.

From how you described yourself rickle, it's clear you're a Ticket B guy on a binary scale. You figured out how to build a thing of and on your own that works. Whether you're clearing six figures or eight figures from it a year is irrelevant. Given two choices, very, very few people make the same choice you did and go "Yeah, I'll jump".

Lastly, BobbybananamA's heuristic is gold. Some people have the temerity to make a time-weighted analysis of expected payoffs, then use the output to drive their decision, agnostic of what their experience will be like.

///

In summary:

(i) What your friends did is actually fairly similar to what you're questioning. They went to professional services firms that afforded them the transferable and marketable skill-set that allowed them to move to the exit they were most interested in. Banking offers a better caliber of exits than accounting.

(ii) The way the world works has evolved, so people are adapting their behaviors.

(iii) Young people today themselves are wired differently (and in a different way than could be said about every generation in history).

I am permanently behind on PMs, it's not personal.
 

I'm not sure 'the path' really existed 30 years ago. I think it's a bit of a shame that people like Gary Cohn couldn't hope to get an interview at Goldman these days. There is a lot of talent in the world outside of HYP or Oxbridge/LSE. That said, it seems you're talking about sales & trading more than I-banking. I started my career in trading, and was something of a quant. Even a decade ago when I started my career, you have to realize how parochial the IT systems at banks and hedge funds were.

There were different position management systems across all desks. Rates used different risk management software from currencies, who had completely different systems than equities. Even within teams, the flow and options desks might use different systems. It was a complete disaster from a planning perspective, and the effects are still felt today. Some of the systems were built in-house and some were bought by third-party vendors. It was really up to the Desk Head which systems his team used. And in the years leading up to the financial crisis in 2008, whole teams used to get poached from one bank to another. When they moved, they wanted to keep the systems they already knew, so the new bank would simply buy seat licences for the new systems and figure out the integration.

All of this was done without any consideration for the costs, the cybersecurity risks, or the integration risks (sometimes, adding new systems to an already badly structured IT enterprise can cause portions of said system to act up). As such, banks are a total cluster fuck from an IT perspective, which is one of the primary reasons fin-tech is such an interesting space.

I explain this so you get an idea of the sorts of jobs 'quants' did even 10 years ago. Two decades before that, there were no 'quants'. A lot of the older traders when I was an analyst used to tell stories about how they started on the desk before there were computers on the floor. The used to tell me about the Quotron machines they had to use, and how even those were novel at some point. Some of these guys are still in the markets. Some of them run big banks. They're fucking dinosaurs, but they haven't yet gone extinct.

The era of quants only really started about 10-15 years ago. Before that, most computers didn't have the processing power to handle much at all. You have to realize that most closed-form solutions for most option structures were only worked out in the 80s and 90s. The Black & Scholes paper on option pricing came out in 1973, with Merton's method arising in 1974. Jump risks weren't well understood until the 1980s. But all of this was done by hand. Vanna-Volga models only really started being used in the markets in 2007-2008, but weren't fully adopted until a year or two later.

In any case, quants weren't really useful before about 15 years ago. And 'the path' at that time was to begin your career in the markets, establish yourself on one of the market-making desks, take more proprietary risk over time, and then launch your own fund (typically with the assistance of the bank itself). Back then, the Prime Brokerage would help you set up your fund so they could keep their best talent within the bank. In addition to capital introductions (intros to investors within their private bank or asset management business), they would also help out with all of the back office nonsense that no trader really understands (all the stuff the desk COOs deal with). But the Dodd-Frank Act changed that with the Lincoln Amendment, barring banks from owning more than a small percent of PE funds and HFs as a percent of the bank's overall assets. This essentially destroyed the path-to-market for most HF manager aspirants, since the capital raising and operational aspects of launching a new fund require different knowledge and connections than most traders possess.

On top of that, making money in a prop book trading off the bank's balance sheet and having a P&L worth mentioning is not the same as having a track record benchmarked against an index. This is an important point, because in the past 10 years, investment consulting has become significantly more mature as an industry. Even a decade ago, the majority of pension funds, endowments, foundations and family offices did not use an investment consultant. Now, they all do. If someone like Albourne, Mercer or Cambridge Associates (who seem to get no love on this website, but have a LOT of power in the alternative investment world) doesn't 'cover' your fund, you're not going to raise institutional money. Thus, the 'path' for people in the market has become a lot less clear.

It's annoying to people like me because I get tired of having to listen to the supposed wisdom of guys 10 years older than me who just happened to get in the markets at the right time. Not only are they not cleverer than anyone else in the markets, they're also not clever enough to understand most of what I just wrote. This means they don't understand how much serendipity played a role in their success. They were able to launch funds before institutional investing became as regimented as it is today. It's much harder to do so now because it's very difficult to establish a track record trading real money in real size.

In any case, I don't trade any longer. I invest in technology and services businesses, but some of my reasons for leaving the markets are highlighted above. Hopefully, this helps you choose your own path.

 

I agree with most of what you say.

They also had better information edges and didn’t have to compete with algorithms which have changed the game a ton. Seems like risks management has gotten tougher because an algo event can occur and blow up your risks systems. Withness early February.

But yes getting into the game 25 years ago would have been a much easier time. Maybe it gets better now that qe is ending and adding volatility.

I think millenium has replaced a lot of what banks use to do for traders. Then maybe the bank would set you up. Now if you have a good track record they can set you up.

 

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