Will AgTech be the next FinTech?

Do you think that Agricultural Technology will become the new hot sector in the next 10 years? One example of AgTech is vertical farming/hydroponics that allow to grow more food with less space to obtain yields magnitudes greater than what traditional farming can achieve.

Do you think private equity investment into this vertical is bound to grow?

 

Most AgTech firms are still at the venture stage but some big players have already emerged in the field of vegetable production such as AppHarvest and AeroFarms.

Some recent news:

aerofarms

As for FinTech, I think that some AgTech verticals are more promising than others. I think that improving yields per volume of space and reducing the length of supply chains has potential, especially in the case of perishables (fruits, veggies, fish).

 

Why did you delete your post brother? I remember it, it was interesting.

 

Great insight. I wish more people would think like this.

"If you always put limits on everything you do, physical or anything else, it will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them." - Bruce Lee
 

I don't know about FinTech per se, but this could have profound effects on real estate in cities, and with the growth of blockchain technology it would help with being able to track where agricultural products come from, catch germs/disease/issues in the supply chain, etc.

Quant (ˈkwänt) n: An expert, someone who knows more and more about less and less until they know everything about nothing.
 

No. I think fintech through its many verticals is extremely disruptive, and will have a greater impact on the world as a whole (1) disrupting the major banks, (2) changing the way we use money/transact (3) crypto/blockchain. 

With that being said, AgTech will probably be hugely impactful & is a really interesting space. But for many reasons that I'm too lazy to state, I don't think the two are really all that comparable (outside of disruption potential). 

 

Yes, I don't mean to wax all tech-broey here, but I genuinely think the agricultural industry is one of the last frontiers of innovation/wholesale disruption. Smart money has already been circling the space since mid-2010s, but the valuations are not yet out of whack if you look at VC investments. People talk a lot about vertical farming but there's so much that's already taking place in the space that is largely ignored for whatever reasons. Here's a few off the top of my head:

- Cultivation advancements & CRISPR in agriculture. The most commercially available banana on a global scale, the Cavendish variety, is on the verge of extinction largely due to a disease that rendered its predecessor, Gros Michel, extinct. It's still very early but there was a scientific breakthrough a couple months ago where some Aussy scientist was able to demonstrate through field trials that a Cavendish line, resistant to the disease, can be developed. CRISPR will help to actualize this breakthrough and help to hopefully bring this variety at commercial scale after 5+ years (Fresh Del Monte has already jumped on this & partnered with the scientists involved with the breakthrough so it's pretty serious). Another accomplishment that no one mentions is how England, France, and Holland have been growing quinoa, at admittedly relatively small scales, for several years now thanks to creation of new Quinoa varieties that are able to be grown in those environments.

  - We hear a lot about the Teslas, Waymos,and the whole self-driving cars shabang, but what about autonomous tractors? Some form of autonomous tractors have been around for at least a decade thanks to NASA's nearly-two decade collaboration with John Deere on GPS technology. We are at the point where John Deere unveiled a fully autonomous tractor since 2019. Like self-driving, we're still a bit far away in terms of having fully autonomous tractors, but the progress we've made so far is encouraging. Besides autonomous tractors, I won't even get into the robotics stuff they are trying like laser robots as an alternative to use of pesticides.

- Big data/Analytics will eat farming. The potential of space is not just limited to rare earth mining and assessing the viability of colonization.  Check out the concept of precision agriculture. Some farmers are already receiving real-time photos of their farms from satellites in space that give them insight on crop yield, crop area, and the EXACT required amount of fertilizer. All of this helps with financial planning, sustainability, and productivity for farmers.

 There's a lot more I could point to in terms of experimenting with seaweed as cattle feed to drastically reduce methane emissions, machine learning in Agriculture, even more on precision agriculture like hyperspectral imaging (& its implications for food distribution), shelf-life extension developments, etc. but I won't bore you and much of this stuff is still not at meaningful scale. The point is the industry is ripe for innovation because there are many challenges to overcome, and there are some who are already positioning themselves to find, fund, and scale solutions. Happy to share news resources.

 

My nephew is studying Agribusiness/ agricultural business operations at Cal Poly - it seems interesting.

"If you always put limits on everything you do, physical or anything else, it will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them." - Bruce Lee
 

I’ve thought about trying to do something in this space, but never got beyond idle speculation (story of my life, right?). The need is there and growing rapidly (and will accelerate if climate trends hold), and the addressable market is absolutely massive. 
 

Unfortunately, the price and margin on most ag products is low, while the capital requirements for tech development are high, which suggests that unless you can provide meaningful improvement and eat a large loss while you scale, the juice may not be worth the squeeze… probably a worthy target for someone like Softbank though (or at least a more interesting money pit than micro-offices for tech bros)

 
Most Helpful

I think it will become a hot sector, but when you consider the differences in the business it will not be as attractive as Fintech.

Foremost, Fintech looks to solve a problem in finance, a field that is by nature high margin and can afford to spend a lot on solutions. With a high willingness to pay, there is a better return potential.

The other factor is that I suspect the competitive advantages aren’t as strong. Don’t get me wrong, there are a lot of garbage Fintechs and most wealthtech platforms are commodities at this point. But scale and relationships are a big advantage, and are other reasons why these businesses are attractive investments.

Agriculture has a lot of room for improvement, but I don’t see the economics working out in a way that are as good as Fintech. I’m super biased from my work experience in Fintech, however

 

Consequatur deserunt iure eligendi possimus alias itaque. Ut maxime maiores rerum reprehenderit nostrum fugiat provident mollitia. Dolore laboriosam at natus veritatis in excepturi sequi.

Corporis qui vel ea in provident. Quis consequatur odio qui vitae hic illo. Blanditiis eius temporibus non sed sed.

Hic illo veritatis et voluptatem. A omnis enim numquam repudiandae recusandae qui enim. Iure animi recusandae eligendi et et in. Quis doloremque qui atque in dolorem. Autem corrupti est modi consequatur id et cumque.

Accusamus culpa laboriosam consequuntur ea. Et dolores laboriosam suscipit ea. Aut maxime aliquid quia nam autem repudiandae et. Deleniti harum repudiandae sit dolores amet. Velit et vitae culpa ducimus sed aut expedita.

 

Aut ut sunt quod. Quia iusto inventore ut cumque molestias perferendis. Laudantium sint quasi laborum dolor. Dolorum inventore beatae id quis est dolorem. Quia facere facilis ut dicta rerum id. Fugiat ab ut quae. Deserunt perferendis rerum explicabo voluptatem ut eligendi.

Suscipit sed et quam modi rerum corrupti. Fugiat eum occaecati rerum suscipit. Ut voluptates omnis labore et omnis a. Ratione nesciunt magni aliquam aut quo commodi quam.

Porro voluptas a doloremque culpa odio pariatur. Voluptas qui laudantium vel possimus repudiandae fugit. Ullam voluptas quisquam ea doloribus quasi voluptatibus quia. Omnis perferendis dolor quos atque. Error sint est aut perspiciatis. Rerum at dignissimos repellat beatae blanditiis. Architecto harum nemo ut quidem est et esse.

Facilis tempora qui nobis. Delectus molestias voluptatem quis quia vel accusantium voluptas eius. Quis vel exercitationem adipisci omnis in odio sit.

"Work ethic, work ethic" - Vince Vaughn

Career Advancement Opportunities

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Jefferies & Company 02 99.4%
  • Goldman Sachs 19 98.8%
  • Harris Williams & Co. New 98.3%
  • Lazard Freres 02 97.7%
  • JPMorgan Chase 03 97.1%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Harris Williams & Co. 18 99.4%
  • JPMorgan Chase 10 98.8%
  • Lazard Freres 05 98.3%
  • Morgan Stanley 07 97.7%
  • William Blair 03 97.1%

Professional Growth Opportunities

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Lazard Freres 01 99.4%
  • Jefferies & Company 02 98.8%
  • Goldman Sachs 17 98.3%
  • Moelis & Company 07 97.7%
  • JPMorgan Chase 05 97.1%

Total Avg Compensation

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Director/MD (5) $648
  • Vice President (19) $385
  • Associates (86) $261
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (14) $181
  • Intern/Summer Associate (33) $170
  • 2nd Year Analyst (66) $168
  • 1st Year Analyst (205) $159
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (145) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
99.0
3
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
4
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
5
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
6
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
7
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
8
kanon's picture
kanon
98.9
9
bolo up's picture
bolo up
98.8
10
Jamoldo's picture
Jamoldo
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”