Would you factor in the general vacancy when the property is not stabilized yet?

Assuming a multifamily property has 200 units and is currently 60% occupied. Projected net absorbtion is 5 units per month. General Vacancy is projected to be 5%. Would you factor in general vacancy before the property stabilizes?

 

The way I've seen it done is to apply the greater of the absorption vacancy or the stabilized vacancy. But you don't add the 5% on top of the vacancy during absorption. So if you're at 100/200 absorbed then it's 50%. If you're at 195/200 then it's 5%

Maybe you'd still want to apply a credit loss factor during the absorption period however...not sure.

 

Agreed - only thing I'd add is that once the asset is stabilized if your firm models annual turnover instead of just building in enough vacancy to account for it, the GVac should be in addition to the stabilized absorption/turnover.

Also if it's a value-add property and you're renovating the vacant units, general vacancy should be included during the renovation period since that vacancy isn't actively being leased up.

 

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