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Prediction of Stock: T
This one was a bit tricky. I think I really went overboard with the amount of research I did, to the point I started to do technical analysis, which I personally try to avoid since it only tells me about the past. But I do think it does have a certain value as temp gauge. Intro: I have been reading...
Prediction of Stock: BP
Okay, so here is the third stock prediction. I'm pretty sure I will wrong on this. So please, please, go at this full force since I wanna see where I went wrong. As usually, first the intro & rules. I added another rule, in that I must state a percentage of the prediction happening. This is more for...
Prediction of Stock: Kellogg Company
Hello, so all my exams and labs are done, now I have time to return to forecasting about stocks. Here is my second prediction. Intro: I have been reading some books about forecasting, most notably Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, and Misbehaving. Those books gave me an idea, find...
"The market in turmoil"
Well someone should say something... market not doing so well lately. Is it much ado about nothing (e.g. just a short term correction / false alarm) or is this the start of something big? Questions: a) What are the driving factors of this? China? Low interest rates? Fear? b) What's the bottom? When...
Want to be a banker, please help
hey wso , I want to be a banker or some kind of businessman or investor or trader. I think I finally found my lifelong passion in business and I've been interested in business and economics since I was like 13. I've followed a little bit the stocks and the markets and business atmosphere since like...
Aspiring billionaire
Hey wso didn't know what forum to post this In but stocks and markets seems the most closely related and appropriate, basically I really want to be a billionaire, I want to make and be worth a billion dollars or two within my lifetime preferably sometime soon like say 10 years. I've been interested...
Currencies, Gold, Stocks - FUND - HELP!
"Hello everyone! As a part of my Master Thesis research, I am looking for investments funds which are investing in gold, currencies and stocks. The fact is that I can't find a website which can provide me thess criterias of research... I've already tried FundInfo but this website is too general.......
Obvious Investment Opportunities Like Thrift/Community Banks?
Hi everyone, Since working for this small-cap equity research shop , I've been fascinated with thrift/community banks, particularly ones that have gone through conversions. The value proposition behind them seems so obvious (many trade below tangible BV) and they're often underfollowed. Does anyone...
High Priced Stocks
For much of the market's history there was a stigma attached with buying an odd lot, that is less than 100 shares of a given stock. In some markets like Japan investors still cannot trade in anything smaller than a round lot. Round lot limitations create high hurdles for investors. If an investor is...
buying illiquid issues
Hi guys, got a question. I am looking to buy something that is illiquid, have asked around a few brokers told me they only deal with institutions. The purchase size is small relative to available float but modest. 100k-200k. So here's my question. How do I get this done? Without having to register...
Investing consistency
I enjoy running, maybe something inside me is mis-wired, but I truly enjoy running outside, even in the cold. I'm competitive and enjoy pushing myself and will occasionally entering a race. It's fun to compete in a race and try to set a personal best. I've had races where my times were abnormally...
An ERP Retrospective: Looking back (2014) and Looking forward (2015)
Mod Note: This was originally posted on 1/2/15 on his blog "Musings on Markets" At the beginning of 2014, the expectation was that government bond rates that had been kept low, at least according to the market mythology, by central banks and quantitative easing, would rise and that this would put...
So...how do I read this 1500 page report?
Ok guys so I'm attempting my first investment and so far I came across this spin-off by BHP. I read Joel's book on special sits and it all sounded too persuasive so I decided to give it a go. Now...here's the problem. BHP submited a 1500 page IM describing their spin-off. I just don't really know...
Student Inestor
Hi (New to this forum please forgive any mistakes I make) So a few friends and I enlisted in the ifs student investor challenge through school, where you're given a 100k portfolio to make as much return as possible in 3 months. We made 10% which we thought was pretty good (considering 8% a year is...
Stock Market Question
Hey all, Guess this is my first post, but I've been cruising on here a while... Question: Been in the market a few years but I'm looking for something very specific. I'd like some sort of site, program, extension, etc... that shows me a bucket of stocks in a grid formation with stocks that are up in...
Value high growth negative earnings
How can I value a company that is experiencing 50% revenue growth but high operating expense? In the financials, they mentioned that that they expect to see this for the next several years. How does one project the financial statements and value this? Also another thing is that their revenue has 50%...
Diversification..again..
I often get asked the question "what are your thoughts on diversification?" Someone asked me recently and I thought that newer readers might appreciate my thoughts on it as well. I wrote about this a year and a half ago , the post generated some lively comments, and I expect this one will as well....
Looking back at 2013, how did my 13 picks do?
Last year about this time I suggested 13 stocks for 2013 . The stocks I picked were a subset of my overall portfolio, stocks that I felt at the time were still attractively priced. The stocks typified the types of companies I like to invest in, somewhat dull, but often attractive on an asset basis....
Questions From An Aspiring Prop Trader
Hey guys, Recently I've realized that I seem to have an affinity for trading stocks. I've been recording buy/sell prices for the past 3 months now with good results. Unfortunately, recording is all I can do as I do not have a substantial amount of money to speculate.
Can I make money by recommending stocks
Hi, I want to start charging people for stocks I believe have potential and that can make them a profit. I was just wondering where do I start. Im asking for peoples opinions who have done this before. Thanks in advance for any helpful comments.
Why Are You Investing?
This is a philosophical post, not for myself, but for you. This question was inspired by something I read on a blog where the author stated they hoped to get rich through investing. This quip isn't an isolated case, I've heard this from others as well, they invest to get rich, that's their goal. If...
Why doesn't Samsung have an NYSE-listed ADR? If they did, would you own it?
I've been thinking about this ever since I started following the stock market back in the day, and noticed that Samsung is a behemoth of a company, a large portion of South Korea's economy, and produces the top selling smartphones, tvs, computers, tablets, washers, dryers, refrigerators, and so on....
New Google-backed / Andreessen Horowitz Startup to offer no-commission equity trading
Looks like a pretty big twist in the retail trading space specifically. From what I understand they'll be making money from low overhead, collecting fees from exchanges for the volume, and presumably selling some of the flow data to clients willing to pay for it. Also has solid tech backing,...
Apr 2, 2013 - Market Commentary by: James Investment Research
Stock Market Analysis, week of 3/2513 - 3/29/13 Conclusions: Stocks moved ahead last week, with 1,883 advancing and 1254 declining. More than 600 stocks set new highs against fewer than 55 new lows. Generally speaking, volume increased on most advancing days. Commodity indexes and especially...
Market Commentary by: James Investment Research
Stock Market Analysis from the week of 3/17/12 to 3/23/12 Conclusions: The markets were down on the week as the S&P 500 index fell 0.24% and small cap stocks declined 0.63%. Commodity based sectors fell the most as both the basic materials and energy sectors were down 1.9%. Defensive sectors such as...
Marty Lipton: Shareholder Champion, Stakeholder Protector or Management Tool?
I do not personally know Marty Lipton, nor have I met him. Based on what I have read about him and by him (he is a prolific writer), he strikes me as an extremely competent lawyer and he is certainly a good friend and champion of New York University (the institution that I teach at), chairing the...
Market Commentary by James Investment Research
This is syndication from jir-inc.com Stock Market Analysis Conclusions: The market hit a headwind last week as the S&P 500 index had its first weekly loss in 2013. The index fell 0.22%. The smaller stocks in the Russell 2000 index fared worse, slipping 0.74%. The basic materials and consumer...
Developing basic trading knowledge/skills (I'm a complete novice)
I'm a 26 yr-old professional, doing corporate strategy for a F500. I'm a very smart guy in most respects, but know pretty much nothing about trading , and don't follow the markets consistently, thus I've never invested my money in anything but my company's IRA plan (so mostly a generic 401K plan,...
What are the best stocks of all time?
From Quora, the OP asked the following question: What are the best stocks of all time? Some of the top answers were: MSFT and AAPL. MSFT grew 50,000% during the 1990s. Although Apple has substantially grown in the past 7 years, it is yet to catch up with Microsoft when you take the returns from...
Investment Mix
There are mixed reviews on this so I’m curious as to the opinions on this forum for ideal asset mix to achieve the best possible long term rate of return. As an example, let’s take an investor who is 30 years old, does not plan to retire for at least 25 more years, and is willing to take a...
Reverse mergers on European exchanges
Is there a list/database of all reverse listings, by which I explicitly mean reverse mergers with the goal of utilizing/obtaining the the status of being a public listed company, for a specific period in a specific European country? What sources should I consult? I googled for news articles on...
The "dividend tax" cliff approaches: Implications for stocks
A great deal has been written about the "fiscal cliff" that US taxpayers, investors and companies are faced with at the end of this year. Put simply, all of the tax changes made in 2002 and 2003 expire at that time, and the tax code will, in large part, revert to what it was prior to those changes....
Basic question I can't find a good answer to
What does a quoted stock price refer to? The bid, the ask, or the midpoint of the spread? If it is the price of the last trade that took place, which of these three does it best reflect? Thanks!
What are the factors that determine the short tern trend of a stock?
Hi, I'm new to stock trading and I have just started last month I am still improving on my analysis and I have a question on mind What could be factors that determine the ups and downs of the price of a stock for the short term say monthly? Thanks in advance
Interview with 'That Analyst that Joked about Starting His Own Fund'... and Actually Did It
The following is an interview with tt1254, an analyst who quit and started his own fund. He is also available to answer your questions, ask away. Are you a professional and want to do an interview? View our interview template here and then email me your responses to [email protected] Tell us...
Global Stock Markets: Long Hope, Short Reality
This is a big week for markets in terms of economic data. Yesterday we had a data dump of mammoth proportions and the data wasn’t very promising. A glance, we saw Australian, Korean, Spanish, Italian, French, German, UK, and Brazilian Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) all print sub-50...
Why I Am Long Baidu.
Last week after the Chinese central bank (PBOC) announced a 25 basis point rate cut, I gained enough conviction to take a long position on Baidu which has sold off greatly along with most other Chinese equity flotations this year. The PBOC move made me believe that Chinese policy makers may engineer...
WTF? Can someone explain?
I feel completely dumbfounded and want to know why. Apple has a record breaking quarter and their stock prices takes it up the ass. Now, after market closed today, Amazon reported their earnings and they MISSED every single mark set by analysts. Amazon 's EPS was .07 below analysts, and Amazon 's...
10 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds
We have been tracking the most popular stocks among hedge funds for more than a year now. Hedge funds are known to be short-term oriented but when we look at the most popular stocks among hedge funds we see that they are focused on the long-term more than expected. Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT)...
Question on taxing stock trading
I just received a notice from IRS saying I didn't get my taxes right for 2011. So, my question is, do they tax you on proceeds(how much money you receive when you sell the stocks), or on net profit? It seems that they want to tax me on proceeds, and this doesn't make sense to me, because this is not...
50 Most Held Stocks by Top HFs
Title is self-explanatory. Discuss if you'd like. 50 Stocks
America's Stock Market Thrives Under Democrats?
I found this to be pretty interesting. The general perception seems to be that Democrats are responsible for stifling government regulations, therefore the Republicans are the white knights of the street. This says otherwise. http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2012… Discuss.
How was NFLX loss of subscribers not priced into the stock already?
The stock had already fallen 60% since its peak of $300 this year and then it falls another 35% today. It was predicted that they would lose a ton of subscribers from the Quickster debacle and that was true; however, the huge decrease in initial price should have more than accounted for that. Right?...
busted tech IPO's... who will bounce back?
from Motley Fool 5 Busted Tech IPOs That Will Bounce Back There was a time not too long ago when it was actually a good thing to get in on technology IPOs ....Let me go over five busted IPOs -- tech companies that can now be had for less than their original IPO prices -- that I think have better...
10 Clean Energy Stocks for 2011: It's 2008 All Over Again
Few investors have good memories of 2008, but when it comes to the performance of my annual model portfolio of ten clean energy stocks, I'm finding the resemblance to 2008 remarkably striking. The good part of that memory is that my picks are once again out-performing my clean energy benchmark, the...
Microsoft Ups Its Dividend: Do You Buy It?
In a move that went largely unnoticed with all of the other market news going on, Microsoft hiked its dividend last week by 25% (from $.16 to $.20 per share) in an effort to boost its stock. If ever there was a major stock that fit Gordon Gekko's "dog with fleas" description, MSFT would be it. It's...
Buying the Pukes
There’s a trend these days in stocks selling off huge only to rebound in a matter of days if not minutes. It’s the old buy the dips. Better yet, it’s buy the pukes because once the stock throws up it starts to feel better very quickly. It’s as if all the bad stuff gets out of their system...
Are We in Deflationary Crash Mode?
I usually link to articles but today I am quoting a composite of a few comments I have read at various financial sites. This particular smorgasbord offers the notion that the USD is a smart play and that America is entering a deflationary spiral. Not so sure on deflation, though I have said before...
What play did you do this week?
Hey everyone, I was wondering what type of plays you guys had this week towards Bernanke's speech tomorrow. How are the traders playing it? Straddles?
Are you allowed to trade stocks after you've been an SA?
I just finished my SA stint at a BB . I know BBs have compliance rules about opening up these type of accounts (Scottrade, TD Ameritrade, etc..) I finished my internship, so am I allowed to open up one of these accounts? Is there a certain time period that I must wait until I am allowed to do so? I...
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