heard huge cuts (srs)

right after new years.  this is pro forma for CS and UBS people

some groups have a ridiculous number of analysts and associates.

 

I have no idea who is at risk. just heard from people that they were coming.  but then again, ive heard that since the summer and many times they never materialized

 
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UBS LevFin is actually busy af due to all the legacy / agented names that they inherited from the CS LevFin platform (apparently 10x the amount of agented names they've originally had). Those guys have had more lead-left exposure the last 5 months than they've had in the last 3 years pre-CS merger.

The M&A group is one of the groups thats way over-bloated right now. More than 100+ bankers in that group and I can assure you UBS does not have anywhere close to enough M&A dealflow to justify that size of a group. 

 

Yeah agree with this. Imo LevFin, Tech and HC are all relatively safe since they are growth initiatives.

The groups I would say that are most at risk are:
1. M&A (deal flow is very weak and a lot of coverage teams dont even use M&A and do everything internally, they took too many JR people from CS)
2. GIG (Group is massive beyond what makes sense even though its one of UBS’ better groups)
3. FIG (Similar but not to the same extent as GIG)

 

Think it varies, Tech/HC are mainly growth initiatives in the US, where they did the brunt of the senior hiring. LevFin is undoubtedly gonna be safe, they pretty much onboarded the entire loan book of CS to drive sponsor growth. FIG headcount reduction wouldn’t count on it too much, they had minimal hiring from CS, and it’s the largest revenue group of IB. M&A grew on the other hand enormously feels like they doubled almost in size.

 

issue with M&A is that there are too many juniors relative to the number of MDs in the group.

they need more MDs to sustain the population.

hope everything turns out ok for people there and there are not large cuts as feared

 

Pretty spot on - my 100+ were referring to M&A and GIG (though other groups are pretty big too). Think it will be spread across most levels wherever each group sees fat to guide towards the more pyramid like structure. If top heavy, more MDs; if ASO heavy, more from there. But will see cuts from every level (maybe not ANLs)

 

Speaking for Europe, RELL is gonna be fine.

Historically one of the leanest teams, and at least in London, CS RELL was poached a few months/ a year before the bank collapsed. Hence, no big influx to UBS from CS.

Dealflow was down bad this year but is expected to be much stronger going into 2024

 

Sounds like you know the REGL space in Europe. Where would you position UBS REGL amongst the other banks in Europe?

 

does anybody know what the severance packages look like for juniors

 

Think it’s 3 months + 1 month for every year you’ve been there.

Don’t know if there is any other lump sum on top of that

 

Crazy they can lay you off after you’ve literally worked the entire calendar year for which you should be entitled to a bonus even if small given assuming you’re a bottom performer. Wonder if you filed a lawsuit how they would react / if they would give in and give you your bonus plus severance

 

Not sure for grads, but the standard timing for redundancies at UBS in London is you get a zero in the Feb communication day and let go in  April.

 

UBS layoffs were pretty brutal but were seemingly only MD and ED cuts.

Assume there must be junior cuts coming soon because now the ratio of juniors to seniors is even more lopsided.

Anyone know when juniors will be cut? Before or after bonuses?

 

Anyone know if the new deferred analysts just starting will be immune from RIFs? Might just make sense to cut them now, and keep the experienced folks instead of training them

 

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