So what do you think about straddling oil. I figure if they tap the reserves then oil prices will go down.. and if they don't prices will go up. Its a win win. If oil goes down, I am buying as much as I can and holding onto it.. because you know long term this thing is going to soar.
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Read Oil 101
Volatility is already pretty high, that straddle is expensive. I'm actually short oil vol right now even though I agree the distribution has become bi-modal.
And Oil 101 is a great book, a must-read for anyone really into the space.
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