Who's your Super Bowl Pick?

Curious who everyone is picking to win the Super Bowl between the 49ers and Chiefs. I was rooting for the Lions and the Ravens, but I guess that you can't win them all lol.


My prediction: Chiefs win, 24-21.


Who do you think will win?

 
Most Helpful

I love being contrarian. And I acknowledge that a lot of times and end up taking the majority anyways. Majority probably says Chiefs.

But this is going to be a 49ers rout.

This is it for this team. Players know it too. The salary cap will not allow this roster to continue to be top-to-bottom stacked as it’s been the last five years. Maybe next year too, but when it’s time to pay Purdy, extend CMC, Deebo, Aiyuk, Warner, Ward; the list is too long.

So it’s Shanahan’s legacy on the line here. He is the type of coach with a “shelf life” in the sense he can rot a franchise from inside-out if you give him too long.

He’s made mistake after mistake in the big game. 28-3 and 2020. Not this year. He won’t allow it.

 

This one is hard to predict, and I don't say that lightly.  I almost always have an opinion on a football game.  I bet very actively throughout the season in both college & NFL.

This one is tough for me because the 49ers, especially on offense, are so shaky in the first half against good opponents.  The Ravens game & the last two playoff wins, they were absolute trash in the first half.  The Packers and Lions allowed them to recover because those teams were inexperienced and made mistakes.  KC won't allow them back in if they suck ass again in the first half.

I'll still pick the 49ers because I think two rounds of tough playoff games and two weeks of rest will have Purdy in a better frame of mind to show up from the first possession.  If he does that, they are the slightly more complete team and should win.

But if he comes out slow again, I'll be betting the house on KC.  There will be no miracle comeback.

 

I had a few big losses which were all the same situation: team is up by 10-14 points with 5-7 minutes left and with the ball too, and *should* be able to close out the game if the coach isn’t a moron who doesn’t know how clocks work.  Market is offering like -1200 in that situation and it’s a good way to rack up enough small wins to offset the rare instance when it all goes to shit.

And I still managed to do that (positive $~20k for the season, which I won’t cry about).  

But that could’ve been $50k if a few coaches didn’t really shit the bed. Best example is Dan Campbell just last week . . could’ve just kicked a field goal to go up 3 scores with 22 mins left.  Instead he found a way to screw it up. Cost me bigly.  Granted that’s not the 5-7 minute situation I described earlier, but it’s a 3 score lead held by a playoff team so it’s similar.

 

It's hard to bet against Patrick Mahomes... but this KC offense is simply not as good as last year. Don't get me wrong - Mahomes is him (the best active QB in the NFL right now imo) and their offense overall is still good, but they are not scary good this year.

X factor is Brock Purdy who is a gunslinger not afraid to take risks (calculated risks, mind you, but still risks), and he has led two gritty, come-from-behind wins in a row, it feels like he is peaking at just the right moment.

Honestly, cliché as it sounds, it's probably going to come down to defense. If the 49ers D can play at their absolute best (e.g. how they played in Week 5 vs. Dallas or Week 9 vs Jacksonville), I think it's the 49ers. If the defense looks more similar to how they played in the first half vs. the Lions during NFC Championship, it's going to be GG and ring number 3 for Mahomes

 
Deo et Patriae

It's hard to bet against Patrick Mahomes... but this KC offense is simply not as good as last year. Don't get me wrong - Mahomes is him (the best active QB in the NFL right now imo) and their offense overall is still good, but they are not scary good this year.

X factor is Brock Purdy who is a gunslinger not afraid to take risks (calculated risks, mind you, but still risks), and he has led two gritty, come-from-behind wins in a row, it feels like he is peaking at just the right moment.

Honestly, cliché as it sounds, it's probably going to come down to defense. If the 49ers D can play at their absolute best (e.g. how they played in Week 5 vs. Dallas or Week 9 vs Jacksonville), I think it's the 49ers. If the defense looks more similar to how they played in the first half vs. the Lions during NFC Championship, it's going to be GG and ring number 3 for Mahomes

Their offense is not as good this year but somehow they managed to score on almost every drive against the Bills

 

It should be a great game.  On paper, SF is a better team but KC has this guy Mahomes who is a pretty good QB. May be that is an understatement, haha, in that at his age, he is the best QB in the history of the NFL and I do not think there is a close second ( at his age).   My guess would be a close game with the Chiefs winning.  

 

goldmanstax

Mahomes has definitely shown that he has the "it" factor.

This is the game I wanted to see - so many star players.  McCaffrey is a beast.  He has about 2000 yards between rushing and receiving this year in the regular season.

 

Chiefs win a very close game for me

Mahomes + Kelce x factor > CMC x factor

Purdy is a great QB (he's had an excellent season bar the ravens game) but when Mahomes decides to turn up, no one in the league is capable of stopping him

 

NFL talent gap is usually close enough where 4-5 plays can and will determine a game, even on double digit difference outcomes. Certain plays, notably defensive PI and offensive holding, can be called on literally every single play so it's at the digression of the referee.

The last two Super Bowls had critical plays late in the 4th quarter where phantom holding calls were mysteriously called , that took the Rams and Chiefs from losing/tied to basically guaranteeing their wins. The NFL was strongly incentivized for both these outcomes:

- Rams are a new market team in Los Angeles, a very valuable city, playing SB in their new stadium as well. A Super Bowl win can go a long way to building that brand

- Chiefs would continue to build that 'dynasty' which is also valuable to the league as it moved away from Tom Brady era.

Despite the Chiefs clear struggles this year, the moment Taylor Swift started dating Kelce it was a forgone conclusion they would make, and win, the Super Bowl. Alas, surprise surprise - despite statistics saying otherwise, here we are. 

 

A dolorum voluptas officiis similique. Illo eligendi eaque quos laboriosam rem quas facere. Minus tenetur aperiam qui in. Aut ea quos aut fugit quibusdam error. Voluptatem blanditiis sint est quod quia magnam. Perspiciatis similique voluptas iste sed atque sed.

Enim minima dolores ad et autem. Illum placeat temporibus et. Modi eum quidem ea consequuntur quia et. Quia earum delectus explicabo ipsam. Velit repudiandae ipsum quos ex eos.

 

Quos non consequuntur modi est. Qui nulla est aut tenetur qui nobis et et.

Ex quo error qui explicabo dolore odio. Quis quia recusandae sit debitis a soluta qui aut. Sit qui consectetur itaque neque pariatur magnam qui. Nam et est recusandae ratione eum quia.

Dignissimos omnis doloribus nostrum eos vel. Ratione dolorem unde delectus repellendus vero dolorum.

Suscipit veritatis modi labore animi est. Possimus aut qui et possimus nam molestias error.

Career Advancement Opportunities

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Jefferies & Company 02 99.4%
  • Goldman Sachs 19 98.8%
  • Harris Williams & Co. New 98.3%
  • Lazard Freres 02 97.7%
  • JPMorgan Chase 03 97.1%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Harris Williams & Co. 18 99.4%
  • JPMorgan Chase 10 98.8%
  • Lazard Freres 05 98.3%
  • Morgan Stanley 07 97.7%
  • William Blair 03 97.1%

Professional Growth Opportunities

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Lazard Freres 01 99.4%
  • Jefferies & Company 02 98.8%
  • Goldman Sachs 17 98.3%
  • Moelis & Company 07 97.7%
  • JPMorgan Chase 05 97.1%

Total Avg Compensation

April 2024 Investment Banking

  • Director/MD (5) $648
  • Vice President (19) $385
  • Associates (87) $260
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (14) $181
  • Intern/Summer Associate (33) $170
  • 2nd Year Analyst (66) $168
  • 1st Year Analyst (205) $159
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (146) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
3
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
99.0
4
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
5
kanon's picture
kanon
98.9
6
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
7
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
8
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
9
DrApeman's picture
DrApeman
98.8
10
Jamoldo's picture
Jamoldo
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”