Distressed Debt/NPL Case Studies or Deal Stories

Working on an assignment for class. Does anyone know of any interesting Distressed Debt/NPL case studies, deals, or anecdotes in the real estate space?

Please share. I've done some googling but figured I might be missing something.

 

You could look at a time seried of CMBS filings for troubled loans in oil and gas producibg areas of the US. Kroll did a report on affected CMBS issues, you could pick a loan and track it from securitization to resolution.

 
Best Response

I came across this website and podcast, scrappy guy running it but has some good insight/interviews to industry, google capital markets today.

Models at the firm I used to work at were super simple NPVs based on three different scenarios; bankruptcy, foreclosure and workout. Valuations would feed into the foreclosure scenario (probably the most important part). Lot of arbitrage in the field and you can learn a lot but NPLs get super gritty. Ive heard there are some firms that also dont dive into it per asset level, probably a good interview question to ask if they look at thinks at the asset or portfolio level (or maybe you can tell by job description). Big players in the space are Fortress, Starwood, LNR, CW on buy side, advisory is Mission Capital Advisors, HFF, CBRE (great loan sales group ), and every once in a while Debtx had some cool stuff. Also depending on deal size I would sway away from the Asset Managment side.

 

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