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Look at EPS/EBITDA/FCF, depending on the company (figure out what convention is for that industry). I'd look at absolute and relative returns vs. history for the specific name + a comp. set and lay out a range of outcomes and potential returns. Something like:

I think the company's will guide to $10.00 in EPS in 2021, 10% ahead of what the Street expects currently (and be able to lay out your rationale for why your view of earnings differs from the Street), which should help the company's earnings multiple re-rate from 8x -> 10x, so with 10% upside to forward earnings and a 2x multiple uplift (+25% in this case), I would project a target price of $10 x 10x = $100, 39% above the current price of $72. Then maybe I might probability-weight that upside outcome (25% chance), a base case of $9.50 in earnings x 9x multiple ($85.50 - 50% chance), and a downside case of $8.50 x 7x multiple ($59.5 - 25% chance) to get a probability-weighted target price of ~$83, representing ~15% upside vs. the current stock price.

 

FWIW, had a few friends go thru the process for point and they had an in person three-statement / quick&dirty M&A model followed by a brief pitch. Had about an hour or so for the modeling part. Depends on the pod you're testing for so it's totally subjective but just one angle 

 

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