Wage Drift

The difference between the agreed-upon wage rates and the earnings given to the employees.

Author: Hassan Saab
Hassan Saab
Hassan Saab
Investment Banking | Corporate Finance

Prior to becoming a Founder for Curiocity, Hassan worked for Houlihan Lokey as an Investment Banking Analyst focusing on sellside and buyside M&A, restructurings, financings and strategic advisory engagements across industry groups.

Hassan holds a BS from the University of Pennsylvania in Economics.

Reviewed By: Manu Lakshmanan
Manu Lakshmanan
Manu Lakshmanan
Management Consulting | Strategy & Operations

Prior to accepting a position as the Director of Operations Strategy at DJO Global, Manu was a management consultant with McKinsey & Company in Houston. He served clients, including presenting directly to C-level executives, in digital, strategy, M&A, and operations projects.

Manu holds a PHD in Biomedical Engineering from Duke University and a BA in Physics from Cornell University.

Last Updated:January 29, 2024

What is Wage Drift?

The discrepancy or variation between the pay paid to a worker and the wage that was locally agreed is known as wage drift. In addition, it may be described as the discrepancy between the agreed-upon wage rates and the earnings given to the employees.

Due to business bonuses and overtime pay, the total compensation/actual earnings are typically more than what was negotiated. Numerous factors, including employer bonuses and overtime compensation, might be accused of the surge.

A worker's income may rise as a byproduct of excess or other conditions. For example, the onset of wage drift may be brought on by an increase in the salary's final payment. 

When labor is underused but the payor rate remains the same, wage drift can also happen. This can occur when the pay does not change, but the output declines. As a result, the company's cost per unit increases.

Example

It is typical at a company's overseas sites. For instance, workers with a contract that requires them to work five days per week or one week 40 hours will be recompensed more for each hour they put in. 

Companies set a compensation rate somewhat more than what employees earn in their standard salary package if they have to contact their employees on the sixth day of the week.

How does Wage Drift affect workers?

The gap between the rates agreed upon by a corporation and the wages paid to a worker after a period is known as wage drift. This is because the business occasionally requires workers to put in extra hours of labor to keep up with demand because of irregular supply. 

In that situation, a business must pay employees for overtime hours. Compared to the salary agreed upon by the employer at the beginning of the contract, overtime would result in a more significant wage being paid to an employee. 

This is so that the overtime component would now be included in the wage.

Employees are given a lump payment in addition to their regular pay if they work the extra day. It might occasionally account for a portion of the company's profitability. 

When the economy or the firm is experiencing rapid growth, WD rises; conversely, when the pace of growth slows, or the economy is experiencing a recession, it falls.

Example Of Wage Rift

Let us imagine that you run a shopping mall. Ram, one of your packages, was employed to work 40 hours per week. Ram assembles your goods. 

The five-day performance of Ram is scheduled at the cost of Rs. 100 per hour. So, assuming no WD, you would be paying Kyle Rs. 4000 a week.

Suppose you have a substantial urgent order that must be finished on a day when Ram generally takes the day off. In addition, Ram is forced to fill in for a few of your other workers who typically work that day since they are absent due to illness.

Ram completes this order throughout an entire eight-hour shift, making him eligible for eight hours of overtime:

Rs. 100(Ram's wage) x 1.5 (Overtime calculation) = Rs. 150 (Ram’s overtime wage rate)

Rs.150 x 8 (Number of overtime hours) = Rs. 1200 (Ram’s overtime compensation)

Rs. (4000 + 1200) (Ram’s normal wage) = Rs. 5200

In this example, your employee Ram's wage is Rs. 1200.

What were the Early Mentions of Wage Drift?

Henry Phelps-Brown published one of the first articles regarding pay drift (1962). Phelps-Brown describes WD as an increase in the adequate wage per worker caused by factors other than the normal negotiating process.

According to the theoretical justifications offered by Phelps-Brown (1962), some instances of pay drift might include a rise in the quantity of overtime produced by the local business since it is challenging to reach central agreements. 

It might also be done by relaxing the restrictions on the pay component dependent on productivity, which would result in more significant salaries for the workers, or by the employer just paying the workers more than the agreed-upon level.

The drift can occur in two different ways, according to Henry Phelps-Brown (1962). In one case, wages rise locally despite being negotiated at the national level because they are driven by demand. 

The alternative scenario that Phelps-Brown presents is one in which the drift and the negotiated salary level complement one another and rely on how much each component contributes to the overall goal of obtaining a suitable wage level. 

These two scenarios vary in that the latter depends on the additive components of the drift and the negotiated salary increases, whereas the former depends entirely on demand.

Why does Wage Drift occur?

Unpredictable or uneven demand is typically the root cause of WD; as a result, businesses are forced to require overtime labor from their staff. The following factors are the main keys to where a WD can occur.

Overtime Job

When a business requests extra work from its employees to accommodate a high demand or other needs, this is known as overtime.

In exchange for the number of overtime hours supplied, the employer must pay its employees a sum over their base compensation. Therefore, only when the contracted wage does not contain the overtime component is overtime paid. 

Employees who put in extra time are generally compensated at 1.5 times their standard rate.

Compensation Revenues

Bonuses are sums of money paid on top of wages. The bonus sum can be predetermined or calculated hourly. 

Bonuses may be given to the individual employee who excels at their job or to all employees when a corporation meets its objectives on schedule or earlier.

Deficiency In The crew

WD can also occur when the firm requires its present employees to work longer shifts but cannot do so because of a labor shortage. 

Employers may provide this employee an additional salary as they juggle the extra duties.

Drawbacks of Wage Rift

It results from unanticipated factors that might make it difficult for businesses to forecast exact earnings throughout pay periods. A worker who experiences pay drift receives a higher wage rate than the national wage rate used to determine their compensation or wage. 

Budgeting may be challenging due to WD. However, from the perspective of a firm, it could not be advantageous. It makes it challenging for the business's human resources division to forecast and establish pay accurately. 

Non-controllable elements like a rapid change in market trends that increases demand for goods are examples of causes that typically lead to problems.

Rising inflation may be caused by wage drift, mainly if corresponding increases in worker productivity do not accompany gains in pay.

It may be a fantastic instrument for increasing both firm-level performance and worker-level earnings when appropriately used. In modern times, these are the fundamentals of compensating or WD.

This inflationary process has included wage rises beyond the rate of product development. However, the effect of wage rises on expenses and the ability of businesses to compete internationally has recently drawn much attention. 

Although this approach to the problem is conceptually flawed, it might be defended because idealistic attempts to identify and quantify the numerous causes of inflation are impractical due to flaws in the statistical data. 

In this area, Sweden has only discovered that changes in the pay trend closely mirror changes in the business cycle and the labor market state.

How Can We Resist Wage Rift?

The variable of central agreements differs in signs and levels depending on the estimation. The theory provided by both Phelps Brown (1962) and Calmfors (2019) predicts a relationship that increases in central agreements should result in lowered WD.

Drift is a legal idea implemented or abandoned by the employer, whether it is existent or not. It makes it reasonable for ideas like compensating drift to exist and can cause inflation.

When evaluating the potential effects on policy, the link between central agreement and WD is an intriguing subject. 

The association between the amount of central agreement and a pay drift does not appear to exist, which is meaningful information for both business groups and trade unions. 

Lowering the amount of central agreement in order 33 to offer companies more choice while still achieving pay rises through wage drift might have unintended consequences.

It would be interesting to add this kind of central agreement for various industries to examine their influence on it and get more accurate results. In addition, it would be advantageous for future WD studies to use sector-specific data for the macroeconomic variables. 

One might utilize industry-specific data, such as labor scarcity, as a substitute for unemployment statistics. Individual data on the labor shortage would be fascinating to examine how the connection would alter because it would further illuminate the distinctions within industries.

Wage Rift: Key Facts

It often rises when the GDP (gross domestic product) proliferates and falls when growth is slower or the economy is contracting. GDP is the total market value of all the goods and services produced in an economy during a fiscal year.

Since the primary causes of WD are either the worker's prolonged hours of work (extra overtime pay) or the general economic climate, which results in a scarcity of available workers, an employee will be paid more than the average hourly salary. 

For instance, employee overtime hours, profit share payments, and other financial perks decrease significantly during a recession. Correctly anticipating and fixing pay is a significant challenge for human resource professionals. 

Most variables that influence salaries to "drift" are outside the established process of negotiating workers' compensation. 

Only some can accurately estimate how much overtime will be needed at any particular week, month, or instant when unions, employees, and employers negotiate compensation rates.

This is especially concerning when wage growth outpaces an increase in worker productivity. So, for example, let us say wages for workers exceed what was projected during contract discussions, but overall production stays the same. 

In that situation, more money will be chasing the same amount of goods, raising prices all around. Unfortunately, although many do, the compensation system for many other jobs and professions does not consider it. 

In other circumstances, such compensation increases do not suit the model of operations or the reasons for which they were intended. Therefore this is frequently done on purpose. Similar to how many people are now working to confront such drift potential, this is by design.

Unemployment is a critical factor in determining it, and when unemployment rises, less labor is available, reducing pay drift. Additionally, a link between inflation and WD has been shown. 

The correlation shows that a rise in inflation appears to reduce wage drift. Therefore, salary rises gained outside central agreements are facilitated by a general increase in the price level in an economy.

Conclusion

Employees who have not achieved salary increases over the amount set by their central agreements are said to have a minimum wage drift. Therefore, understanding the fundamental function of collective agreements is crucial since they significantly impact the workers' pay levels.

Agreements are reviewed and renegotiated between businesses and unions every few years. As a result, additional central agreements in various labor market segments have considerably impacted WD, albeit probably quite differently. 

Government, local government, and both blue- and white-collar workers in the business sector comprise the sectors we shall analyze. 

Since there have been no salary rises outside the agreements, a low wage drift means that the central wage agreements have had a significant influence and that firms have seldom departed from them. 

Since figureless agreements do not limit salary increases, a rise in their number should also increase WD.

This begs the issue of what additional elements may be involved in the pay drift; perhaps macroeconomic factors, rather than institutional ones like the many collective agreements between various industries, cause the wage drift.

From a policy standpoint, it is also critical to comprehend the dynamics of the pay-setting process in general and wage drift in particular since it provides insight into the results of altering various wage-setting process elements. 

In the fall of 2020, several significant accords about the industrial sector and white-collar workers ended. However, negotiations and the establishment of new central agreements to govern the labor market have developed public involvement in the wage-setting process. 

The outdated approach concerning the ignored macroeconomic changes and their implications was highlighted by Calmfors (2017).

Researched & authored by Antra Sharma | LinkedIn

Reviewed by Rohan Joseph Sajan | LinkedIn

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