The Smart Money on Wall Street's Betting on Housing

After reading the article, I honestly didn't find this too shocking. Over the past few months, numerous economic indicators, including some surprises like manufacturing and exports, have shown that the economy's improving (albeit slowly), so it was only a matter of time that housing would slowly catch up. It's pretty amazing which firms are getting in on the action.



Zuckerman cited SAC Capital, Blackstone and Caxton Associates as among the funds making big bets on homebuilders, like Beazer Homes (BZH) and Pulte (PHM). Generally speaking, homebuilder stocks have been on a tear, with the S&P Homebuilders Index (XHB) up nearly 70% since its October low while the iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction ETF (ITB) is up more than 75%.

The bullish cash for housing rests largely on record levels of affordability, thanks to a combination of low rates and a steep decline in prices since the highs of 2006. In addition, bulls are betting on pent-up demand for housing from new families and young adults.

Although the article does offer reasons why it's a bad idea, What do you guys think? Is housing a sucker's bet?

Original Link

A great WSO thread discussing this further

 

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