Exit opps for top vs middle vs bad groups at BBs

What is the mix of exit opps in a top group's analyst class (GS TMT, MS M&A, etc) vs average groups vs less strong groups (UBS FIG or something)? Assume a bulge bracket firm.

My guess is that most of MS M&A goes to megafunds if they choose or maybe HF or MM PE if they prefer that. I'm sure that every single person will get an interview at megafunds if they want. However, I'm sure that little more than half of the class actually gets an offer from the top places like BX, KKR, etc., although the percentage is probably among the highest on the street. I'm sure there are at least one or two people per class that screw up their buyside interviews and end up somewhere less desirable.

Likewise, at a less desirable group (like FIG or Real Estate), while many people might struggle to get the offers that they want, I'm sure that there are still a few that get sick jobs at megafunds or upper-MM PE funds, either through nepotism connections or through hardcore networking.

Is what I said above accurate? What is the placement (both the most and least successful analysts) for top groups vs average vs bad groups?

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