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Wall Street Oasis » Blogs » Edmundo Braverman's blog
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Did Wall Street Cost the Dems the Election?
 

Edmundo Braverman's picture
Edmundo Braverman
      ST
 
 
(Human, 14,322
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 6:05am
Fatcat-Banker--54369.jpg

I find it odd, but it seems to me that a great deal of President Obama's biggest critics come from his own side of the aisle. Bill Maher springs to mind right off the bat (full disclosure: I'm a big Bill Maher fan - much to my wife's chagrin), but there are many others like him on the Left who think Obama and the Dems have done a lousy job with the opportunity they've had since his 2008 victory.

Now that we're at the post-mortem stage of last Tuesday's Republican rout, one liberal professor from UT Austin (jeffrey chiang's alma mater!) suggests that Obama's cozy ties with Wall Street were at fault and insists, "Obama must break his devil's pact with the banks in order to succeed." The good professor isn't wrong.

While I consider the bulk of Galbraith's piece to be leftist hand-wringing over the abject rejection of the Democratic Party by the voters last week, he makes some good points. One thing he and I agree on is that Obama's failure to rein in the banks when they were against the ropes was a critical error that cost our economy any real hope of a fast recovery and probably cost Obama re-election.

But one cannot defend the actions of Team Obama on taking office. Law, policy and politics all pointed in one direction: turn the systemically dangerous banks over to Sheila Bair and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Insure the depositors, replace the management, fire the lobbyists, audit the books, prosecute the frauds, and restructure and downsize the institutions. The financial system would have been cleaned up. And the big bankers would have been beaten as a political force.

I realize this is a banking forum and a lot of you probably think that the way the banks were dealt with was just hunky-dory. After all, we got back to huge bonuses just a year later, right? But over the long term - a concept Wall Street is incredibly myopic about - these actions have brought about at least a generation of hatred and mistrust of Wall Street that wasn't previously there among the American population.

Americans used to look at Wall Street and think about the possibilities: starting a business, growing funds for retirement, funding innovation, etc... Now people look at Wall Street and feel like they need protection from it. While Jimmy Cayne and Dick Fuld lost their jobs when their firms went under (and walked with hundreds of millions), and John Thain and Ken Lewis were shown the door, not a single one of the principal architects of the crisis has fallen on his sword. Not a single one has even apologized.

Obama's association with the big banks and their lobbyists (Goldman Sachs was his single largest campaign donor) has come back to haunt him and his party, because the American people are at least smart enough to see that the banks got what they paid for. It'll be interesting to see if this new class of GOP victors, who largely disavowed any association with the big banks, are willing to put their money where their mouths are.

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Tags:
  • politics
  • Obama
  • streets
  • United States
  • wall street
  • John Thain
  • illinois
  • cost
  • barack obama
  • costing
  • democrat
  • election
  • Banking

Comments

In The Flesh's picture

Voters are angry because they

In The Flesh
      HF
 
 
(Neanderthal, 2,792
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 8:25am

Voters are angry because they feel Obama is concerned with X, Y, and Z while they're concerned with A, B, and C. They just feel as if he doesn't care. And that extends to the Wall Street situation as well as everything from the 9/11 mosque controversy to the BP oil spill to the show trial of KSM here in New York. The Dems are wondering why they got wrecked? Because they had their chance and they blew it.

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Seigniorage's picture

I agree with left-wing anger

Seigniorage
      O
 
(Orangutan, 300
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 9:07am

I agree with left-wing anger with obama. It's huge and growing. Some of the smarter left-wingers are even (occasionally) suspicious that he was ever even against Wall street favors and entitlement. In theory a guy would have to be extremely pro-WS to appoint Geithner and Summers, secretly lobbying against HR 4142 ("too big to fail bill") and move Warren to a bullshit position when she tries to make real change. Looking past the anti-WS rhetoric in Obama speeches, there are numerous little pro-WS actions that speak for themselves. One thing is for sure though, Wall Street no longer supports Obama whether he helped or not.

He has no clear message or results. Now both the left and the right are downright suspicious of him for often conflicting reasons.

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Edmundo Braverman's picture

Seigniorage, I can't tell if

Edmundo Braverman
      ST
 
 
(Human, 14,322
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 9:37am

Seigniorage,

I can't tell if you're being intentionally ironic or not, but Barack Obama has never done a single thing that ran counter to Wall Street's interests. Shitcanning Austan Goolsbee as soon as he was elected (he's back now, thankfully) in favor of Wall Street shills, relegating Liz Warren to what amounts to an advisory role in the consumer protection agency, and watering down the financial reform bill to the point where it institutionalized "Too Big To Fail" - I'm not sure the Street would have been more satisfied if Dick Fuld were President.

Do you really think there is anyone on the Left (or the Right, for that matter) who still thinks that he was ever against Wall Street? And the notion that the Street no longer supports him is par for the course. That's kinda the point of prostitution. They do what you pay them for and then they leave.

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Midas Mulligan Magoo's picture

What is everybody so

Midas Mulligan Magoo
     
 
(Senior Neanderthal, 5,167
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 9:57am

What is everybody so surprised about?

Obama's entire White House is comprised of Clinton's cronies.

The Clinton administration bowed down to Wall Street more than any in the last 80+ years.

Funny how all he did was say the word "change" and people bought it contrary to clear cut evidence.

Where I unload on Twits and take verbal S***s

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Cash4Gold's picture

In regards to the article's

Cash4Gold
      ST
 
 
(Gorilla, 656
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 10:22am

In regards to the article's author, a broken clock is right twice a day. I'm glad you addressed Galbraith as a liberal professor, because the last thing that guy is, is an economist.

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GoodBread's picture

I couldn't agree more

GoodBread
      AM
 
 
(Neanderthal, 3,602
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 10:52am

I couldn't agree more Edmundo. Obama's rhetoric which constantly panders to populist pressures just makes it worse.

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blastoise's picture

GoodBread wrote: I couldn't

blastoise
      O
 
(Senior Neanderthal, 4,380
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 10:56am
GoodBread:

I couldn't agree more Edmundo. Obama's rhetoric which constantly panders to populist pressures just makes it worse.

agree presidents should do what ever the fuck they want, fuck the people who elected them and pay their checks

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TNA's picture

Well, the people elected a

TNA
      O
 
 
(Human, 13,473
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 11:01am

Well, the people elected a representative, not someone who would follow their every whim. The people are mercurial and a good president listens to them, but doesn't follow every one of their changing desires.

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LIBOR's picture

"But one cannot defend the

LIBOR
      EN
 
(Neanderthal, 2,156
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 11:05am

"But one cannot defend the actions of Team Obama on taking office. Law, policy and politics all pointed in one direction: turn the systemically dangerous banks over to Sheila Bair and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Insure the depositors, replace the management, fire the lobbyists, audit the books, prosecute the frauds, and restructure and downsize the institutions. The financial system would have been cleaned up. And the big bankers would have been beaten as a political force."

This is really a great sentiment. Part of the reason I remain so bearish is that I really think that the system does need to collapse in order for us to move on from this whole episode. It kind of happened in 2008, but as this quote mentioned, we didn't go in for the kill. The same people (bar a few congressman voted out last week and the CEO's mentioned above) still run the system. The Fed is run by the same people. The banks are run by the same people. The banks still have the bad loans on the books, just marked-to-fantasy.

I usually enjoy Dennis Gartman's market commentary but I hate when he complains about how un-American it is to walk away from a mortgage. I don't blame anyone that does this. The banking system is only different in that it is propped up (even more) by the government than it was before (thank you Fannie and Freddie!).

The whole decade is an interesting study in the failures of hedonism, both on the part of the bankers and the population as a whole. Short term pleasure was our first concern. The big house, the fancy cars, the front office, new handbags, ipods and flatscreens, an ecstacy induced orgy of cheap credit and consumer goods.

The system needs to crash because the lesson has not been learned. QE 2 won't work. 2011 looks butt ugly.

looking for that pick-me-up to power through an all-nighter?

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Seigniorage's picture

Well to be honest I wasn't

Seigniorage
      O
 
(Orangutan, 300
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 11:06am

Well to be honest I wasn't that savvy. That may lower your opinion of me, but I'll be honest. I think a significant portion of the left believed in his hard-stance against wall street all the way until 2010. I suppose that's the hallmark of a great politician. He let the scrutiny fall on geithner and summers and made continuous pleas for bipartisan consensus mixed with some very angry rhetoric against wall street.
Strangely enough, wall street, seemingly smart and aware, believed in his rhetoric and ignored such gifts as the mildness of the financial reform bill. I know many smart wall street professionals who genuinely STILL believe he is an anti-WS radical leftist. (of course there can be a big disconnect between the "common" professional and the bigwigs) I think stuff like his 60 minutes quote of not going into office to help a "bunch of fat-cat bankers", Axelrod yelling at GS, and a well-timed introduction of the Volcker Rule really resonated with people an anti-WS stance.

The reality: past the political posturing, I think you are ultimately right. It's like usual. GS was a major backer of the Obama campagin from the start and it along with the rest of WS have their tentacles all over the white house. I think in some ways he wants to give into populist demand, not just as a political move, but because he GENUINELY thinks its right. In "The Promise" Alter claims that Obama told a close whitehouse adviser that the the angriest he ever got in his term was when Blankfein told him that GS will never be in any danger of collapse. He has and probibly will support WS, but very begrudgingly. I don't think all that rhetoric is pure acting. Unfortunately he already killed the Kaufman amendment and now has few gifts left to give. So he may not get WS support for 2012 anyway. It's really sad politically speaking. What do you think about this. Considering how many concessions Obama gave WS, why are they still against him? And will they support him in the future?

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GoodBread's picture

Haha squirtlez. What I'm

GoodBread
      AM
 
 
(Neanderthal, 3,602
 
Points)
 on 11/9/10 at 11:09am

Haha squirtlez. What I'm saying is that he panders to populist pressures in word but to Wall Street in action.

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blastoise's picture

GoodBread wrote: Haha

blastoise
      O
 
(Senior Neanderthal, 4,380
 
Points)
 on 11/10/10 at 11:56pm
GoodBread:

Haha squirtlez. What I'm saying is that he panders to populist pressures in word but to Wall Street in action.

I know i was just being an ass :)

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  • Dear, Since about 2 months I am reading topics on this great forum. It really is the best forum I have seen so far. I've got a couple of questions, but first of all I will tell you something about my life: Age: 20 Universtity: university of amsterdam Bachelor: finance (and...
    Some questions from an ambitious dutch student
  • delete...
    delete please
  • So I got an offer from a boutique consulting firm. It mainly does project management for a number of F500 tech companies. It starts in august. What I originally wanted was to work in AM but I couldn't get an offer. Any ideas about how I should go about getting a job in finance? I have a few...
    Graduating senior, need a finance job! MSF?
  • I'm interested in hearing from people who have received full or partial scholarships to schools and what their stats are. Currently I'm ~690 gmat , 4.0 gpa and I'm looking at vandy, ut austin, villanova, and duke Thanks to anyone who can help post some public...
    Can anyone share anecdotal MSF scholly stats?
  • Hey Monkeys, I'll be moving to London for work later this year - my office is in Hammersmith. For the sake of convenience for work, I've considered living in Hammersmith (near the tube station). For those of you who live or have lived in London - what are your thoughts on choosing...
    Working in London (Hammersmith) - suggestions on where to live?
  • My overall gpa will prob be a 3.7/4.0 and I go to a UCLA/USC/Berkeley. Think I still have a good chance for SA recruiting?...
    Got a B in corporate finance...
  • For better or for worse, there’s a very unique feeling when everything goes completely according to plan yet nobody seems to care or notice. Such is the case with our favorite company of the moment, Tesla Motors. For those unaware, TSLA has rocketed upwards since its Q1 earnings release, mostly...
    A Perfect Storm
  • Allow us to search by...
    Suggestion for company database
  • Hi guys, I am a small Asian guy (5'7'') and as I am looking for dresses for my summer internship I got into trouble finding the shirts and pants that fit me. For example there were no shirts with 30 inch long sleeves ( the smallest one was 32). Desprerately enough I looked at...
    Dress for small guys
  • Are brand name glasses too fashionable for banking? How bout the thicker framed glasses? I was thinking of getting something along the lines...
    Prescription Glasses
  • Hello, I am just looking for some opinions on Economics degrees, that is my major and I would like to know how Financial and Accounting firms and departments (in companies) view this degree. Please share what you think or your experience. Non target school and mediocre GPA...
    Economics major
  • Hello fellow monkeys. A few weeks ago I was admitted, and have now formally accepted my transfer admission from a community college into UCLA's Business Economics program for this fall. I've started thumbing through the catalog of courses for my major (and a potential minor in accounting)...
    UCLA Biz Econ Reviews?
  • With the great acceleration of WSO Certified Users has come an awesome collection of interviews, general Q&As and AMAs that we have compiled into 1 place. If you hover over the FAQ menu above and click "Best Interviews", you will find an awesome array of Q&As from some of WSOs...
    Best Q&As and Interviews on WSO
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I used to work with a guy that had everything on the surface, but absolutely nothing inside. The guy was 6 feet tall, good-looking, charismatic, multi-lingual, graduated from a top business school, and had made MD at a bulge bracket investment bank. Yet he couldn’t remember the last time he...
How to Develop a Personality
<em>Mod note (Andy): we vetted this user to confirm his identity/status and yes in fact he is who he says he is, and is eager to answer your questions :)</em> Bio: I decided to join WSO to help both students and young professionals advance in their Finance careers, whether that be...
I'm an MD and I run the Sales division: Ask Me Anything
For better or for worse, there’s a very unique feeling when everything goes completely according to plan yet nobody seems to care or notice. Such is the case with our favorite company of the moment, Tesla Motors. For those unaware, TSLA has rocketed upwards since its Q1 earnings release,...
A Perfect Storm
I'm currently a Private Equity Analyst in Shanghai, China. Academically, I graduated from a target school majoring in Economics and Chinese. I also spent my time at college as the president of an on-campus student organization related to Finance and Economics and a volunteer for a local...
Ask me anything… I'm a Private Equity Analyst in Shanghai
You've just gotten that promotion and now you're in charge of a small team. Congratulations! And welcome to middle management. All the hard work and the knowledge you've developed about everything your firm does these past few years has been noticed. But, now you have a small...
7 Things I've Learned About Being A Manager
Assuming that you have access to no financial products such as FactSet, Bloomberg, CapitalIQ, Thomson or otherwise, thought it would be helpful to give a step by step guide on how to ramp up on a new company from your home computer. Using FaceBook as an example. Lets go ahead and start with the...
Basic Guide Ramping Up On A Company With Public Information (Part 1 of 3)
Fellow Primates, We are looking for 1-2 students on each campus to help WSO in its sales efforts to student clubs/career centers, and overall promotion at your school both online and on the ground. Below is a description of the position and benefits...thanks in advance for your help! <a...
WSO is Looking for Campus Reps For Summer/Fall 2013 (and beyond)
<em>“You know, In The Flesh,”</em> a WSO monkey told me at a recent Happy Hour, <em>“that gentleman’s book is the real deal. I ordered that shit on Amazon as soon as I read your review. It’s so right, man. I want to be like that: keep my word, honor my commitments, be...
Being A Gentleman, Revisited
<em>Mod Note: This is a syndication from Jared's Daily Dirtnap daily market newsletter. WSO readers qualify for a $100 discount...just email [email protected] and mention "WSO Monkey Discount" You can follow Jared on twitter at @dailydirtnap</em> There I go...
In Praise Of High Interest Rates
<em>Mode note: Blast from the past - "Best of Eddie" - this one is originally from December 2010.</em> Monty09 may have gotten the best plug yet for his <a href="http://energyrodeo.com/">Energy Rodeo</a> in Houston next month, and it came from none...
New York vs. Houston
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