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Wall Street Oasis » Blogs » M Friedman's blog
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Dubai’s Boom and Bust
 

M Friedman's picture
M Friedman
     
 
(King Kong, 1,007
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 5:20pm
11332602-unblock-sites-in-dubai.jpeg

Although I began a blog on Dubai’s pro’s and con’s, I instead started to tell a story about Dubai’s boom and bust. So now, my intention is to describe Dubai’s background and transition into a pro’s and con’s piece later this week. My hope is that if this sort of mindless boom were ever to develop again, someone, somewhere would remember Dubai and retell its story.

-----

Although a lot of Dubai’s boom investment came from foreign sources, Dubai had a ton of cash even prior to the FDI. The city’s royalty owned plentiful rights to oilfields, but eventually sold all of it in order to finance their dream city. Before the construction began, the only visible wealth was Sheiks who lived in lavish compounds and drove around in fleets of bombproof G- Wagons.

Initially, Dubai’s rulers had their fundamentals in order. For one, there was no income tax. They built a huge port and surrounded it with an even larger tax free zone. Corporate regulation was loose, and customs inspections were, and still are, easy-going. They laid out 5-lane wide highways, and built a decently sized airport. A beautiful canvas was created; the only thing missing was the paint.

I lived in heart of Jumeriah Beach from 1997 to 2002. In that time frame, I feel like I woke up one morning and witnessed a small city on the gulf instantly turn sand into steel. To further illustrate my point, between 2001 and 2006, about 25% of all the world’s construction cranes were located in Dubai. Today, the majority those cranes are gone, and have left many buildings unfinished.

During a time defined by excess and greed, Dubai was the decade’s poster boy. Financial firms located regional headquarters in a noisy financial district, celebrities bought into man-made islands like the Palm, and to bring everything full circle, Russian prostitutes arrived by the boatload. In a part of the world where countries vigorously oppressed vice, gorgeous escorts surrounded financial analysts nightly; all while Dom Pérignon endlessly flowed to the worlds best DJ’s.

Ultimately, a manic desire to build the world’s tallest building was the straw that broke the camel’s back. In the midst of the global financial crisis, Dubai requested an $80 billion dollar bailout from Abu Dhabi, a more frugal, neighboring city. Abu Dhabi had a list of compliance requests, but some where at the top of that list was a slap in the face. Abu Dhabi said that if Dubai wanted to complete the world's tallest building, that was OK, they just could not name it "Burj Dubai". Instead, the monstrosity would be renamed Burj Khalifa, after Abu Dhabi’s leader, Sheik Khalifa bin Zayed al-Nahyan. To Dubai’s glorious rise, nothing could signal a more shameful end.

See my WSO blogs here.
  • Dubai
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Comments

timothy0's picture

Great blog. What are the laws

timothy0
      O
 
(Senior Baboon, 219
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 5:30pm

Great blog. What are the laws like Dubai? Are they very strict like other Middle Eastern places or would it actually be possible for a Westerner to live comfortably there, without having to change their normal behaviour?

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M Friedman's picture

Good questions. If any other

M Friedman
     
 
(King Kong, 1,007
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 5:34pm

Good questions.

If any other monkeys have more questions, please just list them here and i will answer them in a pro's and con's piece about living in Dubai tomorrow.

See my WSO blogs here.

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In reply to M Friedman
Abdel's picture

M Friedman wrote: Good

Abdel
      O
 
(Neanderthal, 2,064
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 5:47pm
M Friedman:

Good questions.

If any other monkeys have more questions, please just list them here and i will answer them in a pro's and con's piece about living in Dubai tomorrow.

Does being arab help get me an internship/job there? lol

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rc23's picture

Would I absolutely need to

rc23
     
 
(Monkey, 40
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 5:54pm

Would I absolutely need to know the language to find a job in dubai or would english suffice for a career in the financial industry?

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cbcbcb's picture

How fucking tall is that

cbcbcb
     
 
(Senior Monkey, 93
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 6:10pm

How fucking tall is that building. I know its actual height, but in person?

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The Khan's picture

How great is the demand for

The Khan
      O
 
(Senior Chimp, 21
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 6:33pm

How great is the demand for Western-educated individuals in the financial industry in Dubai? Also, my dad recently went to Dubai, and from the videos he recorded, it looks like a very fancy ghost town....

-O.K.

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In reply to rc23
West Coast rainmaker's picture

I have mixed feelings about

West Coast rainmaker
      ER
 
 
(Neanderthal, 2,127
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 6:40pm

I have mixed feelings about this. Dubai was an awesome display of capitalism and the ability for the Islamic world to modernize. For the Middle East, it was the "shining city upon a hill". Granted, they did have significant natural resources...but they tried to develop the country into more than just another OPEC exporter.

Then again, they also made some really bad investment decisions...to embrace capitalism is to be punished for foolishness.

I wanted to work in Dubai for years...the idea of basically living in a seaside Las Vegas with no taxes seemed awesome. The cost of labor was low enough that Then I started to realize that:

(a) you live in an awesome city, but you are surrounded by some really scary countries
(b) the country is only liberal (and therefore habitable to the average westerner) because it has a liberal sheik
(c) it would be hard to transition back to the USA
(d) although they love Western $$$, you are still an outsider and occupy a caste below the emirates and
(e) the whole thing looked really unsustainable.

rc23:

Would I absolutely need to know the language to find a job in dubai or would english suffice for a career in the financial industry?

I briefly had a neighbor who worked for an oil co., and often did stretches of time in Dubai. Apparently everything for business is done in English, and most people speak English fluently. Of course, knowing Arabic helps get you the job, but apparently the language is really dialect heavy, not to mention incredibly complex. He compared learning Arabic to get a job in Dubai is like learning Mandarin to get a job in Hong Kong. Of course, this was during the good times...I am not sure anybody is getting jobs there now.

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Powa23's picture

What do you think was the

Powa23
     
 
(Orangutan, 291
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 8:02pm

What do you think was the fuel ( no pun intended) for the boom in Dubai?

I thought that it was mostly based on the energy industry in the Middle East and since oil prices dipped during 08' that affected Dubai since it was the financial nexus of the ME. Now that Gas and energy prices are rising once again, do you think that there would be another boom? Especially after the Arab Spring where more Arab governments would need financing.

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In reply to Powa23
Abdel's picture

Powa23 wrote: What do you

Abdel
      O
 
(Neanderthal, 2,064
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 8:16pm
Powa23:

What do you think was the fuel ( no pun intended) for the boom in Dubai?

I thought that it was mostly based on the energy industry in the Middle East and since oil prices dipped during 08' that affected Dubai since it was the financial nexus of the ME. Now that Gas and energy prices are rising once again, do you think that there would be another boom? Especially after the Arab Spring where more Arab governments would need financing.

One of my profs told me that they now, generate more money from their financial markets activities than from oil & gas.

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VarmintCong's picture

It's clear that Dubai grew

VarmintCong
     
 
(Senior Chimp, 29
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 9:35pm

It's clear that Dubai grew too fast through the past decade and there is a reasonable amount of infrastructure there that has been/will be a waste of capital.

However, I do believe the city has asserted itself as one of the leading/main tourist destination in the Middle east for Western tourists. I believe there is a large amount of westerners looking to travel to the area (for the novelty/unexplored romance of the region), but Dubai is one of the only cities that can provide the safety and amenities for those of us looking to travel there.

In all honesty, where would you rather visit in the middle east without having to worry about your head being blown up on any given street corner?

In the war against you and the other qualified candidates out there, the best arsenal is to prove that you have outdone yourself.

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Wannabedude's picture

Its interesting to see that

Wannabedude
      ER
 
(Senior Monkey, 82
 
Points)
 on 11/29/11 at 11:12pm

Its interesting to see that property has been at the heart of most of modern day collapses.
Ireland
US
UAE

Interestingly enough - Canada's and Australia's house prices are still quite high on a wide range of measures but they didnt experience a meteoric rise such as that in the above 3.

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Wage Slave Number 9's picture

Remember that the Dubai from

Wage Slave Number 9
      CF
 
 
(Monkey, 64
 
Points)
 on 11/30/11 at 12:12am

Remember that the Dubai from 1997 to 2002 is far different to what it is now. I was a monkey of various levels based in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and worked most of the region from 2006 to 2010. The difference between when I got there and when I left was night and day, I'd expect even more so from 2002 to now.

“I'm tired of this back-slapping "Isn't humanity neat?" bullshit. We're a virus with shoes, okay? That's all we are.”
- Hicks

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Powa23's picture

Man, if property bubble is

Powa23
     
 
(Orangutan, 291
 
Points)
 on 11/30/11 at 12:41am

Man, if property bubble is the fault of its collapse, I do fear greatly for Canada and certain cities like Vancouver and Toronto where real estate is astronomical

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Gate_Crasher's picture

Interesting. These Persian

Gate_Crasher
      IB
 
(Senior Baboon, 187
 
Points)
 on 11/30/11 at 12:48am

Interesting.

These Persian Gulf arabic countries went on a spending spree and ultimately failed.

Building man-made island is not only stupid but also hurts the Persian Gulf waters due to pollution etc..

I forsee a long decline in these countries especially with the numerous US bases located there.

Dubai was just crap sugar wrapped and presented to everyone to be the next Hongkong.

The fact of the matter is, the future's whore houses will be located here.

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aempirei's picture

Anyone know anything about

aempirei
      IB
 
(Gorilla, 725
 
Points)
 on 11/30/11 at 2:25pm

Anyone know anything about life at ADIA? I had an acquaitence in college whose family worked for ADIA and he said he could get me an interview there if I would like but I kind of lost touch with him. He said compensation for Americans out of undergrad was $120-150k with low taxation. Seems a bit high to me.

My name is Nicky, but you can call me Dre.

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In reply to aempirei
Gate_Crasher's picture

aempirei wrote: Anyone know

Gate_Crasher
      IB
 
(Senior Baboon, 187
 
Points)
 on 11/30/11 at 3:17pm
You must be signed in to read advice below.
Sign In with FacebookSign In with Google
Connecting helps us build a vibrant community. We'll never share your info without your permission.

Sign Up with email

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In reply to Gate_Crasher
non-target's picture

Gate_Crasher wrote: aempirei

non-target
      PE
 
(Senior Baboon, 210
 
Points)
 on 11/30/11 at 5:02pm
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In reply to aempirei
Wage Slave Number 9's picture

aempirei wrote: Anyone know

Wage Slave Number 9
      CF
 
 
(Monkey, 64
 
Points)
 on 11/30/11 at 11:52pm

“I'm tired of this back-slapping "Isn't humanity neat?" bullshit. We're a virus with shoes, okay? That's all we are.”
- Hicks

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jtbbdxbnycmad's picture

I'm also happy to answer

jtbbdxbnycmad
      O
 
(Gorilla, 614
 
Points)
 on 12/1/11 at 2:14am
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Forum Topics

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  • I would like to know which desks at BlackRock have the highest prestige. I am assuming that Fixed Income desk is probably THE desk to work at, prestigewise. Any thoughts on the other desks? How do the various desks at BlackRock fair prestige- and performancewise to their equivalent at other...
    The question of Prestige
  • Currently taking the Advanced Modelling course in BIWS and this is some heavy lifting. I am convinced that this is the most relevant in terms of modelling skills for IBD (other than a direct IBD SA role). I know that most people just put it as a one-liner under their "Skills" section...
    BIWS Advanced Modelling Course under relevant exp in Resume.
  • Anyone looking for an interesting class to attend, a HF manager I know is teaching a class titled "How to think about the market like a Hedge Fund Manager". He is a former equity analyst and HF manager of Surfview Capital. Very bright guy that now runs the website "estimize". ...
    HF Class being taught in NYC (Soho)
  • I'm a recent graduate trying to break into asset management and do equity research. In order to stand out, I have been trying to cold email a few analysts/PMs investment write-ups that I've made and asking for feedback, in attempt to stand out. Unfortunately, I've had little to...
    cold emailing with investment ideas
  • I've seen quite a few, what do you think are the...
    Best Wall Street movies?
  • None of you were afraid of the possibility of a female from your same firm (HR, same group, whatever) being on there as well and then things get awkward at the...
    How many of you use or have used dating websites before?
  • Hi everyone, I've decided to push off my graduation and complete my degree this upcoming fall. Basically did this because I want to take part in the next recruiting cycle. That being said, I know I can't tell HR / anyone with hiring authority that I "delayed my graduation so I...
    Pushing off graduation until December
  • Test...
    Testing
  • Finance and consulting are very client-focused industries. So are short males, let's say between 5'3 and 5'7, at a substantial disadvantage in a IB/PE/Consulting career? Does it matter less in getting to the top at a...
    Being a Short Male
  • <b>For many of us in United States, the TI-83 Plus is the quintessential (pre-college) calculator</b>. It was required for many classes (e.g. AP Calculus) and the $100+ price tag 10+ years ago did not do wonders for the wallet. Still, the multi-line interface, matrix operation...
    Pricing Power of the TI-83 Plus
  • I graduated from high school and got accepted to Western's Ivey (AEO) but since I actually haven't started or completed first year I didn't include it in my resume. I know the resume is two pages and I have no idea which work experience I should remove. Any help is...
    High School Grad Just Entering Uni Resume Review
  • Just wondering whether BB recruits for 1st yr analyst posiion after their summer training session? I mean..is it possible to receive offer even after the training session? Afraid it might shut the door...
    1st yr IBD Analyst position available even after the training session?
  • We all have them. The friends that think everything is going to be okay, just because they went to a top 50 business school and have have a GPA above a 3.5. They will say things like "Employers aren't going to expect me to have relevant work experience. I have't even graduated...
    What Happens to Finance Grads That Don't Have Internships?
  • Hey all, Let me preface that the question is nitpicky but when these firms are judging you by a single piece of paper everything seems to count. I've read on a number of sources that most firms want to see M/CR on the SAT= 750/750 as a minimum. The Math score is ESPECIALLY important to...
    SAT vs ACT - Importance of Math
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Upcoming Events

  • Advanced Excel for Finance Professionals Webcast
    Jun 18 2013 - 6:00pm - 9:00pm
  • Financial & Valuation Modeling Boot Camp (Los Angeles)
    Jun 20 2013 - 8:00am - Jun 22 2013 - 5:00pm
  • London WSO Drinks
    Jun 20 2013 - 2:30pm - 4:30pm
  • Financial and Valuation Modeling Boot Camp (San Francisco)
    Jun 27 2013 - 9:00am - Jun 28 2013 - 5:30pm
  • Crowdfunding Conference, June 27, The Yale Club New York
    Jun 27 2013 - 11:30am - 7:30pm
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<em>Mod note: make sure to see the great comment below by CompBanker</em> I come from a small town where nobody had ever heard of consulting or IB. I was fortunate enough to attend a top target college (a good Ivy) and land a gig in IB at a BB/EB. I'm starting full time this...
Finance Culture - Personalities
<strong>Background</strong> I randomly discovered WSO nearly seven years ago just weeks after I secured a FT MM IB position. The website was extremely nascent at the time with only a few thousand registered users. The majority of the users were college students with only a handful...
How WSO has enhanced my IB/PE career
<em>Mod note: for the tl;dr version, skip down to "Circa 1960"</em> First, some background. I’m going to explain how we got to where we are today in order to frame our place in history and our model of life, so bear with me...
Your Model of Life Is Wrong
After over one year in the making, the <strong><a href="http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/2013-wso-compensation-report-full">2013 WSO Compensation Report</a></strong> is here! Access to the FULL 108 page 2013 WSO Compensation Report is <strong>100%...
2013 WSO Compensation Report has Arrived
Where do i even start..I learned so much from this forum. The brutally honest opinions, sincere willingness to help, the technical information and random tips on everything has been absolutely crucial for me landing this offer. Coming from a non-target I didnt get that 3rd year SA position at...
Thank you WSO! Got my FT Offer! ADVICE NEEDED
When I first started as a PE analyst, I constantly struggled with judging the amount of time I should spend on reviewing sourced deals. How much time is enough to really get a handle on the company’s revenue streams? How granular do I need my analysis to be on industry threats? With this...
Misguided Efforts: A Cautionary Tale
Fellow Primates, We are looking for 1-2 students on each campus to help WSO in its sales efforts to student clubs/career centers, and overall promotion at your school both online and on the ground. Below is a description of the position and benefits...thanks in advance for your help! <a...
WSO is Looking for Campus Reps For Summer/Fall 2013 (and beyond)
<a href="http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forums/basic-guide-ramping-up-on-a-company-with-public-information-part-1-of-3 ">In part one</a> we covered the basics of understanding a company, which involves reading the S-1 filing, reading the quarterly reports and understanding...
Basic Guide Ramping Up On A Company With Public Information (Part 3 of 3)
Any Asset Management people here who could give me some insights on it, such as the nature of the work, the pay, the hours, the potential for career advancement, ect? I was looking into IB before but I've decided that I would rather pursue a career that's more intellectually...
Asset Management a better choice than Investment Banking?
<img src="//img.pandawhale.com/48721-Sexually-Oblivious-Female-Meme-Ze2w.png" alt="Sexually Oblivious Female Meme - Favorite Position? I would like to be a CEO.">
If you could be the richest person in the world with your dream job only as a public virgin forever would you do it?
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