Question about expected return from deciding between BB/EB offers

I didn’t realize how much exit opps can vary between different groups at BBs until reading some threads on here today.

After reading that, I was curious how (or if) this has a significant effect on the expected return of the “average” analyst.

Thinking about this in comparison to an EB, where (I believe) every analyst is working on M&A/RX and holding pen to the model. Does this added uncertainty in group/(average)exit opps factor into your decision on which is better to pursue?

What I’m trying to get at, is which would be the safer bet to get to the goal of PE (if you had no idea which group you’d be placed in if you chose the BB and they were fairly comparable banks)?

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