Not really. CRE overhired because in ‘21, we were understaffed then a lot of people left in Q1 ‘22 because of shitty bonuses so the bank really ramped up hiring. Problem with that is ‘21 was an anamoly in terms of transaction activity. That will not occur again. To be frank, I do think CRE has a lot of inefficiencies like too many analysts on specific teams, MDs who don’t add much value relative to their pay, etc.

 

They just lost their top originator. Word is he’s going to a non-bank lender. Banks are so heavily regulated that it is very hard for them to compete with brokerage shops. For a while, banks sold their balance sheet as a competitive advantage. But in this environment, banks really don’t wanna put stuff on their balance so therefore they either decline business or put out uncompetitive quotes.

MFC was a prolific agency lender for some time but I think they’re on the decline. Walker and Berkadia blow them out by a mile in terms of transaction volume. Also think because MFC lost their top guy, they’ll probably need to do more layoffs. With his loss, that’s a huge dip in revenue.

 
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Spot on take. MFC is in a pretty bad state. Sure, they will keep chugging along, balance sheet clients who need takeouts will use MFC and there are a decent number of big name bank clients who are also loyal but with the top originator leaving, there is a huge vacuum that it will be hard to fill. And nobody wants to say the quiet part out loud about the decision to hire a person with no direct GSE experience as the head of MFC. The previous head helped increase production with his relationships, that is what the team especially needs during times like these. The only explanation can be they are saving money by maybe paying the new head under market. Another sign that group is in decline. 

 

I heard American Realty Advisors has had 3 rounds of layoffs with the third being last week. I am not sure which divisions were trimmed down.

 

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