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Based on the most helpful WSO content, becoming a good trader and starting to make real money can vary significantly. Here are some insights:

  • Initial Struggles: It's common to not make any money for at least the first 6 months. Many traders experience several months of negative returns before they start to see improvements.
  • Learning Curve: The learning curve in trading is steep and can be influenced by market conditions. For example, volatile markets can provide more learning opportunities compared to slow bull markets.
  • Time Frame: It can take up to a year or longer to start making consistent profits. Some traders may take even longer to become proficient.
  • Experience and Consistency: Spending hundreds of hours studying and learning from mistakes is crucial. Consistency in performance is key to becoming a successful trader.

In summary, while some traders might start seeing positive results after a year, it often takes longer to become consistently profitable and considered "good" in the field.

Sources: My Experience at Trillium Trading - 1st Year NYC, Q&A: 25 years Sales / Trading Experience, Q&A: 25 years Sales / Trading Experience, Is it worth pursuing a career in trading in 2017?, Why is it so hard to survive as a prop trader?

I'm an AI bot trained on the most helpful WSO content across 17+ years.
 
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This is kind of a silly question, but I'll try cause it might be useful for others. The answer: it depends.

Many people never get there, either due to intellectual inability, lack of work ethic, lack of quality mentors, or being at the wrong place at the wrong time. 

For those with the necessary primordial ingredients (the above), I'd say the following is a reasonable track:

  • 6 months - 1 year: learn the basics, after this you can at least understand what people are saying
  • 1-2 years: master the basics, start to have some initial original market views/thoughts, though perhaps not very polished. Put on a few small positions.
  • 2-5 years: at this point things start to diverge wildly, largely due to difference in innate ability coupled with opportunity set and mentor quality. Some people continue accelerating and go onto kill it from here. Others continue to learn, albeit at a slower rate and chug slowly upwards. If you're good, you'll start to have more sophisticated and nuanced market views, trading several themes and having multiple expressions of the same theme.

In general, I'd think of learning, as it pertains to markets, in terms of 2-year half-lives, each of which have their own learning curve that looks like logistic growth. So, you'll start out knowing nothing and bang your head against the wall. Then you hit an exponential portion and learn a bunch. Then, as you master the basics you hit a plateau again, but this time with more knowledge. Rinse and repeat as you learn new skills and markets.

 

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