Modeling of Different Derivates for Hedging?

Dear WSO,

As part of a project I am working on as an intern right now I was planning on comparing the effects of different derivatives to hedge the price risk of the main commodity a company would buy (think fuel for an airline or steel for an intermediate goods producer). I am currently designing my approach and am unsure about the ideal way to model this. My idea is to use a Monte Carlo Simulation to first model (in Excel, probably with the help of @risk) the commodity price and then the resulting outcome of using either futures or options. However, I have never used a model for such an analysis and thus I am unsure about the feasibility or the common practice on this in general. Also, my experience with financial modelling is existing but limited to valuation.

What do you guys think? Wrong approach or doable? How would you approach this? Any samples? Any literature you can recommend?

Best regards, Lamer