Stock Pitch help/how to choose catalysts
I'm doing a stock pitch for a consumer discretionary stock and i want to do three catalysts, this company im doing it on is expanding heavily into new markets so thats one of my catalysts, and i want to do rate cuts and the economy getting better and this will prompt consumers to spend more and my last one will be they sell majority of their products in china and their economic activity is on the upswing also, any advice/ tips would help
1) Catalysts aren’t thesis points. Catalysts are specific events that cause the stock price to reflect and price your thesis.
2) Be sure that the points you’re raising matter for the stock and how it filters into additional profit. I.e how much extra revenue is coming from these regions, what is it your getting that the street is pricing (I.e you think new region TAM is bigger than the Street or you think product adoption/market share will be different). Be clear on where you are different.
I agree with the above. Also, to say China is on the upswing will also raise eyebrows. Every macro datapoint coming from there is negative.
Truth is, it's very hard to find real hard catalysts on any idea. To aim for 3 on the same name is unrealistic.
ok, the companies grown 90% in the asia pacific region in the last two years with that mainly being China, they already have China athletes and plan to sign a lot more, i think this will help boost their credibility even more as they will have signature lines with the top athletes similar to Nike having lebron, kd, etc but obviously not on this big of a scale as of currently but i don't think the market is pricing in the effect this will have as consumers will spend more due to the credibility, also the olympics are this year and they have a good amt of athletes participating in them repping their brand
ok i see, can i pm ? have additional questions
Just ask them here
ok, so would the first rate cut be a catalyst? since it would benefit consumer discretionary stocks,and for the china part could i use a some pieces of data that show their economy is on the way up and this would benefit the company since they are planning to build majority of their stores there? i dont think this part the street is pricing in and would lead to more revenue, lastly expanding into new markets would lead to more market share and they have big partners that are predicted to do a lot in their sport and the olympics (more recognition leads to more market share), what do you think?
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