What's the play for student loan forgiveness?

It is becoming increasingly likely that Biden will be announcing a student loan forgiveness plan in the near future. So what is the consensus here on how the markets will react and how to play it?

My underlying theory is that he will make two announcements (1) partial forgiveness and (2) lift the moratorium on payments. I simply don't see how he can both forgive the loans but not ask people to start paying again.

I haven't quite pieced together all the components - that's why I"m here seeking a consensus - but I'm leaning towards a net negative on the market and consumer sentiment. After all, it's not like the people on payment moratoriums are keeping that money in a safe place, it's already been spent and people are accustomed to that "new" lifestyle without payments. Surely some of the current housing market has been driven by that, no? That doesn't feel like it will lead to a positive outcome.

What say you?

3 Comments
 
 

Enim numquam ut qui deserunt adipisci voluptas qui. Eum quam qui quo voluptas sunt. Error aut est delectus delectus. Est quos in dolorem ad molestias possimus. Laborum placeat quaerat et ea est dolorem. Sit voluptas deserunt beatae corporis non voluptas. Non perspiciatis blanditiis repellat aut molestias consequatur amet.

Career Advancement Opportunities

September 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.5%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.9%
  • JPMorgan 01 98.4%
  • Goldman Sachs 01 97.9%
  • Morgan Stanley 07 97.3%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

September 2026 Investment Banking

  • Moelis & Company No 99.5%
  • Morgan Stanley 03 98.9%
  • Evercore 01 98.4%
  • Banco Santander 02 97.9%
  • BMO Capital Markets 12 97.3%

Professional Growth Opportunities

September 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.5%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.9%
  • Morgan Stanley 07 98.4%
  • Goldman Sachs 01 97.9%
  • JPMorgan No 97.3%

Total Avg Compensation

September 2026 Investment Banking

  • Vice President (16) $429
  • Associates (51) $260
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (8) $210
  • 2nd Year Analyst (26) $182
  • Intern/Summer Associate (15) $159
  • 1st Year Analyst (84) $151
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (76) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
3
kanon's picture
kanon
99.0
4
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
5
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
6
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
98.9
7
DrApeman's picture
DrApeman
98.9
8
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
9
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
10
Mimbs's picture
Mimbs
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”