Is my reason for apprehension valid?
I will be doing my SA 2024 program in NY. I love the city, and could see myself living there long-term if I enjoy financial services.
My only caveat is, I don't wanna move there because of the everlasting dread of getting nuked. Seriously.
I think we'll be at war with China within the 2020's and I believe there's a non-zero chance that WOMD could be used. Target city number one would obviously be NY (maybe DC?).
Somebody please tell me I'm stupid and to fuhgeddaboudit. Or don't. Thanks.
you are retarded
Don't worry, once you start in IB you'll be praying for the nuke
You can leave the city when that becomes a serious threat? China’s not nuking us tomorrow
It will be painless
Hot war with China would take at least a year to build up. Most likely scenario is over a Taiwanese invasion, in which case US, Australia, Philippines, Japan, S. Korea, and NATO allies would be involved. The Ukraine invasion was telegraphed for 4-6 months, but it was obvious as the Russian Federation had committed 90% of their entire army to Western Russia and Belarus. People didn’t want to believe it because they had buried their head in the sand.
China would not want to start a first strike nuclear war in the absence of clearly telegraphing the development of other forces (conscription, naval exercises, preparing transports, etc.). Their nuclear capabilities are much weaker than the US. That’s Russia’s job, because they have a lot more nukes.
Because of consumption culture in the West, China’s best friend is the US economy. Why blow up your customers? China’s economy is much more reliant on the US than vice versa. Look at imports-exports by country and partner.
In a Chinese first-strike military scenario, the US retaliation would likely be way worse, and there would be hundreds of millions of deaths from destroying the Three Gorges Dam alone. There’s no similarly vital target in the US.
The threat is small, not in China’s interest, and would be telegraphed for several months.
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