Odds for Next Bank to Collapse

Hey everyone, with some banks failing (e.g., First Republic, SVB, Credit Suisse, Silvergate), I was wondering if we could agree on some odds for the next large bank to fail and then have someone underwrite this. I'll start the odds and am open to suggestions.

PacWest +100

East West Bancorp +150

Comerica Bank +150

Deutsche Bank +200

Nomura +300

HSBC +500

Key Bank +500

Truist +500

Citizens +750

BNY Mellon +750

UBS +1,000

PNC +1,000

BMO +1,500

Wells Fargo +2,000

Goldman +2,000

RBC +2,000

BofA +2,500

Citi +2,500

Barclays +2,500

JPM +6,900

6 Comments
 

Anonymous Monkey

Hey everyone, with some banks failing (e.g., First Republic, SVB, Credit Suisse, Silvergate), I was wondering if we could agree on some odds for the next large bank to fail and then have someone underwrite this. I'll start the odds and am open to suggestions.

PacWest -100

East West Bancorp +100

Comerica Bank +100

Deutsche Bank +200

Nomura +300

HSBC +500

Key Bank +500

Truist +500

Citizens +750

BNY Mellon +750

UBS +1,000

PNC +1,000

BMO +1,500

Wells Fargo +2,000

Goldman +2,000

RBC +2,000

BofA +2,500

Citi +2,500

Barclays +2,500

JPM +6,900

You realize -100 and +100 are the same thing?

 

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