Odds for Next Bank to Collapse
Hey everyone, with some banks failing (e.g., First Republic, SVB, Credit Suisse, Silvergate), I was wondering if we could agree on some odds for the next large bank to fail and then have someone underwrite this. I'll start the odds and am open to suggestions.
PacWest +100
East West Bancorp +150
Comerica Bank +150
Deutsche Bank +200
Nomura +300
HSBC +500
Key Bank +500
Truist +500
Citizens +750
BNY Mellon +750
UBS +1,000
PNC +1,000
BMO +1,500
Wells Fargo +2,000
Goldman +2,000
RBC +2,000
BofA +2,500
Citi +2,500
Barclays +2,500
JPM +6,900
Person who threw MS works at DB
You realize -100 and +100 are the same thing?
Why didn’t you put an EBs there? (EB>BB)
I didn't think banks that don't do commercial banking were facing the heat?
Stay in your lane intern. Let’s the big boys discuss this matter!
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