24 Comments
 

I get what you're saying, but same time deal flow has been sucking for everyone now. This may be an unpopular take but I think WF has a lot of potential. The risk is some groups I know the line between corporate and investment banking is blurred, so they're running some people into the ground by doing both jobs. If they can straighten out those organizational quirks, they've got potential

 

The risk is some groups I know the line between corporate and investment banking is blurred, so they're running some people into the ground by doing both jobs.

This is so true, you must work here lol

 

Big footnote to WF argument is that they are very very restricted in their expansion potential following their scandal. 
 

Also don’t think they have invested as much in IB in recent history

 

I think everyone would now accept Santander is considered a ‘good’ or ‘relevant’ MM shop in the US now - this wasn’t true 2 years ago. So by that logic yes. 
 

If you’re asking if they’re going to be the next BB or something there is still a lot of work to do 

 

That’s worth 6 or 7k in London though. Life is ridiculously cheap in Spain (maybe Madrid less so).

Can they do some m&a deals with the people they have? Sure

Will they be able to get in financing deals given their huge balance sheet? Yes

Will they be as aggressive on terms aS others? Unlikely

Will they take lead left roles on financing? Very unlikely in the US. For EUR investment grade financing why not

Will they capture any meaningful m&a market share in the US or in Europe (ex Spain) within 5 years? Categorically not. The market is too competitive, they are starting from too far behind

Is a full time job there in this market not worth any thing? No, it’s a full time job, there will be some learning on the job and deal experience. It’s not GS or PJT busy whoever asks is unlikely to have the choice between Santander and GS.

If that’s all that is on the table, I’d take it and then be very looped in the lateral market. With the level of hiring going on now, as soon as the market starts again (2024? Noise seems to be turning) all these tier 3 shops will be emptied of their analyst and associate classes by tier 2 and tier 1.

 

Good rebuttal to the optimism that's there. Do you think the fact that they brought ex-CS bankers is going to change trajectory if the clients of these ex-CS MDs move their business to Santander (or is the platform bigger than the MD)? Given that they're paying street in the United States, does that provide more optimism for more of the bigger deals given that there is a balance sheet to work with? 

 

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