NFLX up 40%

While AAPL plunged about 12% after a lackluster release of its earnings report, NFLX came out one of the biggest winners in Q4 with a staggering 40% soar from the previous quarter at $146.

Facts:

  • Netflix reports 27 million subscribers over the US, up about 2 million from Q3.
  • Despite market skepticism suspecting loss, it came back strong with a $7.9mm in net profit this quarter -- 13 cents per share
  • Was at $300 in 2011, tanked to ~$100 after DVD business fiasco
  • Producing its own programs -- "Arrested Development" already a success; Two seasons of "House of Cards" budgeted at $100mm, set to premier soon
  • Carl Icahn's -- activist NFLX investor -- position doubled from $320mm to $700mm

Bits from CEO Reed Hastings:

“Our growth and our competitors’ growth shows just how large the opportunity is for Internet TV, where people get to control their viewing experience,”

“The virtuous cycle for us is to gain more subscribers, get more content, gain more subscribers, get more content,”

Hadn't paid much attention to the stock, but I wonder why analysts were so bearish on NFLX? It's no secret that streaming service industry is growing explosively and Netflix is the clear leader. Maybe hulu+ is the only substitutable competitor, but, as far as I know, they don't directly compete on contents.. and I don't see Apple TV, Google Play, or Amazon streaming getting up there anytime soon. Tablet market expanding certainly helped. My only qualm about personally using Netflix is that sometimes they don't have some of the most classic movies of all time that should be obvious for some reason.

What do you guys think? Is the window still open on NFLX to jump in?

13 Comments
 

Team Leader at J.T. Marlin

Disclaimer for the Kids: Any forward-looking statements are solely for informational purposes and cannot be taken as investment advice. Consult your moms before deciding where to invest.
 
Gangnam BankerHadn't paid much attention to the stock, but I wonder why analysts were so bearish on NFLX?

Because that's the guidance they were given by NFLX. This pop in the stock is pretty funny, because it amounts to management playing analysts for the fool. Trust me, it's only something you get to do once.

 
mrktmaker
cakepieHeh, I wish I had money. I shorted Apple yesterday on a simulation for one of my classes and combined with some other trades made 25% return in the last two days.

If you were using real money I'm sure you would have done the same thing

Agreed.. Much harder to make the same bold bets with your own hard earned cash.

Ugh the FBI still quotes the Dow... -Matt Levine
 

Reiciendis commodi ducimus sequi ratione aut. Ut reiciendis in laudantium ratione consequuntur est ut quidem. Neque ut blanditiis eius iure.

Molestiae impedit consequatur voluptatem. Reiciendis consectetur consequatur quaerat iusto ut recusandae omnis. Quos nihil tempora et necessitatibus adipisci iure amet. Quod at molestiae rerum esse. Id quas aut praesentium rerum quidem quidem qui voluptatem.

Magni est perferendis optio. Tenetur occaecati officia est excepturi ad et architecto. Unde unde laboriosam rerum eum rem. Vero sunt libero nam rem explicabo. Est aut voluptatem dolor omnis perspiciatis sint.

Career Advancement Opportunities

August 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.4%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.9%
  • JPMorgan 01 98.3%
  • Morgan Stanley 08 97.8%
  • Goldman Sachs 02 97.2%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

August 2026 Investment Banking

  • Moelis & Company No 99.4%
  • Evercore No 98.9%
  • Morgan Stanley 01 98.3%
  • Banco Santander 02 97.8%
  • BMO Capital Markets 12 97.2%

Professional Growth Opportunities

August 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.4%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.9%
  • Morgan Stanley 06 98.3%
  • Goldman Sachs 01 97.8%
  • JPMorgan 01 97.2%

Total Avg Compensation

August 2026 Investment Banking

  • Vice President (16) $429
  • Associates (48) $259
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (8) $210
  • 2nd Year Analyst (25) $178
  • Intern/Summer Associate (14) $159
  • 1st Year Analyst (83) $151
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (75) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
3
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
4
kanon's picture
kanon
99.0
5
DrApeman's picture
DrApeman
98.9
6
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
7
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
8
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
9
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
98.9
10
Mimbs's picture
Mimbs
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”