Post US election: Implications for Europe
Would like to hear some opions on the implications of the recent election outcomes for Europe. With Germany's decision to hold new elections immediately following the U.S. election, the country appears to be in crisis mode. Curious also on opinions how this will affect the European M&A market?
Well obviously Trump is going to stop backing Ukraine. Then Russia will invade and take over Poland and they'll be at the gates of Berlin before we know it. Or so I was told by the Democratic Party. So, you better stop worrying about M&A and start worrying about the rising price of tuna cans in the Siberian gulag.
well if Kamala is right I'd suggest you learn how to goose step and shoot a rifle
in all seriousness if the US grows economically Europe should too
if you take trump at his word about stopping wars, that's a good thing, so Ukraine & Gaza should settle down. how? no idea
I think that like in the USA, outside of major urban areas people are more open to what is considered right wing/conservative politics. they're tired of globalization, immigration/cultural decline, and the nanny state. it wouldn't shock me if you saw more of meloni/salvini type politics and less macron, but only time will tell
if I'm right on that, that trend will last a while then it will get too extreme and the pendulum will swing back the other way. c'est la vie
Could be a pos for Europe from a unity perspective as they are forced to band together. Nordics are now fully part of NATO as well so all of this could prompt more unity (potentially)
Either way, there are multiple nuclear armed states in NATO outside of US, so wouldn't worry too much about Russian aggression against NATO states even if US withdraws
Europe is still tied in a big way to US as brofessor alludes to, so I don't expect that to change overly much -- what might change is a modest decel to their growth via Trump tariffs and being caught in between US and China (where they are crushing Europe in a lot of manufacturing areas).
It's a net negative for Europe IMO but not catastrophic. Just modestly accelerates an already occurring decline. Regardless, US remains #1 and will remain #1 which is the important thing (as an American)
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